PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Monday’s Premier League match between ASTON VILLA v NEWCASTLE with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
ASTON VILLA V NEWCASTLE
8pm Monday Night Football returns in the Premier League with Aston Villa hosting Newcastle. This is yet another big clash towards the bottom of the table, however Newcastle have been in great form lately and come into this clash off the back of two wins. They had been in the bottom three but they have really turned it around in recent weeks and it’s fair to say that they don’t look in danger of battling to stay in the Premier League. A midtable finish looks assured; while you couldn’t say the same about Aston Villa who need to pick up some points.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Aston Villa 2.16, Newcastle 3.85 and the draw is 3.55. Aston Villa look very short at 2.16! They have had a tough run of games having had to play Manchester City and Liverpool in their last three games. They actually nearly beat Liverpool here as they were leading with four minutes left but ended up losing. However we still feel that the 2.16 is a good value lay.
Since losing 5-0 to Leicester, Newcastle have really turned things around. They have beaten Manchester United, West Ham and Bournemouth while also picking up a draw against Wolves. They have really grinded out results and we fully expect them to make life difficult to Villa here. From a value point of view, we expect Newcastle to make this game a lot closer than odds of 2.16 suggest on Villa and we’re happy to lay the home side. Newcastle can continue their good form, and a loss for Villa would put them in a real relegation fight.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Aston Villa at 2.16.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQastnew
MATCH STATS
- Aston Villa are winless in six home league games against Newcastle, with the last two top-flight meetings between the sides at Villa Park finishing 0-0.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 12 league meetings with Aston Villa (W6 D6) since a 0-1 loss at Villa Park in April 2011.
- Since a 1-4 defeat at Villa Park in February 2008, Newcastle haven’t conceded more than once in any of their last 16 league meetings with Aston Villa, shipping nine goals in total in that run (seven clean sheets).
- Aston Villa have lost their last three Premier League games, last enduring a longer run of defeats in the competition between February-April 2016 (11).
- Newcastle have lost 12 of their last 15 Premier League games played on a Monday (W2 D1), though they have avoided defeat in three of their last five (W2 D1 L2); all 15 games have been played away from home.
- Newcastle have won their last two Premier League games and are looking to win three in a row for the first time since November 2018. They’ve not won back-to-back away games in the competition since January 2018, the first of which was also a 3-2 win at West Ham.
- Seven of Newcastle’s last nine Premier League goals have been scored by defenders. Indeed, a league-high 64% of Newcastle’s total Premier League goals this season have been netted by defenders (7/11).
- Coming into the weekend’s fixtures, no side has conceded more headed goals in the Premier League this season than Aston Villa (5), while only Everton (46%) have scored a higher share of their goals from headers than Newcastle (36% – 4/11).
- Newcastle manager Steve Bruce has lost two of his last three games in all competitions against sides he’s previously managed (D1), with his last such match being a 1-3 loss against Aston Villa. He’d only lost two of his previous 27 such matches (W18 D7 L2).
- Aston Villa forward Trezeguet has scored in his last two Premier League games – the last player to score in three in a row in the top-flight for the Villans was Tom Cleverley in May 2015.
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