PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our ProForm stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today at Fairyhouse, Plumpton, Sedgefield, Wolverhampton and Cork.
Positives:
Fairyhouse 3-05: When Willie Mullins and Paul Townend have teamed up at Fairyhouse, they have won 20 from 57, 7 more than their expected winners. Myska is 6.6.
Fairyhouse 3-40 and 4-15: Willie Mullins and Bryan Cooper have a strike rate of 39% when they team up, they have two today, Nambour at 12.5 and Outlander at 2.46.
Fairyhouse 5-25: Nina Carberry has a 26% success rate riding in Fairyhouse bumpers, she rides Calicojack at 6.8.
Sedgefield 2-25 and 3-35: Kenneth Slack has won with 4 of his 7 runners over fences at Sedgefield – he saddles two over fences there today, Runswick Relax at 4.0 and My Friend George at 3.45, both currently favourite.
Sedgefield 4-45 and 5-20: Kenneth Slack also has a very good record over hurdles at Sedgefield, with a 35% strike rate, winning over double his expected races, has has two runners over hurdles, Cumbrian Farmer at 3.45 and Azure Glamour at 3.65 – both also favourite. One wonders what the multiple pays on Betdaq Multiples!
Plumpton 5-10: Sam Twiston-Davies has a 38% strike rate over fences at Plumpton, he rides Tour Des Champs at 7.6. Wayne Hutchinson also has a good record over fences here with a S/R of 36%, and he rides Krackatoa King at 6.0.
In this race too, Gary Moore and Joshua Moore team up with Golanova at 12.0, they have a 40% strike rate together at Plumpton.
Wolverhampton 2-05: Conor Dore and Paul Mulrennan have a 26% strike rate when they team up, Jaarih is 4.6.
Cork 4-30: Karl Thornton and Donagh Meyler have a 46% strike rate when they team up, Paper Lantern is 4.7.
Negatives:
Fairyhouse 4-15: Henry de Bromhead has only had 1 winner from 34 runners over fences at Fairyhouse, disappointing given his talent, and the expected was over 5. Sizing Platinum is 19.5.
Plumpton 2-50: Anna Newton-Smith and Andrew Thornton have less than a 5% strike rate when they team up together. Goring Two is 6.6.
Plumpton 4-00: Paul Nicholls has only managed 1 winner from 14 runners over hurdles at Plumpton, a small sample however the expected was nearly 4 winners. Vicenzo Mio is 3.8.
Wolverhampton 2-40: Jeremy Gask and Steve Drowne’s strike rate when they team up is under 4% – Dutch Archer is 11.5.
Cork 2-45: Seamus Spillane and DM Spillane are 0 from 42 together so far, Inishturk Lad is 6.0.
PROFORM BETS
Betdaq BACK of the day on stats: Outlander 4-15 Fairyhouse, at around 2.46.
Betdaq LAY of the day on stats: Inishturk Lad 2-45 Cork, at around 6.0.
£25 IN FREE BETS
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