Tennessee Titans (2-8, 3-6-1 ATS) @ Philadelphia Eagles (7-3, 6-4 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Philadelphia -11 (48.5)
Significant Injuries
Tennessee: WR Justin Hunter (questionable– knee), LB Derrick Morgan (questionable– knee), CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson (questionable– back), CB Marqueston Huff (doubtful– hamstring)
Philadelphia: QB Nick Foles (out– collarbone)
Recent Trends
Tennessee is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss
Tennessee is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record
Tennessee is 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss
The UNDER is 5-1 in Tennessee’s last 6 road games
The OVER is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 home games
The OVER is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record
Three reasons to back Tennessee
1. The Titans are a whopping 11-point ‘dog here despite the fact that the Eagles were beaten by 33 points last week and will be starting Mark Sanchez at quarterback. It’s way too many points, especially when you consider that Tennessee hasn’t lost by more than 14 points in nearly 2 months.
2. Injury issues on the offensive line have turned the Eagles into a pass-first offense this season, and the Titans have an excellent secondary that ranks 9th in the NFL in pass yards allowed, so this is a good matchup for the Tennessee defense. Plus, there’s always the chance that Mark Sanchez goes “full Sanchez” and begins to hemorrhage turnovers. Butt fumble, anyone?
3. The Eagles have a porous defense that ranks 26th in yards allowed and 28th against the pass. They’ve surrendered a staggering 95 combined points in their past 3 games, so the Tennessee offense, which moved the ball consistently against Pittsburgh last week, should be able to build on their recent success.
Three reasons to back Philadelphia
1. The Eagles are one of the NFL’s best teams and they’re especially good at home, where they’ve yet to lose in 5 games this season. The Titans, meanwhile, have won just twice this year and have covered just 3 times in their last 15 games overall. The line in this game is 11 for a reason: Philadelphia is the far superior team and will be able to name the score on Sunday.
2. Tennessee has one of the NFL’s worst offenses, a unit that ranks 31st in total yards per game and 30th in points scored (16.8 ppg). Their quarterback is a rookie who was drafted in the 6th round and they’ve scored 17 points or fewer in each of their past 4 road games. It’s an offense that simply isn’t good enough to be competitive, especially on the road against quality opposition.
3. The Philadelphia offense is both balanced and explosive, as they average over 290 passing yards, nearly 120 rushing yards, and 29.9 points per game. They should roll right over a vulnerable Tennessee defense that surrenders 25 points per game and has allowed more rushing yards than all but one team leaguewide.
Prediction
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