I try so hard week after week to not get too big headed when I do well with my suggestions but as soon as I throw even the mirror a short smug glance the punting Gods put me in my place and everything I touch turns not to gold but to something remarkably akin to mud if you get my drift?
Last week was one of those I am sorry to say, but is history now and is a lesson to us all that things can go wrong occasionally so we need to bet sensibly and keep as much of our profits as possible! Football all looked so good for a few minutes at least when Aston Villa went 0-1 up at Anfield and the silly BETDAQ odds of 9.0 that I took in the morning looked wonderful, but once again (why do I do it?), greed reared its ugly head again and instead of cashing out I waited – and lost the lot when the home team equalised! Blackburn were my other football bet on Saturday but to be honest they never got a look in as West Bromwich Albion scored in the seventh minute courtesy of an own goal, and another opportunity bit the dust. Luckily for me, I left the racing alone except for one small (losing) bet, and with plenty of big priced winners and odds on losers I can be pretty certain I would only have compounded my losses! Golf is a case of least said soonest mended and I will stick to others advice from now on (is Luke Donald still out there somewhere I wonder?), while I did sat least learn my lesson and get out of the Fulham v Chelsea game with a small profit once the blues went 0-1 up against the run of play which was just about my only good move of the weekend as Fulham deservedly equalised.
This week, my in box has been filled with various e mails telling me all about how they have the guaranteed winner of the Grand National, and all I have to do is part with my cash! I-phone, I-pad, laptop desktop, all have been swamped with messages from con artists who may (or may not) know more about racing than you and me, but once the tell me they have the “certain” winner of perhaps the most competitive race on the planet, I know they must be trying to take me for a ride. Winners in recent years have included Mon Mome at 100/1 as well as a scattering of 33/1 shots 20/1 shots and so on, so how anyone can lay claim to “knowing” the winner in advance is beyond me! This year is no different but then it is a British institution and a race I throw money away on each and every year (I did back Ballabriggs last year at 19.0 with BETDAQ but the next winner historically for me was probably Rough Quest in 1996), and I feel the need for a small punt once again. Going for 9.4 favourite Synchronised (with BETDAQ, 9.0 elsewhere), may not seem very inspiring, but how many Gold Cup winners can head off here off a rating of 161, a full six pounds less than he carried at the Cheltenham Festival and an indication that he is well in here at the weights, which is confirmed by his new rating of 168 for other contests. His race record shows one fall (over hurdles) in nineteen starts, which has to be a positive, though he did hit a few fences at the Festival and cannot be considered a good thing!
Changing sports, and football is up again this weekend with two FA Cup Semi Finals in England and the same in Scotland, plus an almost full fixture list so plenty to work on! As regular readers would expect, I do think Everton will beat Liverpool but am unwilling to jinx the blues by saying so, and will look for my bets this week elsewhere. With Tottenham v Chelsea too close to call in my book (both teams could be said to be out of form in all honesty), I am stuck with the league matches and that is where my bets will land. As far as the Premier league is concerned, I cannot find any real value anywhere so it may be worth a one point accumulator on the teams that look to be the proverbial “good things”? At this time of the season I am inclined to look at teams with something left to play for, which leads me to Manchester City (BETDAQ price 1.7), who can still in theory take the title and with a summer clear out quite likely, some will be playing for their places next season so they really ought to dispose of Norwich though to be fair, the home team have proved all season they are nobodies mugs! Next up, on Sunday Manchester United will have been given the hair dryer treatment by Sir Alex after losing to Wigan midweek and I pity poor Aston Villa who I suspect are going to be on the wrong end of a bit of thrashing, even if the price will not be sending us on any foreign holidays (1.3 with BETDAQ). If we add Celtic (who really ought to have little trouble disposing of Hearts on Sunday in the Scottish Cup (1.55 with BETDAQ), Crawley who should beat AFC Wimbledon even with a caretaker manager (1.5 with BETDAQ), and finally Arsenal on Monday to see off Wigan (that should be a good game) at BETDAQ odds of 1.3 and we should have a great chance of making a profit to a silly stake!
This week’s suggested bets (odds correct at the time of writing):
Football:
1pt Win Accumulator: MANCHESTER CITY (1.7), MANCHESTER UNITED (1.3), CELTIC (1.55), CRAWLEY (1.5), and ARSENAL (1.3), all prices with BETDAQ and adding up to a slightly better than 11/2 bet!
Horse Racing:
1pt Win SYNCHRONISED 4.15 Aintree Saturday 9.4 with BETDAQ
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