THE STRIKER: previews Friday’s Premier League match between WOLVES v CRYSTAL PALACE with extended stats and a recommended bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
WOLVES V CRYSTAL PALACE
8pm Friday Night Football comes from Molineux this week as Wolves host Crystal Palace. It’s fair to say that both sides have had very up and down starts to the season, and they both sit beside each other in the table with 10 points after six games. There’s no doubt that Crystal Palace will be the happier of the sides with that total, as Wolves would like to challenge for a Europa League spot again after falling to get into the tournament this season.
Wolves had a slow start to the season, with an eye catching 4-0 loss to West Ham. They have recovered well though with two 1-0 wins which they grinded out over Fulham and Leeds. They were lucky to beat Leeds however, and could only manage a 1-1 draw at home to Newcastle last weekend. Looking at their xG numbers it’s clear that they aren’t playing good football at the start of the season. In fairness to them, they are a great side for grinding out results, but they do look very short at 2.0 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange.
In an ideal world, I’d love to take on Wolves at the moment with a slightly better side than Crystal Palace. However, the fixture list is what it is and we have to find value as best we can in each fixture. Palace were impressive last weekend against Fulham, creating an xG of 2.69 however we must remember Fulham have been poor this season. In general, Palace have struggled to create a lot of chances. Their four xG’s before Fulham read; 0.80, 0.14, 0.69 and 1.82. They have had to play Manchester United, Everton and Chelsea in that run – and in fairness they did enough to beat United at Old Trafford.
I feel this game screams a lack of goals on paper. Wolves haven’t been creating chances and neither have Palace. While the Wolves lay is a very tempting bet at 2.0 as I see the game being a lot closer than those odds suggest, under 2.5 goals is my bet at 1.6. I can easily see a 0-0 here, but it’s going to be a very cagey game without many chances created in my opinion.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.6 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolcrl
MATCH STATS
- Wolves have lost three of their last six league meetings with Crystal Palace (W2 D1), as many as they had in their previous 13 against the Eagles (W7 D3 L3).
- Crystal Palace have won three of their last five away league games against Wolves (L2), though they did lose this exact fixture 0-2 in July last season.
- Currently with 10 points this season courtesy of their three wins and one draw, Crystal Palace are looking to make it 13 points from their first seven games of a Premier League season for the first time ever.
- Crystal Palace have won two of their last three away league games (L1), as many as they had in their previous 12 on the road. The Eagles have won 60% of their Premier League points this season in away games (6/10).
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have picked up 10 points from their six Premier League games this season – their best total at this stage of the season in the competition and their highest such total in a top-flight campaign since 1979-80 (13 pts, assuming 3/pts for a win).
- Crystal Palace have failed to win any of their previous five Premier League games on Friday’s (D3 L2) – it’s the most a team has played on Friday without ever winning in the competition. Indeed, the Eagles have never won a top-flight game on Friday (D5 L6).
- Since returning to the Premier League for the 2018-19 season, Wolves have failed to score a first half goal in 58 of their 82 matches, the most of any side in the competition over this period. Indeed, Wolves have failed to score a first half goal in each of their last five Premier League games.
- Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has netted five goals in six Premier League games this season, one more than he managed in 38 in 2019-20. With five goals and one assist this term, the attacker is just one goal/assist off his total goal involvement tally from last season.
- Since the start of the 2018-19 campaign, Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez (45%) has been directly involved in a higher share of his team’s goals than any other player to appear in all three campaigns in this period (47 of 104).
- Wolves striker Raúl Jiménez has played 331 minutes against Crystal Palace without scoring in the Premier League – only versus Leicester City (360) and Manchester United (358) has he registered more minutes without a goal in the competition.
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