PREMIER LEAGUE MONDAY: The Striker previews Monday’s game between CRYSTAL PALACE v MANCHESTER UNITED with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
CRYSTAL PALACE V MANCHESTER UNITED
8pm We have Monday Night Football from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week as Crystal Palace host Manchester United. Erik ten Hag gave a good interview this week to Gary Neville and Sky Sports, but it’s been a very poor season for United. It’s a sign of the times that Crystal Palace come into this game as the favourites – we do have an open market but to see United as the outsiders would be surprising for most football fans. Crystal Palace are trading 2.38 with Manchester United 2.98 and the draw is 3.95 at the time of writing.
Much has been wrote about what a poor season Manchester United are having; but things could be even worse looking at their under-lining numbers. Their average xG conceded is 1.72 this season which is the fourth worst defensive figure in the Premier League this season! United have been getting away with things too as their actual goals conceded average is 1.5. They sit in sixth claiming to be having a disappointing season; they could easily be sitting in mid-table. Obviously they have had injuries and such, I would lean towards keeping ten Hag but the jury is definitely out looking at the stats in my opinion.
It will be interesting to see what United do during the summer anyway regarding the manager – that’s not even thinking about how many players they need to actually be competitive in the Top Four race! Palace have been playing average football this season, but they come into this game off the back four games unbeaten including three wins. I know that isn’t much, but it is their best run of the season! Overall, the Palace stats are quite poor – their average xG created is only 1.15 which is the fifth worst attacking figure in the Premier League. Only the four sides involved in the relegation battle – Sheffield United, Luton, Burnley and Nottingham Forest – have created less than Palace. Why Palace haven’t been in the relegation is they have over-performed that figure, and they’ve been better at the back than those sides.
It’s hard to have any confidence in this United side with the way they are defending; however I still feel that the 2.38 on Palace is much too short here. I feel we should have a more open market – however I can fully understand that there are a lot of red flags with this United side. Their stats away from home are woeful; their average xG conceded is a whopping 1.91 – as the saying goes you don’t win many games conceding two goals! They are creating much less than that at 1.29 too. Palace are a very average side and while I feel the 2.38 is short, I just can’t lay them given how United are playing. United have had a lot of goals in their recent games, and Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.56 with Both Teams To Score 1.47. It’s hard not to see goals here given the way these two play – I expect plenty of mistakes at the back in an open game, and Overs looks a nice position.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.56 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CryMnu
