THE STRIKER: previews SOUTHAMPTON v LIVERPOOL at 8pm on Monday with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
SOUTHAMPTON V LIVERPOOL
8pm We have an intriguing clash for Monday Night Football this week as Southampton host Liverpool. After four draws in their last seven Premier League games Liverpool have been joined at the top of the table by Manchester United. Everyone has been dropping points this season, but Liverpool’s four draws have been particularly disappointing. They have come against Newcastle, West Brom, Fulham and Brighton – all clubs in the bottom six.
Southampton have been playing rock solid football this season, and this will be another tough test for Liverpool. It’s fair to say Liverpool have had a tough run this season with injuries, but they still look like the best team in the Premier League. Their main worry is probably Man City rather than Man United as if City win their two games in hand they won’t be far away. Ahead of the weekend’s fixtures six points for City’s two games in hand would put them one point behind Liverpool. I have to say though, what an interesting season! Liverpool were brilliant last season, but the title race was over by Christmas. It looks like we’ll go all the way this season with loads of drama along the way.
Looking at the xG figures, Liverpool can consider themselves unlucky not to beat Newcastle and West Brom – they had the better chances, but there wasn’t a huge amount in it. Liverpool have certainly dropped their level in recent weeks. Even in their 1-1 draw with Brighton; they lost 2.22 to 0.32 on xG. Those figures are unheard of for this Liverpool team.
Southampton have only been beaten recently by Man City and Man United, and they were unlucky to lose against City here recently. They have had some disappointing performances too however, they haven’t scored in two 0-0 draws against West ham and Fulham, meaning they haven’t scored for three games now.
I like two bets on BETDAQ Betting Exchange tonight. One of them is under 2.5 goals at 2.25 and the other is laying Liverpool at 1.71. I couldn’t put anyone off either bet as I feel they both offer value. I can see the game being a lot closer than odds of 1.71 suggest on Liverpool as Southampton have been very tough to beat this season. However, I’m going to opt for under 2.5 goals as my best bet. Liverpool haven’t been creating the same volume of chances recently as when they have been at their best and Southampton like to play a cagey game. I can see a very similar game to the City game here with only a goal deciding it in a very even game.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQsouliv
MATCH STATS
- Southampton have lost each of their last six Premier League meetings with Liverpool, scoring just twice and conceding 17 goals in these games.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League meetings with Southampton (W6 D2), keeping a clean sheet in six of those matches.
- Southampton have won 10 league games against reigning Premier League champions, beating all six different teams to win the trophy when defending their crown (Man Utd, Blackburn, Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City and Leicester). They could become the first team to beat all seven Premier League champions in the season following a title win.
- Southampton won their first league game of 2020, beating Spurs 1-0 at St Mary’s. Saints haven’t won their opening league game in consecutive calendar years since 2002 and 2003 (which included a 1-0 victory over Spurs).
- Liverpool have won their first league game in just one of the last eight calendar years when kicking off the new year away from home (D4 L3), with that victory coming at Burnley in 2018.
- The reigning top-flight champion has lost their first league game in just two of the last 32 calendar years (W18 D11), with Man Utd losing 0-3 at Newcastle in 2012, and 1-2 at home to Spurs in 2014.
- Southampton have won just one of their last 15 Premier League games played on a Monday (D7 L7), though that victory was in their last such match at Brighton in December.
- Southampton have played out back-to-back goalless draws in the Premier League for the first time since October 2018 under Mark Hughes – they have never registered three consecutive goalless draws in their league history.
- Since Ralph Hasenhüttl took charge of Southampton in December 2018, Danny Ings has been directly involved in 38 goals in the Premier League (31 goals and seven assists); 16 more than the player with the next most at the club in this period (22 – James Ward-Prowse).
- Liverpool forward Mohamed Salah has scored seven goals in his six Premier League games against Southampton, only scoring more against Bournemouth (8) and Watford (8) in the competition.
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