SUNDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Sunday’s action including SPURS v NEWCASTLE – all with recommended BETDAQ bet.
EVERTON V CHELSEA
2pm It’s another fascinating Super Sunday from the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! We have plenty of talking points to go through here, and where better to start but Chelsea. Another poor defeat midweek against Manchester United was a real blow for Mauricio Pochettino. It’s actually hard to believe he isn’t getting the same kind of pressure off the media that Erik ten Hag is getting at Manchester United. Chelsea start the weekend sitting in tenth, and their chances of getting back into European football are looking reasonably slim at the moment. They desperately lack a striker, and at times they have been playing good football but they just haven’t made any progress this season. They made Manchester United look like a hard working team during the week; surely that’s the worst thing you can say about any side at the moment! It will be interesting to see what type of performance we get from them here; Everton have been pretty good at home this season, and they are actually playing better football compared to Chelsea this season. Their overall performance figure is bigger!
Obviously Everton are currently in a relegation battle, but that’s only because of their ten point deduction rather than their level of play this season. Even with a ten point deduction, they have been creating so much it would be a surprise to see them going down. Chelsea come into the game as the favourites at 2.4 with Everton 3.3 and the draw is 3.55 at the time of writing. I was actually surprised to see Chelsea trading as short as 2.4 when I clicked into the market – I thought we’d see a much more open market. Everton have been excellent at home too; highlighted by a win against Newcastle on Thursday night. Their average xG created at home is close to 2.0 and their average conceded is a little over 1.0. Given the way things are at Chelsea this season, I’m very happy with a Chelsea lay here at the odds. Everton’s home form is very positive, and they can get a result.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Chelsea to beat Everton at 2.4 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EvrChe
FULHAM V WEST HAM
2pm It’s another London Derby for West Ham next as they take on Fulham. These two sides have very similar performance figures, and we should have a close game here. We have an open market, and Fulham come into the game as the favourites with home advantage. They are trading 2.44 at the time of writing with West Ham 3.1 and the draw is 3.55. Fulham had a very impressive win midweek beating Nottingham Forest 5-0, and they face another side here conceding a host of chances. West Ham’s average xG conceded is actually higher than Nottingham Forest this season! The Hammers have obviously had issues at the back, but where they are getting by is they are over-performing in front of goal. They are scoring more than they should, and eventually they will stop banging in goals from difficult places; that’s just probability. Fulham are also scoring more goals than their xG reflects, but what we have here is two sides that are pretty sloppy at the back. It’s no surprise that we have an open market because it’s hard to be confident on either side.
I’m happy to stay away from the match odds market here, because this game screams goals in my opinion. Both sides play a reasonably open game, and West Ham have been quite poor at the back this season too. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.84 and Both Teams To Score is eleven ticks lower at 1.72. To be honest, I like both options – the one negative is we haven’t had too many goals in this fixture. Over 2.5 goals has only won once in the last five meetings. I’m not going to go mad with the stakes here, clearly we have two sides here that are hard to trust as well, but Both Teams To Score is a nice bet at 1.72 in my opinion. West Ham have had a lot of action in their games at both ends of the pitch and that should continue here.
The Striker Says:
One point win Both Teams To Score at 1.72 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/FulWhu
LUTON TOWN V MANCHESTER CITY
2pm We finish the 2pm games with the shortest price of the weekend in the Premier League as Luton Town host Manchester City. Anything bar a comfortable City win here would be a massive shock, and they come into the game trading as short as 1.17 at the time of writing. That being said, City have now gone four Premier League games without a win! In fairness to pep Guardiola’s men, those four games have come against Chelsea, Liverpool, Spurs and Aston Villa. They went odds against for the first time this week to win the title after their loss away to Aston Villa; that saw Arsenal start this weekend with a six point advantage. It’s clear to see that City are the best side in the Premier League this season, but they have made hard work for themselves again giving Arsenal this advantage. Liverpool are definitely in the title race too despite all the chances they concede. After the midweek fixtures, Liverpool now have a higher average xG created to Manchester City, and Arsenal have a better xG conceded figure than City too. When you put attack and defence together, City still come out on top – their overall performance figure is +0.98 which is still the best figure in the Premier League but they have to stop conceding sloppy goals if they are going to land four Premier League titles in a row.
At the moment based on everything we’ve seen, Luton Town don’t look up to Premier League standard. They are comfortably the second worst side in the league; their average xG created is only 0.87 and they are conceding an average xG of 1.83. Those numbers just spell trouble, and their overall performance figure is -0.96. From the whole of Europe in all the major leagues, the only side with a worse figure than that is Sheffield United! The focus here will be how many goals City can score, but Both Teams Not To Score is also an appealing bet at 1.72. It takes out the element of how many goals City will score – City are trading 2.25 -2.5 goals and that is appealing considering how many chances Luton are conceding, but they are so limited going forward I like the Both Teams Not To Score bet. City are only conceding an average xG of 0.91; that’s rock solid form and they can keep a clean sheet here on the way to winning.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.72 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LutMci
TOTTENHAM V NEWCASTLE
4.30pm We finish the weekend with what should be a cracker as Spurs host Newcastle. Both sides were in action on Thursday night – Newcastle were comfortably beaten 3-0 by Everton while Spurs threw away a 1-0 lead at home to West Ham and lost 2-1. I have to say the performance from Newcastle at Everton is a big worry. They have clearly had issues away from home; they controlled the game to beat Manchester United last weekend, but then again most football fans felt United players weren’t trying their best at the time. There’s a huge gulf between the Newcastle home performance level and their away performance level. Their last four away games in the Premier League have been 2-2 at West Ham and Sheffield United, a 2-0 loss to Bournemouth and then the 3-0 loss to Everton. Not exactly strong sides that they are losing too, and you have to feel that this is a good chance for Spurs to gain three points. But how could you trust Spurs at the moment? They gifted West Ham chances midweek – they are creating decent chances going forward but there are major issues at the back.
The big question here is; are Newcastle good enough to take advantage of Spurs at the back? Their average xG created away from home is only 1.36 and they are conceding more than that. If Newcastle had home advantage, I’d actually be quite confident on them winning here given the way Spurs have been lately. Spurs come into this game as the favourites at 2.22 with Newcastle 3.35 and the draw is 3.9 at the time of writing. I would definitely lean towards a Spurs lay, but it’s just hard to support Newcastle away at the moment. This game screams goals too in my opinion; two open sides who have been leaking goals (Newcastle away, Spurs in general) and Over 2.5 goals looks a very nice position at 1.58. This should be a very open game, with plenty of chances and mistakes at the back too!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/TotNwc
