PREMIER LEAGUE THURSDAY: The Striker previews Thursday’s two Premier League games both including a recommended BETDAQ bet.
LIVERPOOL V SHEFFIELD UNITED
7.30pm We finish the midweek Premier League action on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with two fixtures on Thursday night! We couldn’t have two more different markets here; Liverpool are the shortest price of the week at home to Sheffield United and then we have a very competitive affair between Chelsea and Manchester United! We start the action an Anfield where Liverpool are trading as short as 1.1 to beat Sheffield United – if you fancy a shock, and it would be a massive shock, then Sheffield United are 30.0 while the draw is 16.0 at the time of writing. It was an excellent week for Liverpool; a win against Brighton put them top of the table and then a draw between Manchester City and Arsenal was another excellent result for them. They are now favourites to win the title, and what a fairy tale ending that would be for Jurgen Klopp. They’ll probably rename the Kop end to the Klopp end! There’s still a long way to go on the title run-in, but this should be a routine win for Liverpool – there isn’t anything positive to say about Sheffield United this season and this is a case of how many goals can Liverpool score.
At 1.1, they don’t even offer much value putting them in a weekly Acca! We’ll have to look around the side market for some value – obviously the market is expecting a very comfortable win for Liverpool. They are trading odds on at 1.73 to cover the 2.5 goal Handicap. As I pointed out at the weekend, not only are Sheffield United the worst performing side in England with an overall performance figure of -1.11 that’s actually the worst figure from an elite European league too. They have an average xG created of only 0.82, and they are conceding an average xG of 1.93. Where do you even begin to fix the problems. I’d be surprised if Liverpool don’t cover the Handicap line here at 2.5, but I feel Both Teams Not To Score at 1.83 offers more value. I know Liverpool play an open game, and they will likely relax if they are three or four goals ahead too, but Sheffield United have offered very little going forward this season. Liverpool can control this game and control the ball – I can see them keeping a clean sheet on the way to winning.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.83 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivShe
CHELSEA V MANCHESTER UNITED
8.15pm We finish the midweek games with a cracker! Just as we finished the weekend with the highlight fixture, the Premier League have kept the best until last again as Chelsea host Manchester United. Manchester City v Arsenal turned into a very tactical affair at the weekend; this game will be more open just purely because they both make so many mistakes at the back. Even if the managers wanted a 0-0 here I don’t think the players could deliver! Both are obviously having very disappointing seasons, and it will be very interesting to see who comes out on top. Looking at the stats, there isn’t much between the sides however despite being eight points behind Chelsea have been the better side. They are creating an average xG of 1.62 compared to United at 1.49, while United are conceding an average xG of 1.68 compared to Chelsea at 1.48. Both sides have clearly been poor at the back, and that’s why both of them are nowhere near a Top Four spot this season. Ange Postecoglou ironically responded to a journalist this week saying “Spurs are only eight points behind Manchester City; do you see us challenging them?” when asked if United will challenge Spurs for fourth.
Chelsea come into the game as the favourites with home advantage – they are trading 2.02 with Manchester United 3.65 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing. It’s easy to understand why Chelsea are the clear favourites here – that average xG conceded of 1.68 for United is the fourth worst defensive figure in the Premier League this season. They have been all over the place at the back. As bad as things have been result wise, they could actually be even worse for United – their average goals conceded average works out at 1.38 – they could easily be sitting where Chelsea are. How much pressure would be on Eric ten Hag then? Although I couldn’t put anyone off Chelsea at 2.02, this game screams goals. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.42 and although the market is expecting goals, I still feel there’s value on offer at that price. As I said above, these two make so many mistakes at the back it’s hard not to see an open game. You could even think about Over 3.5 or 4.5, but I’m happy with the 1.42 on Overs.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.42 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CheMnu
