WEDNESDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews LIVERPOOL v LUTON including a recommended BETDAQ bet.
LIVERPOOL V LUTON TOWN
7.30pm The midweek Premier League action continues on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with Liverpool hosting Luton on Wednesday night. It’s a massive week for Liverpool as they meet Chelsea in the Carabao Cup Final on Sunday afternoon. Manchester City meet Brentford on Tuesday night for their game in hand, Liverpool will quickly have played one more game again but obviously they don’t play in the Premier League at the weekend so we should know a lot more about the title race by the end of the week.
Liverpool will be fully expected to win here, and they come into the game as the red-hot favourites. They are trading as short as 1.22 at the time of writing with Luton Town 16.5 and the draw is 8.2. Results away to the likes of Liverpool won’t be the difference in the long haul on whether or not Luton stay up; anything here is a complete bonus to be honest. However, it’s been a poor few days for Luton Town in the relegation battle. They suffered a huge blow when losing at home to Sheffield United – they had so much momentum heading into that game and also Sheffield United have been the worst side in the Premier League this season.
Everton and Crystal Palace met on Monday night, but a far bigger blow to Luton was Nottingham Forest winning at the weekend against West Ham. As I have said for a while, if Luton are to stay up I feel it has to be Nottingham Forest that takes their spot. I feel Burnley and Sheffield United are already nailed on to go back down to the championship so it is really down to that final spot. After looking like they were odds against to get relegated, Luton are now back to trading odds on.
Liverpool have been exceptional going forward; their average xG created is 2.1 which is the second best attacking figure in the Premier League this season, only marginally behind Manchester City at 2.12. Liverpool have definitely conceded more chances than Arsenal and Manchester City this season but they do come up against a pretty limited side going forward here. Luton’s average xG created is only 1.12, and away from home that drops to below 1.0. A major worry is all the chances Luton have conceded away from home this season too; their average xG conceded away from home is a whopping 1.93.
We have one of the best attacking sides against one of the worst defensive sides here, and I feel it’s a case of how many goals can Liverpool score rather than will they win. I wouldn’t put anyone off including Liverpool at 1.22 in an Acca this week, but we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value here. Both Teams To Score is trading odds on, and although Liverpool have been sloppy at the back Luton’s attacking figures don’t inspire confidence here. The 1.6 on Liverpool -1.5 goal Handicap is a very appealing bet and stands out as the best value bet here. Liverpool are creating more than two goals per game and Luton are conceding similar; we should see plenty of chances for Klopp’s men and they can cover the Handicap.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Luton Town at 1.6 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LivLut
