SUNDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews UDINESE v ROMA and INTER MILAN v CAGLIARI both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
UDINESE V ROMA
5pm The focus on Sunday from Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE is on Serie A! We start the day with Udinese hosting Roma, and this is a huge game for both sides for different reasons. Udinese are heavily involved in the relegation battle this season; they start the weekend sitting just two points away from the bottom three. There’s a huge amount of sides in the relegation battle this season; there’s only four points between 19th and 14th, Udinese have really struggled to score goals this season and you wouldn’t be surprised to see them drop into the bottom three at some stage. Roma are involved in a different battle; after Bologna dropped points last weekend Roma are now starting this weekend only three points behind them in the battle for fourth. The sides actually meet on Monday the 22nd of April, and that will be an absolutely huge game! Who would have thought that Roma would have a good chance at a top four spot after Jose Mourinho was sacked; they have only lost once since that decision – which was a surprise at the time given how much fan support he had, and the dressing room seemed happy. That loss came against Inter Milan as well who are running away with the title.
Roma come into the game as the favourites at 2.28 with Udinese 3.65 and the draw is 3.35 at the time of writing. Roma have turned into a very attacking side since Jose Mourinho left, and their average xG created is increasing each week. They also had a huge win midweek in the Europa League beating AC Milan 1-0 in the first leg of the Quarter-Finals – with Liverpool 3-0 down to Atalanta the Europa League really opened up this week! I have to say I was surprised to see Roma trading as high as 2.28 when I clicked into the market here; Udinese have been very poor this season. Their average xG created is only 1.11 which is the fourth worst attacking figure in Serie A, and their average xG conceded is reasonably high at 1.47 too. They seem there for the taking to be honest, and Roma have been playing with so much confidence lately. We landed a bet on Unders with them in their last Serie A game because they have been grinding out wins rather than blowing away sides, and while Unders might be a good bet here again, I can’t get away from the 2.28 on Roma. That looks cracking value.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Roma to beat Udinese at 2.28 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/UdiRma
INTER MILAN V CAGLIARI
7.45pm We finish the weekend from Europe with Inter Milan hosting Cagliari. Inter would have been gutted not to have been involved in the Champions League Quarter-Finals this week, but they didn’t get the job done in the Last 16 against Atletico Madrid. They are marching towards a Serie A title however and there’s been no stopping them domestically. They have a whopping 14 point advantage; it’s actually a shame they got knocked out of the Champions League because they could have easily focused on that competition with such a big lead in Serie A but here we are. They will be fully expected to win here with home advantage against Cagliari, and they come into the game as the red-hot favourites. Inter Milan are trading 1.21 with Cagliari 17.0 and the draw is 8.4 at the time of writing. Cagliari recorded a massive win over Atalanta last weekend to move four points away from the bottom three starting the weekend. I know there are a huge amount of sides involved in the relegation battle, but Cagliari have been getting results recently. They have only lost once in their last seven Serie A games, and they’ve given themselves an excellent chance of staying up now.
Obviously they have the toughest fixture in the league here, and they’ll be hoping to keep the good momentum whatever happens here. Even though Cagliari are having a good run, there’s a huge gulf in class between the sides – Inter’s average xG created is 1.80 compared to Cagliari’s at 1.25. Away from home that drops to 1.08; Inter have been exceptional at the back this season – their average xG conceded is 1.05 which is the best defensive record in Serie A. At home they are conceding less than an average xG of 1.0 too – Both Teams Not To Score is trading 1.8 and that looks cracking value. Over 2.5 goals is trading short at 1.46 but obviously the market is expecting Inter to do most of the work there; I wouldn’t be overly confident on the 1.46 to be honest but the 1.8 on Both Teams Not To Score looks a lovely position.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.8 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/IntCgl
