FOUR OUT OF FIVE: SHAMROCK rocked at Royal Ascot on Wednesday when FOUR OF HIS FIVE BETS WERE WINNERS!!! Can he continue the good form on day three this afternoon?
There are so many ways to play BETDAQ and I’m so glad I ventured into the place markets yesterday. Ascot is tough, but the odds are competitive so the place markets provide a very credible alternative to the win market that we all so often get transfixed by.
Giovanni Boldini, for example, was trading at around 5 on the BETDAQ place market at the time of selection.
I put up five bets yesterday:
PLACE NAP: Magician (3.45 Royal Ascot) 2nd 6/1
NEXT BEST: Anthem Alexander (3.05 Royal Ascot) WON 9/4
PLACE: Giovanni Boldini (2.30 Royal Ascot) 3rd 14/1
PLACE: Purr Along (4.25 Royal Ascot) 3rd 9/1
PLACE: Odisseia (5.35 Royal Ascot) LOST
2:30 Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (2yo, Class 1, 5f, 9 runners)
A big day and a big chance for Aidan and Joseph O’Brien to get off the mark this week with The Great War. Team O’Brien have done best with two seconds so far this week with Magician yesterday and Verrazano in the opener on Tuesday but The Great War should go one better for them. He hacked up on debut at Tipperary and won as easily as his 1/9 price tag indicated next time out at the Curragh. He’s held in high regard and should be able to handle the step up in class. You have to go back to 1991 and Johannesburg for the last O’Brien trained winner in this race.
3:05 Tercentenary Stakes (Formerly The Hampton Court Stakes) (Group 3) (3yo, Class 1, 1m 2f, 8 runners)
The Ger Lyons trained Obliterator is the sole runner for Ireland but if backing him you have to completely ignore his run in the Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas when he finished tailed off last behind Kingman. After the race Lyons wrote on his Facebook page: “Every bone in my body said no to running him. The reason I did was that he’d never ran on soft and most Oratorio’s handle an ease and as it was our local Classic I felt it worth a shot. We now know for sure and it’s on to Royal Ascot for the Group Three over 10 furlongs (used to be Hampton Court), ground permitting.” The ground has certainly come right but I can only play to small stakes in the place market at around 2.26.
3:45 Ribblesdale Stakes (Fillies’ Group 2) (3yo, Class 1, 1m 4f, 12 runners)
Aidan O’Brien has two here but I wasn’t sure either will be good enough. Bracelet proved a big disappointment in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket when beating just three home whilst Terrific was a beaten favourite the Cheshire Oaks and may just struggle at Group level.
4:25 Gold Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 4f, 14 runners)
A strong Irish challenge numerically although Pale Mimosa is a non runner for Dermot Weld. Colleague DAQMAN is very keen on the chances of the Aidan O’Brien trained Leading Light and rightly so. The trainer has dominated recent Ascot Gold Cups thanks to the remarkable Yeats and Leading Light looks set to follow in his footsteps. He won the two mile Queens Vase at the Royal meeting last season and has only tasted defeat once since then, in the Arc on soft ground. Prior to that he won the Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes at Doncaster in great fashion. He comes into this on the back of a smooth win in the Vintage Crop Stakes at Navan. This race is over a unique trip so it’s guesswork, to a point, on stamina but there’s every indication he’ll relish the 2m 4f challenge.
5:00 Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str) (3yo, Class 2, 1m, 30 runners)
A 20/1 Irish trained winner last year and Limerick maiden winner Third Dimension can run a big race for Ger Lyons. His ability to handle the firmer ground has to be taken on trust but at around 17 it’s a speculative win and place play.
5:35 King George V Stakes (Handicap) (3yo, Class 2, 1m 4f, 18 runners)
The Aidan O’Brien top weight Carlo Bugatti ran a shocker at Chester and I can’t be backing him in here.
SHAMROCK’S BETS:
NAP: The Great War (2.30 Royal Ascot)
NEXT BEST: Leading Light (4.25 Royal Ascot)
PLACE: Obliterator (3.05 Royal Ascot)
WIN AND PLACE: Third Dimension (5.00 Royal Ascot)
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