WORLD CUP 2026 OUTRIGHT PREVIEW: The talking is over – The Ultra now unveils his outright prediction for World Cup 2026 with reasoning for his BETDAQ bet!
🏆 World Cup 2026 🏆
OUTRIGHT PREVIEW
We’ve been right through all twelve Groups with previews (CHECK OUT HERE), so now comes the fun part – the Outright World Cup 2026 Winner market on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We have a lot of familiar names towards the head of the market, and now that we have the Group previews done, it’s about mapping out who has the best path and the easiest side of the draw. At the time of writing the Outright odds are;
• Spain 6.0
• France 6.2
• England 8.2
• Argentina 10.5
• Brazil 11.0
• Portugal 12.0
• Germany 17.5
• Netherlands 27.0
• The Rest 38.0 or bigger
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Our 24 Qualifiers – The Projected Top Two
These are the sides we put through from each Group preview. A quick note on the three asterisked picks: in Group A we took South Korea to win the group as a value play with Mexico the likely other qualifier; in Group D we laid USA and expect Turkey to top it; and in Group K we backed Colombia as a value group winner ahead of Portugal.
That would leave us with the top two sides looking like this:
* recommended value/lay pick rather than the market favourite to win the group.
The new Round of 32 includes eight spots for the best third place finishes from the Group stage. The top half runs through Semi-Final 1; the bottom half through Semi-Final 2 obviously; when you drop our 24 qualifiers in, one thing leaps off the page immediately – the big two-favourites, France and Spain, have landed in the same half, and they are joined there by Portugal IF Colombia top that Group. I think it would be a massive surprise if Spain and France didn’t top their Groups, so we might be looking at them facing each other in the Semi-Final if things out work perfectly.
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The bottom half is headlined by Argentina, England and Brazil. Obviously things can work out differently, but right at the bottom of the draw, IF Colombia actually do surprise Portugal in that final Group game – Argentina look to have a very nice draw through. The Group B Winner is there too and that’s either Switzerland or Canada in my opinion. Brazil and England could meet in the Quarter-Final, and then you’d have to expect Argentina to face them in the Semi-Final.
It’s a World Cup, so we can’t quite call anything an easy draw. However, Argentina’s path is very kind in my opinion. The Round of 32 throws up an awkward Uruguay clash straight away – a Bielsa side is never a gentle opener – but get through that and the road opens right up: USA or Egypt in the last 16, then Switzerland or Colombia in the Quarter-Final. The defending champions could realistically reach a Semi-Final without facing another top-eight Outright shot. And to add to that, they have an exceptionally easy Group in my opinion too. As we said in the Group J preview, the draw is among the kindest any holder has had in a generation.
England get arguably the dreamiest start of anyone: a best third-placed team in the Round of 32 and then, on our projections, South Korea in the last 16. The catch is the Quarter-Final – their corner of the half also contains Brazil and Germany, so Tuchel’s side would likely need to beat one of those two to reach the semis. One genuinely hard game before the last four, but two very soft ones to get there.
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Best Bets Outright World Cup 2026 Market
We have some strong sides at the top of the market, and to be honest I feel that’s where the best value lies looking at the draw. We have the biggest World Cup ever, but you have to say that there are a lot of miss-matches and some knock out games where the gulf in class will be massive – especially with those eight third placed finishers too. It’s going to be a long World Cup fixture wise, and I feel it’s going to be best to support the sides who don’t have to face huge battles early.
I feel Argentina jump off the page here at 10.5. I know the stats are against them in terms of defending the title, but they have an elite squad and an easy path to the Semi-Final in my opinion. Obviously once you get there, there’s no easy games – as such be the case at a World Cup. I feel England at 8.2 look a bit short compared to Argentina in the bottom half of the draw, and we’ve seen in qualifying that Argentina are better than Brazil so in terms of the bottom half, I’m not looking past Argentina at 10.5.
For the top half, that I feel is a much more competitive path. Obviously you have Spain and France in there, and a lot will depend on whether or not Portugal top their Group to make that path harder. Also, we have seen how toxic the situation became with Mbappe at Real Madrid this season – how will the French squad support him is a big question. I feel the top half looks so competitive that nothing jumps off the page as massive value – so I’m happy to focus on Argentina as my only Outright bet for the 2026 World Cup!
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Argentina World Cup 2026 Winner at 10.5 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
