Green Bay Packers (0-0, 0-0 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (0-0, 0-0 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Seattle -5.5 (47)
Significant Injuries
Green Bay: TE Brandon Bostick (out- leg)
Seattle: LB Bruce Irvin (questionable– hip)
Recent Trends
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games
Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall
Green Bay is 3-1-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams
Seattle is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games vs. NFC opponents
Seattle is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games
The OVER is 8-2 in Green Bay’s last 10 road games
The UNDER is 5-0 in Seattle’s last 5 home games
The UNDER is 7-1 in Seattle’s last 8 games overall
Three reasons to back Green Bay
1. The Packers are an elite team with one of the NFL’s best offenses, so the prospect of getting 5.5 points is certainly enticing. As a matter of fact, in the last 73 games that quarterback Aaron Rodgers has started the Packers have lost by 6 points or more just 5 times, a remarkable statistic that speaks to the consistency and reliability of this Green Bay team.
2. Seattle doesn’t have an explosive offense, so it’s going to be difficult for them to open up a big lead without the help of turnovers and/or their special teams. Russell Wilson, though he’s had an excellent start to his career, is no Aaron Rodgers, and the Seahawks passing game as a whole is pedestrian, finishing 26th in the league in passing offense last season.
3. The last time these two teams met was back in 2012, but most of the key pieces from both teams remain. That game, also in Seattle, would have been a Green Bay victory if the replacement official (that was back when the refs were on strike, remember?) hadn’t blown the call on a game-ending Hail Mary that was ruled a Seattle touchdown, enabling the Seahawks to eek out a 14-12 win. These teams played as equals then and there’s no reason to think that won’t be the case again this time around.
Three reasons to back Seattle
1. The Seahawks have the NFL’s best defense and in their last game they chewed up and spit out the greatest offense in NFL history (according to the stats). Their “Legion of Boom” secondary will turn the Green Bay offense into a dink-and-dunk shell of itself, just as they did the last time these two teams met.
2. This is a great matchup for Seattle’s power running game, which is the bread and butter of their offense. Green Bay finished 25th in the league in rushing defense in 2013 and most of their front seven personnel returns intact, so Marshawn Lynch will be chomping Skittles and doing his ‘Beast Mode’ thing up and down the field on Thursday night.
3. The Seahawks are a great bet at home, covering in 16 of their last 21 home games despite being favored in 17 of those games. They nearly always win at home, and they usually win big.
Prediction
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