BACK-TO-BACK BANKERS UP: Germany Calling (WON 1-4 from better than 1-2 on BETDAQ) yesterday followed Bravo Zolo (WON 4-6 from 4-5 on BETDAQ) on Wednesday to make it back-to-back bankers for Daqman. There is another one tonight at Wolverhampton.
ASCOT HERE WE COME: Daqman also analyses four races on the opening day at Ascot and has a punting reprimand for the Stewards and those privy to inside information.
LOOK OUT AT LONGCHAMP: Tomorrow and Sunday, Daqman sets the scene for the big Longchamp festival, featuring Sunday’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe.
64 IN FRONT OF PRICEWISE: Daqman starts the weekend 63-26 up in his Flat-season feature-race challenge to Pricewise of the Racing Post. He won the contest in the last jumps season 39-12, so the overall match result is 102-38 to Daqman.
BALLYDOYLE DRAW BOUNTY IN THE ARC
The English Arc attack has stalled. The draw for Sunday’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe seemingly shuts the gate on both King George winner, Taghrooda, and St Leger hero, Kingston Hill, handed the 15 and 20 draws respectively.
The rising sun may also have set prematurely on the Japanese raiders, Harp Star (12) and Just A Way (14). German champion Ivanhowe (19) is another with problems but the back-to-form Ectot is in the middle of the pack (stall 10).
Just A Way is the real sufferer. As a 1m 2f champion colt who may need easy early sections, he is forced to take a wide-ranging run. The stamina of Taghrooda and Kingston Hill is now England’s hope if one or both can be geared for a long, late outside charge.
Avenir Certain has the plum rail draw (1), which housed Zarkava when she stormed home in 2008. Treve (in 3), who came down the outside last year, will need to run a different race on Sunday in her double bid.
Chicquita has a high stall but two other fillies, Dolniya (5) and Tapestry (8), have been well favoured, as ‘the girls’ bid to make it a four-timer after triumphs by Danedream, Solemia and Treve in the last three years.
In fact, both Irish and French champion trainers are celebrating today, with Aidan O’Brien’s Epsom Derby winner of 2012, Ruler Of The World, in stall 6, two away from the same stable’s Tapestry, and Andre Fabre’s only runner, Flintshire, poised in gate 4.
WHAT ABOUT THE PUNTER, STEWARD(S)?
The 10-day ban on Louis Steward seems harsh. He says he rode the filly concerned only with hands and heels because he knew she had bled badly in or after a previous race. There is some confusion as to who knew about this and when.
But the answer is straightforward. There must be declaration in advance of a race of such physical problems. I’m not thinking of the Stewards, who are a law unto themselves. I am thinking of the punter.
No one has yet mentioned those aggrieved backers of a horse that seemingly could not have been ridden with vigour, so potentially forfeiting their cash.
TELMEYD HAS ONLY TO GET AWAY THIS TIME
2.00 Ascot I looked at the poor quality of this field and came to the same conclusion as Paul Kealy, that there are few in the race who look young and unexposed enough to threaten the old boy, Smarty Socks, who has dropped down the handicap.
But then, taking that on board, another old boy, Scottish Glen, has more recent claims and, like Smarty Socks, has CD-winning form. Unlike ‘Smarty’, he keeps his form very well: 10 consecutive races in the first four. I could back both on BETDAQ: 9.8 Scottish Glen and 10.5 Smarty Socks.
2.30 Ascot Three-year-olds are unbeaten in this but there have been no winning favourites. That might not stop Oxsana, if she gets away better than she did at Pontefract, but the very fact that she was beaten favourite there, though dropped in class at a lower-grade track, suggests not much improvement was expected or received.
Pupil should take them along but they’re not too sure what trip he wants, and I see it between two recent winners, though success has cost them a few pounds.
Both Consign (8.0 on BETDAQ early mouse) and Meet Me Halfway (8.6) have both been able to put back-to-back wins together before.
3.05 Ascot Telmeyd was backed to step up in class on a hat-trick mission in August but blew the start at Ascot over today’s CD. Still managed fourth.
And the runner-up in his earlier Armstrong Memorial win at Ripon has scored since. Expected to turn around the Ascot placings with the second horse home, Golden Steps.
Mr Win is now up nearly two stone for three acey-deucy runs since July and Lexington Abbey has been climbing the ratings for a string of seconds. Red Pike and Munfallet are up in grade and ‘Red’ needs an easier surface.
If Little Shambles ran up to her York form in August she would just about win this if it were 7f. As it is, she needs some pace on, dropped back a furlong, but, since she’s a Mark Johnston, may well try to set it herself.
Too many ‘ifs’ and not wanted at 40.0 early mouse, so I’ll stick with the favourite. Telmeyd only has to get away to a good start to figure in this.
3.40 Ascot (Noel Murless Stakes) John Gosden won the race last year and every fish counts in the title race, with Team Hannon threatening a late all-hands-on-deck bid to hook the remaining big prizes from only £132,000 off the leader.
But this race is as tight a contest on form, with Gosden’s Marzocco just in front of Big Orange at Ascot and just behind Odeon at York, while Mizzou is getting better all the time.
Marzocco and Odeon have won only their maidens, always a bad sign, and Big Orange won at Chester and Lingfield because allowed all his own way.
If in doubt, go with the improver. That’s Mizzou. His hat-trick has come in slow times but at least he’s taken all his chances, and Big Orange may set him up to come from behind.
THE SECRET IS OUT ON PRESCOTT BANKER
7.20 Wolverhampton It’s only four days since High Secret won pulling up at Bath and the 12lb penalty may not be a big enough fix on the new Tapeta at Wolver, since rumour has it that an 80-rated has been left for dead by him at home. High Secret runs off 64 here.
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott, famous for his sequence horses, is himself on a roll right now, with 12 winners in the last fortnight, two of them from High Secret when he came back after nearly a year off, truly on a high but with his ‘secret’ talent now showing.
With three of his opponents a double-figure age and, of the rest, all bar the top-weight already considered around a stone inferior to him, High Secret’s only obstacle seems to be the other three-year-old, Kelamita, an easy CD winner but allowed to dictate at a slow pace that day.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points each, except the banker)
BET 2.2pts win on each SCOTTISH GLEN and SMARTY SOCKS (2.00 Ascot)
BET 2.8pts win CONSIGN and 2.6pts win MEET ME HALFWAY (2.30 Ascot)
BET 12pts win TELMEYD (3.05 Ascot)
BET 7pts win MIZZOU (3.40 Ascot)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) HIGH SECRET (7.20 Wolverhampton)
DAQ MULTIPLES (0% Commission): 3pts win double TELMEYD (3.05 Ascot) and HIGH SECRET (7.20 Wolverhampton) plus 2 x 1pt win trebles the same two with CONSIGN and MEET ME HALFWAY (2.30 Ascot)
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