PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Cheltenham is over but there’s a busy Saturday of racing. We summarise the ProForm positives and negatives for racing today including the Midlands Grand National at Uttoxeter.
Positives:
Uttoxeter 2-25 and 3-35: Colin Tizzard and Tom Scudamore have a 36% strike rate when they team up, profitable backing blind and way above expected. They team up twice today, on Justatenner (12.0) and Murrayana (19.5). In the same races, Kenneth Slack and Henry Brooke team up too, and their strike rate is 33%, they have Jokers And Rogues (8.4) and Almost Gemini (15.0).
Uttoxeter 4-10 (Midlands Grand National): Harry Whittington and Gavin Sheehan have a 33% strike rate together, Fourovakind is 17.5.
Gowran 3-55: Jessica Harrington has a profitable S/R over hurldes here and has had above her expected winners, Jett is 3.25. Herself and Robbie Power’s S/R here is also 26%, nearly double the expected winners.
Kempton 2-40 and 5-00: Nico De Boinville’s strike rate over fences at Kempton is an impressive 53%, winning over double his expected. He rides Casino Markets (11.0) and Castle Cheetah (12.0) there today.
Kempton 2-40: Tom George and Paddy Brennan’s record together at Kempton is good, having 3 above their expected winners. They team up again with Always On The Run at 4.3.
Wolverhampton 7-15: Michael Blake and Richard Kingscote have a 35% strike rate together, they’ve had 11 winners when they expected was just over 4. Able Dash is 6.0.
Newcastle 5-45: Kenneth Stack is in great form in the last 14 days with 5 winners from 11 runners, he saddles the favourite in the last, Columbanus at 3.55.
Negatives:
Uttoxeter 4-10 (Midlands Grand National): Donald McCain’s strike rate over fences at Uttoxeter is only 7%, way below his expected winners, he has Subtle Grey at 21.0.
Uttoxeter 4-45: Tom George has only 1 winner from 21 runners over fences here, his expected was nearly 4 – he saddles Valseur Du Granval at 9.4.
Uttoxeter 5-20: Dave Crosse is 0 from 42 over hurdles here, he rides When In Rome, currently 15.5.
Gowran 2-10: ‘Shark’ Hanlon has only had 1 winner from 59 runners at Gowran, his Mustadaam is currently 5.1.
Gowran 5-05: A Small sample but Robert Tyner and Mark Walsh’s strike rate together is just 7%, their expected was three times that – they have Mount Brandon at 7.0.
Kempton 3-50: Jonjo O’Neill and Noel Fehily strike rate when they team up is just under 7%, they have Festive Affair at 11.0.
Kempton 3-15 and 4-25: Paul Nicholls and Sam Twiston-Davies have yet to team up to have a winner over hurdles at Kempton, they have Keltus (18.0) and Chartbreaker (19.0) today.
Wolverhampton 6-15, 7-15 and 8-45: Jamie Spencer has ridden below his expected winners from 59 rides at Wolverhampton. He rides Stetchworth Park (10.5), Dove Mountain (3.85) and Dream Ally (6.4) tonight.
PROFORM BETS
Betdaq BACK of the day on stats: Able Dash 7-15 Wolverhampton, at around 6.0.
Next best: Columbanus 5-45 Newcastle, at around 3.55.
Betdaq LAY of the day on stats: Mustadaam 2-10 Gowran, at around 5.1.
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