PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews the final day of the 2025/26 season with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
⚽ FINAL DAY ⚽
4pm The final day of the 2025/26 Premier League arrives on Betdaq Betting Exchange this Sunday! All ten fixtures kick off at 4pm, and with the title race now decided after Manchester City dropped points away to Bournemouth midweek, all attention turns to the relegation battle. We have some cracking fixtures, but surely all the focus is going to be on Spurs hosting Everton and West Ham hosting Leeds. Spurs being involved has made it one of the most dramatic relegation battles. As things stand, Spurs have a two point advantage over West Ham and they also have a much better goal difference as well. West Ham need to win, and Spurs need to lose for the unthinkable to happen.
We also have plenty of other interesting games, but the Champions League spots look all but set. Liverpool have a three point advantage over Bournemouth and a better goal difference. Liverpool also have home advantage against Brentford – that should be a cracking game given Brentford have a chance at getting into Europe for the first time ever. They are only one point behind Brighton for a Europa League spot, and they are at home to Manchester United. It has been a hugely disappointing season by Liverpool’s lofty standards. The defending Premier League champions have never really threatened a title defence, and Arne Slot finds himself under pressure. However, with the appointment of Xavi Alonso at Chelsea – perhaps that says that Liverpool are backing Slot – Alonso seemed a natural manager for Liverpool to chase. Liverpool are the odds on favourites, with the home win trading 1.89 while Brentford are 4.0 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing.
While it should be an interesting battle for the Europa League spots – Brighton are 2.0 at home to United and Chelsea are 2.1 away to Sunderland. All the headlines today will likely come from the relegation battle. Both West Ham and Spurs have home advantage heading into the final day – the atmospheres are obviously going to be fantastic! They are both trading marginally odds on to win too – West Ham are 1.91 with Leeds 4.0 and the draw is 4.2 at the time of writing. While Spurs are 1.96 with Everton 4.3 and the draw is 3.8 at the time of writing. Both are very much “need to win prices” in my opinion – they both feel very short, but at the same time they are both at home, fighting to stay up and face sides with nothing to play for.
That being said, it’s no surprise both clubs find themselves where they are. They’ve both been very poor this season. West Ham’s under-lining numbers tell the story. Their average xG created of 1.22 is the four worst attacking figure in the Premier League, and their average xG conceded of 1.74 is the second worst defensive figure. No one has been able to keep them solid at the back since David Moyes left. Leeds will arrive at the London Stadium with nothing to fear. They sit 14th on 47 points well away from danger, have survived comfortably and are finishing the season in excellent form – unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games, winning four of those. They are fantastic when it full flow, and it seems they have really enjoyed the final stage of the season. We had this fixture here very recently in the FA Cup Quarter-Final; it finished 2-2 with a dramatic late West Ham goal. Leeds then won on penalties. The 1.91 feels more than a little short on the West Ham win, and that looks like a cracking value lay.
Spurs being involved in the relegation battle has been one of the extraordinary stories this season. From Champions League contenders to relegation battlers within a few years; a club of Spurs’ stature going into the Championship is pretty unbelievable. Their under-lining numbers haven’t quite been relegation standard, but they have been woeful at times on the pitch and obviously had so much drama with the managers position to deal with. Their average xG created of 1.32 is poor – bang average really, and their average xG conceded of 1.40 bang average too. Everton are similarly uninspiring from an attacking perspective with an average xG created of 1.32, while their average xG conceded of 1.54 is worse than Spurs defensively. Everton have nothing to play for, but they are the type of side that could cause problems when allowed to play freely. You wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.96 on Spurs here, but at same time I don’t think it offers the same value as the West Ham lay.
Let’s also not forget what could have been the most important game of the day as Crystal Palace host Arsenal. We also have Manchester City hosting Aston Villa – it would have been interesting to see how that worked out but you’d have to assume Arsenal would have beaten Palace given they have the Europa Conference League Final in a few days time, and then also Villa will surely still be in party mode after the Europa League win. Obviously Arsenal are in party mode now, and their price at 1.84 doesn’t exactly jump off the page considering they have the Champions League Final too! Overall on the final day, I feel the best bet is a West Ham lay at the odds – they haven’t played well enough to be odds on against a Leeds side finishing the season strongly.
The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) West Ham to beat Leeds at 1.91 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PL2026
