PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from the opening day of Aintree.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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1-40 Grade 1 Novice Chase: Henry de Bromhead has only had just over 10 runners at Aintree, however he has had success with his runners, he’s had two wins and three places – above expected. Sizing John is 3.9.
2-15 Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle: Nicky Henderson has a great record over hurdles at Aintree, winning 10+ over his expected, he saddles Khezerabad who might be able to outrun odds of 34.0. Also in this race, Alan King and Daryl Jacob have won 4 from 7 when they’ve teamed up, Sceau Royal is 26.0.
2-50 Grade 1 Chase: A small sample however Bryan Cooper has had over double his expected winners at Aintree – he rides Gold Cup third Don Poli, currently trading at 6.4.
3-25 Grade 1 Aintree Hurdle: Barry Geraghty has a 26% strike rate over hurdles at Aintree, can his My Tent Or Yours (13.0) turn form around with Annie Power?
4-05 Foxhunters Chase: Not a great race for stats for the National course! Rebecca Curtis has had double her expected winners in the last 14 days winning with 33% of her runners, Monkey Kingdom is trading around 34.0 on BETDAQ.
4-40 Grade 3 Handicap Chase: Dan Skelton has been in great form over the past 14 days, with nearly double his expected winners – he saddles Workbench here at 15.0.
1-40 Grade 1 Novice Chase: Aiden Coleman is only 1 from 37 at Aintree, he rides Aso in the first who is currently trading at around 34.0 on BETDAQ.
2-15 Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle: While Paul Nicholls has had success at Aintree, he has below his expected winners over hurdles. He saddles two here, Diego Du Charmil at 11.5 and Romain De Senam at 17.5.
2-50 Grade 1 Chase: Tom Scudamore should have had double his winners over fences at Aintree thus far, he rides total outsider Dynaste here for David Pipe, who had has below his expected winners here.
4-40 Grade 3 Handicap Chase: When Gordon Elliott and Bryan Cooper have teamed up thus far, they’ve had below their expected winners. They team up again here with Bright New Dawn at 16.0.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: SIZING JOHN 1.40 Aintree at 3.9.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: NO BET.
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