PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Kempton, Ludlow, Wolverhampton, Brighton and Sedgefield. Yesterday’s NAP won at 3/1.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Kempton 4-00: Paul Nicholls is in battle with Willie Mullins for the Trainers Championship, he has a 26% strike rate over fences at Kempton, Port Melon is currently 6.8 to give him more prize money.
Kempton 4-30: Harry Fry has a 29% strike rate over hurdles at Kempton, Mountain Eagle is 6.6.
Ludlow 2-40: Jonjo O’Neill and Richard Johnson have a 25% strike rate together, they team up again with Festive Affair at 4.3.
Ludlow 3-10: Tom George and Paddy Brennan have an impressive 46% strike rate when teaming up together over fences at Ludlow, with over double their expected winners, Kilbree Kid is 6.4.
Ludlow 3-40 and 4-10: Nico de Boinville has a 29% strike rate over hurdles at Ludlow, he rides two today – Towering at 5.8 and Midnight Folie at 18.0.
Wolverhampton 2-20: Keith Dalgleish and Sam Walker have won 4 from 10 when they’ve teamed up in the past, above expected, Argent Knight hasn’t ran for 556 days but is 2.16 for the first today.
Wolverhampton 3-20: Michael Easterby is in good form at the moment with above his expected winners in the last 14 days, Heart Locket is 4.7.
Wolverhampton 4-55: Stuart Williams and Aaron Jones have a 21% strike rate when they team up here, Flying Fantasy is currently 5.3 on BETDAQ.
Wolverhampton 5-25: Philip Hide and George Baker have had almost double their expected winners when teaming up, Ballroom Angel is 5.7.
Brighton 6-20: Luke Dace has had over double his expected winners at Brighton thus far, he saddles the second favourite here, Ravenous at 7.6.
Brighton 6-50: Ian Williams and Adam Kirby have won 8 from 15 when they have teamed up in the past, Williams obviously likes to put Kirby up when he thinks he has a very good chance, Goodwood Moonlight is 6.2.
Sedgefield 5-05: Dan Skelton is 3 from 7 with his runners over hurdles here, he saddles Red Tornado in the first at 2.06.
Sedgefield 6-05: Kenneth Slack has a 37% strike rate over hurdles at Sedgefield, with over double his expected winners, Generous Pet is 1.87.
Sedgefield 6-35: Sam Drake and Jonathan England have had double their expected winners when they have teamed up in the past, Attimo (3.35) bids for a hat trick at 6-35.
Kempton 2-30: Philip Hobbs is currently going through a brief rough patch, he is without a winner in 31 runners, he saddles Imperial Presence at 3.1.
Kempton 4-30: A small sample but Paul Nicholls and Sam Twiston-Davies are only 1 from 19 together over hurdles at Kempton when their expected was nearly 3, Chartbreaker is 6.2.
Ludlow 2-10 and 3-40: David Pipe is only 1 from 27 in the last 14 days, obviously well below his expected winners during that time, he saddles two today at Ludlow – Eamon An Cnoic at 14.5 and Shotavodka at 8.4.
Ludlow 4-10: Richie McLernon is only 1 from 32 rides over hurdles here, he rides Bayleys Dream at 13.0.
Wolverhampton 4-20: Brian Baugh is currently 0 from 53 runners at Wolverhampton, he saddles Davids Beauty is 11.0 on BETDAQ.
Wolverhampton 5-25: Jack Garritty’s strike rate around Wolverhampton is only 5%, a fair bit below his expected, he rides Patron Of Explores at 13.0.
Brighton 4-50: A small sample but Robert Cowell is 0 from 20 from his runners here when the expected was 2+, he saddles Visionary at 4.6.
Brighton 5-20: Phil McEntee’s S/R around Brighton is under 5%, and he should have had over double the winners he has had, Honiton Lace is 14.5.
Brighton 6-50: Tom Marquand is only 1 from 24 around Brighton, disappointing compared to his expected, he rides Rosie Royale at 9.4.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: GOODWOOD MOONLIGHT 6-50 Brighton, at around 6.2.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: IMPERIAL PRESENCE 2-30 Kempton, at around 3.1.
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