PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Epsom, Catterick, Perth, Lingfield, Taunton and Fairyhouse.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Epsom 2-30: AP O’Brien has started the season in decent form with above his expected winners in the last 14 days, he saddles Claudio Monteverdi in the Derby trial, currently 2.12.
Epsom 3-40 and 4-50: Ralph Beckett has a 23% strike rate at Epsom with above his expected winners, Pacify is 5.5 and Gold Faith is 8.0.
Catterick 4-00: Michael Bell has won with 6 of his 12 runners at Catterick thus far, over double his expected, he saddles Bonhomie at 9.2.
Catterick 4-35: Alan Swinbank and Joe Fanning have a 31% strike rate together, with 4 above their expected winners thus far, they team up wth Lavetta is 7.0.
Perth 2-40: Tim Vaughan has won with 10 of his 32 runners over hurdles at Perth, above expected, he saddles Dubh Eile at 6.2.
Also in the 2-40, Malcolm Jefferson and Jamie Hamilton have a 43% strike rate when they team up together, Princess Tara is favourite at 4.6.
Perth 3-15: When Gordon Elliott has teamed up with Richard Johnson, their strike rate is an impressive 40%, they have the favourite Fagan currently at 2.32. Gordon Elliott also has a 37% strike rate at Perth, with over 10 above his expected winners.
Perth 3-50 and 5-00: Fergal O’Brien has a 35% strike rate with his runners over fences here, with double his expected winners, Jennys Surprise is 6.2 and Gallic Warrior is 7.0.
Lingfield 6-45: Saeed Bin Suroor and James Doyle have a 44% strike rate when they team up around Lingfield, Lovely Memory is favourite here at 4.2.
Lingfield 7-15: A small sample but Simon Crisford and Silvestre De Sousa have won 4 from 13, nearly double their expected as that was just 2.2, Senses Of Dubai is 4.6.
Taunton 6-05: Harry Fry and Noel Fehily have won 33% of the races they have teamed up together over hurdles at Taunton, General Ginger is 3.15.
Taunton 7-35: Nick Scholfield have a 29% strike rate over fences at Taunton, he rides I’m In Charge at 8.0.
Taunton 8-05: Michael Heard has had nearly three times his expected winners over hurdles around Taunton, so he must be doing something right, he rides the total outsider here though Ann Maries Reject at 75.0.
Fairyhouse 6-25: Gordon Elliott and Davy Russell are 4 from 10 over fences at Fairyhouse together, Vercingetorix is 5.3.
Fairyhouse 7-55: AP O’Brien and Miss Sarah O’Brien have a 31% strike rate when they team up, above their expected, Raglan Rose is 8.4.
Epsom 3-05: Ed Dunlop is only 1 from 32 runners around Epsom, his expected was over 3 from that sample, he saddles two in the 3-05 – Oasis Fantasy is 6.8 and Scrutinise is 8.0.
Epsom 4-50: A very small sample but Peter Chapple-Hyam and Ryan Moore are only 1 from 13 together, when the expected was 3 winners, Marshal Dan Troop is 4.2.
Catterick 1-50: James Given has only managed 1 winner from 52 runners here thus far, disappointing given his expected was over 5, Feelin Dicky is 18.5.
Catterick 4-35: Brian Ellison and Graham Gibbons are 0 from 21 when they have teamed up in the past, their expected was over 3, Gerry The Glover is 6.4.
Catterick 5-40: Michael Dods and Phil Dennis should have had over double their wins thus far, they team up with the favourite for the last, Golden Spun at 4.6.
Perth 5-00: Brian Harding is only 1 from 36 over fences at Perth, he rides Ballyboker Breeze at 8.2.
Lingfield 6-45: Chris Dwyer should have had double double the amount of winners he has had around Lingfield, he saddles Bint Daddy at 11.0.
Taunton 6-35: Richard Woollacott and Conor O’Farrell should have had over double the amount of winners they have had when they have teamed up, Minella Web is 11.5.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: FAGAN 3-15 Perth, at around 2.32.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: No bet.
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