PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Warwick, Beverley, Perth, Market Rasen, Exeter & Tipperary.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Perth 2-00: Gordon Elliott has a 37% strike rate with his runners over hurdles at Perth, he saddles Buyer Beware at 3.0.
Perth 3-00 & 5-05 Richard Johnson has an impressive 38% strike rate over hurdles at Perth, he rides Braavos at 4.9 and Western Miller at 10.0.
Perth 3-30 Fergal O’Brien has had double his expected winners over fences at Perth, with a 35% strike rate, his Gallic Warrior is 5.9.
Perth 5-05 Nicky Richards and Craig Nichol have a 26% strike rate when they team up together, Cuil Rogue is 21.0.
Beverley 2-50 Sir Michael Stoute has a 33% strike rate with his runners at Beverley, Arab Poet is 2.62.
Beverley 4-50 William Haggas has a 30%+ strike rate with his runners around Beverley with above his expected winners, Carenot is 1.61 for the last.
Warwick 1-40 Gavin Sheehan has had over double his expected winners thus far over hurdles at Warwick, he rides Sporting Milan in the first at 5.8.
Warwick 3-10 A small sample but Paul Nicholls and Colin O’Farrell are 4 from 7 when they have teamed up, double their expected from that sample, Easter Day is 12.5.
Warwick 3-40 Identical numbers as the previous race! Paul Nicholls and Sam Twiston-Davies are 4 from 7 together over fences here, exactly double their expected too, Stilletto is 2.08. Paul Nicholls also has a 40% strike rate over fences at Warwick.
Warwick 4-40 Noel Fehily has a near 30% strike rate in Warwick Bumpers, with above his expected winners, he rides Clondaw Cracker at 12.0.
Exeter 4-45 Harry Fry and Michael Legg have won 6 from 13 when they’ve teamed up, All Kings is 17.0.
Exeter 5-30 Jonjo O’Neill is in great form at the moment, with double his expected winners in the last 14 days, Easy Street is 5.1.
Exeter 6-30 Tom Bellamy has had nearly double his expected winners over hurdles at Exeter, he rides the favourite Berry De Carjac, currently 7.6 in an open looking betting heat.
Market Rasen 5-20 Kim Bailey has been in good form over the last 14 days with nearly double his expected winners, Faerie Reel is 7.6.
Market Rasen 7-20 James Evans is 6 from 13 with his runners over fences here, Its Oscar is 11.5.
Market Rasen 7-50 Nicky Henderson’s strike rate is Market Rasen Bumpers is 39% with above his expected winners, Pollys Pursuit is 3.4.
Tipperary 5-10 Andrew Slattery has a 26% strike rate at Tipperary, with over double his expected winners, Bridgebrook is 10.0.
Tipperary 7-10 & 8-10 Mark Walsh has had nearly double his expected winners over hurdles at Tipperary thus far, he rides two outsiders today, Conn Job at 14.0 and Skellig Rocks at 16.5.
Perth 2-30 Lucy Normile should have had nearly double the winners she has had over hurdles at Perth thus far, Cadore is 12.5.
Perth 4-00 Brian Harding’s strike rate over fences here is under 3%, obviously below his expected, he rides Saints And Sinners at 12.0.
Beverley 1-50 & 2-20 Mick Channon has a very poor record at Beverley, he is 1 from 58 when his expected winners is close to 8, he saddles three today, Zig Zag Girl at 9.0 and Red Shanghai at 12.0 in the 1-50 and favourite Blacklisted at 3.25 in the 2-20.
Beverley 4-20 Duran Fentiman’s strike rate at Beverley is less than 3% and should have had over double the winners thus far, Gulf Of Poets is 21.0.
Warwick 2-40 Andrew Tinkler’s strike rate over hurdles at Warwick is just 4%, he rides Lord Golan at 19.5.
Warwick 4-10 Charlie Longsdon should have had over double the winners he has had over fences at Warwick, Orange Nassau is 15.5.
Exeter 6-30 Kieron Edgar is 0 from 26 over hurdles around Exeter, disappointing given his expected was close to 3, Perspicace is 9.4.
Exeter 7-00 & 7-30 Neil Mulholland and Andrew Thornton are only 1 from 26 when teaming up together, Indian Brave is 19.0 and Pursuitofhappiness is 10.0.
Market Rasen 5-50 Sue Smith’s strike rate over fences is under 7%, with less than half her expected winners, Brother Scott is 6.6. The jockey Sean Quinlan is also 0 from 17 over fences here.
Market Rasen 6-50 Maurice Linehan is only 1 from 27 over hurdles at Market Rasen, when his expected was close to 4, Hillview Lad is 9.6.
Tipperary 5-40 Adrian McGuinness and Chris Hayes are 0 from 39 when they’ve teamed up, Oor Jock is 10.0.
Tipperary 7-10 Jim Culloty and Brian O’Connell are only 1 from 53 together, when their expected was close to 5, Lake Takapuna is 2.58.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: STILLETTO 3-40 Warwick, at around 2.08.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: LAKE TAKAPUNA 7-10 Tipperary, at around 2.58.
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