PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing today including the opening day of the Punchestown Festival.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Punchestown 3-40: Enda Bolger and Nina Carberry have a 44% strike rate when they team up together at Punchestown, Wish Ye Didnt (2.42) bids to get favourite backers off to a good start at this years Punchestown Festival.
Punchestown 4-20: Nicky Henderson has a 27% strike rate from his runners over hurdles at Punchestown, can his Brain Power (36.0) beat Yorkhill (1.47)?
Punchestown 5-30: Ruby Walsh has a 30% strike rate over fences at Punchestown, he’s had nearly 5 winners over his expected, the great Vautour is 1.38 to give him another winner in the Champions Chase.
Punchestown 6-05 and 7-15: Patrick Mullins has a 38% strike rate in Punchestown bumpers, with over his expected winners, he rides Jenkins at 2.14 and Cilaos Emery at 4.0.
Nottingham 3-05: Alan Swinbank and Joe Fanning have a 33% strike rate when they have teamed up together, for nearly double their expected winners, Lavetta is favourite here at 4.5.
Nottingham 4-10: Ryan Tate has a good record around Nottingham with a 23% strike rate, he rides Zeeham, currently 6.8 on BETDAQ.
Nottingham 4-45: Ralph Beckett and Andrea Atzeni have a 27% strike rate together, a good bit over their expected, Desdichado is 4.6.
Bath 2-10: Mick Channon and George Baker have a 26% strike rate when they team up together, they have the favourite here in an open looking betting heat, Knight Of The Air at 6.8.
Bath 3-55: Sir Michael Stoute has started the season well and he has above his expected winners in the last 14 days, he saddles Shabbah here at 3.85. Jockey Ted Durcan also has a 28% strike rate at Bath.
Brighton 2-20 and 2-55: Paddy Pilley has had over double his expected winners from his rides at Brighton thus far, he rides Fitzwilliam at 3.25 and Roly Tricks at 9.2.
Brighton 3-30: Mick Channon and Charles Bishop have a 30% strike rate around Brighton when they team up, King Crimson is 5.6.
Lingfield 5-10: Saeed Bin Suroor’s strike rate at Lingfield is over 30%, he saddles the favourite here, Kananee at 3.15.
Lingfield 5-40: Adam Kirby has a brilliant long-term record at Lingfield with a strike rate of 21% from a sample of over 800, Dniro is 3.3.
Wolverhampton 5-55: Michael Appleby and George Buckell have a 30% strike rate when they have teamed up, with nearly three times their expected winners, Mr Red Clubs is 3.15.
Wolverhampton 6-30 and 8-40: SImon Crisford has a 37% strike rate with his runners at Wolverhampton, Red Artist is 9.4 and Zanjabeel is 4.5.
Punchestown 4-55: Andrew Lynch’s strike rate over hurdles at Punchestown is only 3%, and he should have had nearly double the winners he has had, Seven Nation Army is 25.0.
Punchestown 6-40: Gordon Elliott is going through a bit of a rough patch at the moment, he is without a winner in 32 runners, his expected during that time is close to 5, he has a busy day ahead, and saddles Noble Endeavor in the Grade 1 at 8.6.
Nottingham 2-35: Roger Teal and Oisin Murphy are only 1 from 25 when they have teamed up, Berkeley Vale is 7.0.
Nottingham 3-35: Tom Dascombe has had less than half the amount of winners he should have had at Nottingham thus far, he saddles La Celebs Ville at 25.0.
Bath 2-10: Eve Johnson Houghton’s strike at Bath is only 7%, it should be nearly double that, Miss Inga Sock is currently 11.5 on BETDAQ.
Also in this race, Adam Beschizza is only 1 from 31 at Bath, he should have over three times that thus far, he rides Star Of The Stage at 8.0.
Bath 3-55: A relatively small sample but Charlie Appleby is only 1 from 16 at Bath, disappointing given his expected was close to 5 in that short period, Disobedience is 3.25.
Brighton 4-05: Jeremy Gask and David Parkes are only 2 from 72 together thus far, way below their expected, Born To Finish is favourite in an open race at 4.8.
Lingfield 7-25: A small sample but Robert Cowell and Jim Crowley are only 1 from 19 together at Lingfield when their expected was over 3, Westbourne Grove is 9.8.
Lingfield 7-55: Chris Dwyer should have had double the amount of winners he has had at Lingfield from his 100+ runners, Baileys Mirage is 2.12 to lay on BETDAQ.
Wolverhampton 9-10: Sarah Hollinshead should have had over double the winners she has had at Wolverhampton, she saddles Natalia at 24.0.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: SHABBAH 3-55 Bath, at around 3.85.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: BAILEYS MIRAGE 7-55 Lingfield, at around 2.12.
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