PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Friday. There’s a NAP at Goodwood and a LAY at Carlisle.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Goodwood 1-50: Michael JM Murphy has rode nearly double his expected winners around Goodwood, he rides an outsider in the first – Quench Dolly at 28.0.
Goodwood 2-20: Hughie Morrison and Ryan Moore have a 31% strike rate when teaming up together, they have Baltic Brave at 2.96.
Goodwood 2-55 and 4-00: Jonathan Portman has saddled over double his expected winners at Goodwood, he has two there today – Poster Girl at 28.0 and Genuine Approval at 19.5.
Goodwood 4-35: Ryan Tate has a solid 21% strike rate at Goodwood, he rides the favourite Seeking Magic at 4.9 in an open betting heat.
Carlisle 2-00 and 2-30: BA Curtis has a nice 25% strike rate from his rides at Carlisle with over double his expected winners, Razin Hell is 9.4 and Jester Spirit is 13.5.
Carlisle 3-40: Roger Varian and Jack Mitchell have a healthy 22% strike rate when teaming up, Penny Lane Forever is currently 5.9 on BETDAQ.
Wolverhampton 3-15 and 3-50: Neil Mulholland and Liam Keniry have a healthy 22% strike rate when teaming up, Marshgate Lane is 3.1 and Lions Charge is 8.8.
Wolverhampton 4-20: Richard Hannon and Harry Bentley have a 33% strike rate together, Inland Sea is favourite here at 3.8.
Haydock 7-00: Roger Varian has a 27% strike rate from his runners around Haydock thus far, he starts his day there with Pretty Vacant at 6.8.
Stratford 6-15: Richard Johnson has a solid 22% strike rate over hurdles at Stratford, he takes the ride on Easter Day at 9.4.
Cork 8-05: Rory Cleary has rode nearly three times his expected winners at Cork, he rides an outsider here, Uno Voice at 24.0.
Downpatrick 5-55: Noel Meade has a 28% strike rate with his runners over hurdles here, he saddles the favourite Rise Of An Empire at 2.14.
Goodwood 2-20 and 2-55: John Fahy has had less than half of his expected winners at Goodwood, he rides Cool Bahamian at 14.5 and Carpe Diem Lady at 5.9.
Goodwood 3-30: Saeed Bin Suroor and James Doyle should have had nearly double the amount of winners they have had together at Goodwood, Prize Money is 2.16.
Carlisle 3-05: Kristin Stubbs and Shane Gray only have a 4% strike rate when teaming up together, Bronze Beau is 12.5.
Carlisle 4-10: Patrick Mathers is 0 from 38 with his rides at Carlisle, Hidden Treasures is currently 18.5 on BETDAQ.
Carlisle 5-15: Mark Johnston and Royston Ffrench have had less than half of their expected winners when teaming up, they have the favourite here, Ordinal at 3.3.
Wolverhampton 4-55: Tony Carroll and Tom Queally are only 1 from 34 when teaming up, Blistering Dancer is 8.8.
Haydock 8-00: James Sullivan has had less than half of his expected winners at Haydock, he rides Itlaaq at 19.0. The trainer Michael Easterby is just 1 from 68 too when his expected was well over 4 – he also saddles the favourite here, Tamayuz Magic at 3.1.
Catterick 7-10: Tracy Waggott and Connor Beasley have only managed a 2% strike rate together, their expected was more than 4 times that, Hadley is 13.5.
Cork 8-35: Colm O’Donoghue is 0 from 40 around Cork, he rides Palavicini Run at 6.6 in the last there today.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: BALTIC BRAVE 2-20 Goodwood, at around 2.96.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: ORDINAL 5-15 Carlisle, at around 3.3.
Prices quoted reflect those available on BETDAQ at the time of writing and are subject to fluctuation thereafter
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