7-2 NAP FOR 201 POINTS PROFIT: On the eve of the big two Classics of the season, Daqman is 201 points up (to 20-point stakes) with his nap selection of the day after Shamsaya (WON 7-2) yesterday took him to eight winners from the last 16 (for 50% success):
WON 7-4 Zig Zag Girl (nap)
WON 8-5 Knife Edge (nap)
WON 4-1 Almodovar (nap)
WON 10-11 Persuasive (banker)
WON 1-2 Millefiori (nap)
WON 4-1 Touch The Sky (nap)
WON 9-4 Home Of The Brave (nap)
WON 7-2 Shamsaya (nap)
OAKS ABC GUIDE AND 33-1 DOUBLE BID: Daqman tries to fill his BETDAQ wallet today with a 33-1 double ahead of the Oaks (Friday), Epsom Derby (Saturday) and French Derby triple of Classics this weekend. He starts with his Oaks ABC guide.
SKIFFLE LATE PROGRESS MAY HOLD THE KEY
4.30 Epsom, tomorrow (Oaks Stakes) Nine fillies will line up for the Oaks tomorrow on rain-softened ground. Here’s how they tick the stats and facts boxes from quality performance to stable form.
A: Winner in the Pattern or Listed
B: Rated 94-plus
C: Winner over a mile or more
D: Ran in the last five weeks
E: Between 2 and 6 career starts
F: Stallion stamina index 8.8f plus
X: Stable in form
ABCDEFX Seventh Heaven
Backward as a juvenile but had a mile field stretched out on her first run back before beating a small turn-out for the Lingfield Oaks Trial. The runner-up, Architecture, has also accepted for this and the third filly home had won her maiden 10 lengths.
ABCDEFX Skiffle
Godolphin’s hope, did not race until showing potential in a maiden early this month. Thought to be headed for the Ribblesdale but her Goodwood Height Of Fashion Trial success gives her every chance of a place at least in a contest where a late improver could hold the key.
ABCDEFX Somehow
Out of Epsom and Curragh Oaks winner, Alexandrova, Somehow is a laid-back individual who won on heavy ground before taking the Cheshire Oaks, racing lazily and with the form not amounting to much.
ABCDFX Minding
Strong improver as a juvenile, reversing earlier defeat by Ballydoyle in a Group 2 when winning the Group-1 Moyglare and extended her authority over the same filly in the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas. Defeat in the Curragh version put down to bang on the head leaving the stalls, but vulnerable on breeding for this step up in trip.
ABCDF Turret Rocks
Second to Ballydoyle in the fillies’ Criterium at Longchamp in the autumn but, easy to back, with her stable not firing, was down the field in the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas. The Oaks trip should see her in a different light.
BCDEX Architecture
A very good mover, stepped up 17lb and handled the Epsom-like track at Lingfield when just outpointed in the Oaks Trial there but left a doubt about her stamina, as does her pedigree.
BCDEX Diamonds Pour Moi
No prizes for guessing her Derby-winning sire but the dam’s side suggests she will have trouble getting Saturday’s trip, though she seemed to stay on, outpaced early, when third to Somehow in the Cheshire Oaks.
BCDEX Harlequeen
A big filly who should improve for a yard that has had a great start to the season. Ran up to BETDAQ Dee Stakes second Linguistic, and staying on behind So Mi Dar in the Musidora at York, though gives impression she is not an easy ride.
CDEFX Australian Queen
Another daughter of Barshiba with David Elsworth, who trained her half-sister, Arabian Queen, to beat Golden Horn in last year’s International at York. Behind Harlequeen when fifth in the Musidora but may better that if she gets a strong pace over this extra distance.
PENALTY KICK FOR ROTHERWICK AT RIPON
They shouldn’t do that! I’m in shock today after watching the Euro96 semi-final and Gareth Southgate’s missed penalty.
It was an England Derby line-up of the best we’ve ever had since 1966, with El Tel master of the gallops.. yet it became another Classic England failure of nerve. No Brexit this time lads, please!
3.20 Ripon Rotherwick has spent the last year in classes 2 and 3 but has dropped 9lb so sneaks into the top of this class-4 handicap at a time when his stable is in flying form.
Paul Cole is 60% (3-5) at Ripon (2-3 in races like this) and, if Rotherwick could repeat his Britannia fifth at Royal Ascot, he’d win this on the bridle.
Snag is that he doesn’t find much off that bridle, but the bridesmaid Count Montecristo and ex-German Invictus are likely to find even less. Surely a penalty kick for King Cole and Rotherwick (famous last words).
8.10 Kempton James Fanshawe could win with the stable cat right now, and Up In Lights is nicely drawn in stall 6.
Wins when fresh (for Tom Queally) and Fanshawe is currently 5-10 (two under Tom Queally). His Kempton record is 22% (and he’s had 22 winners overall ridden by Tom Queally).
There’s also a hidden horse here for Roger Charlton, said by the Racing Post to be getting 100% out of his horses.
They’re running to the rating every time and the figure for Countermeasure could be in excess of his 79 now that he’s gelded and racing in his own right after a career of pacemaking in the Pattern.
DAQ MULTIPLES I’m trying to fill my BETDAQ wallet for three days of Classic racing: the Oaks tomorrow, Epsom Derby Saturday and French Derby Sunday.
So I’m banking on Rotherwick (2.75 on BETDAQ as I write) and doubling him in Daq Multiples doubles with Up In Lights (4.0) and Countermeasure (12.0). Could land me a 33-1 double!
Since I have the Oaks winner (wait for it!) and this column has already backed the Derby winner, we won’t lose any sleep after a five-hour flutter today.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) ROTHERWICK (3.20 Ripon)
BET (to win 30pts) 10pts win UP IN LIGHTS, plus 2.7pts win and place COUNTERMEASURE (8.10 Kempton
DAQ MULTIPLES: 2 x 3pts win doubles (1 x 2) the above three
£25 IN FREE BETS
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