DAQMAN GOLD STRIKE IN THE CUP: Daqman’s Royal Ascot bets show a profit of 73 points from three winning bets a day in the three winning days so far, yesterday including a gold banker, appropriately on the Gold Cup winner, Order Of St George.
CHALLENGE CORNERS 14 WINNERS: If you’d followed the value challenge between Daqman and Pricewise, you would have had 14 winning bets between Tuesday and Thursday, 9-5 up to Daqman (season’s tally 44-20 to Daqman).
THE NINE SUCCESSFUL BETS SO FAR: Here are the Daqman Royal Ascot winning bets this week:
WON 10-1 Portage (from 14.5 on BETDAQ, Royal Hunt Cup)
4th 20-1 Azraff (from 27.0 on BETDAQ, Royal Hunt Cup)
WON 4-1 Profitable (Fortune Cookie from 5.9 on BETDAQ, Kings Stand Stakes)
2ND 33-1 Cotai Glory (Fortune Cookie from 40.0 on BETDAQ, Kings Stand Stakes)
WON 9-4 Usherette (Fortune Cookie)
WON 15-8 Even Song
WON 10-11 Order Of St George (Gold Cup banker)
3rd 14-1 Pedestal
4th 14-1 The Major General
GRIZZEL LOOKED BIG AT 9.2 IN THE ALBANY
2.30 Royal Ascot (Albany Stakes)
Though you’d think experience would help, five out of six since 2010 had had just the one run before winning this. High numbers are best overall in the draw this week.
Add the stats together and you get Create A Dream for Wesley Ward, that magnificent man with his flying machines. Already placed at Ascot.
But it’s not mere sentiment to back the first Royal Ascot runner for Frankel as a sire, Queen Kindly, five-lengths winner on her debut and also drawn high.
Making up a star quartet are the dual Ballydoyle scorer, Cuff, Richard Hannon’s Beverley winner, Grizzel, and Godolphin’s Romantic View, a front-runner from gate 12 which boosts the high numbers.
But Cuff has High On Love and Oh Grace – they are in stalls 1, 2, 3 – to make the pace on his side of the big field. Bletchley is in 4, and Pricewise thinks he’s cracked the code.
The Beverley runner-up to Grizzel ran third in the Queen Mary to the hottest Ward ‘machine’, Lady Aurelia; the runner-up to Cuff at Naas was only five lengths off the winner of the Windsor Castle; and The Last Lion, pipped by Create A Dream at Ascot, was runner-up to Prince of Lir in the Norfolk Stakes yesterday.
So three fillies already have Royal Ascot provenance. The BETDAQ offers must decide. Create A Dream (8.2) and Grizzel (a big 9.2 for one with stamina) are two against the field. Two bets reduce my percentages but increase my chance of winning and don’t bring me down to Cuff’s 2-1.
CARNTOP SET TO TAKE THE ‘ASCOT DERBY’
3.05 Royal Ascot (King Edward VII Stakes)
The ‘Ascot Derby’ for colts that have thus far been not quite up to Classic standard but which can turn up a late-devleoping monster that goes on to beat the Classic winners.
In 2011, the slow-to-learn Nathaniel won it on the way to defeating Derby winner Workforce in the King George.
The key is that ‘late developer’ look. In fact, since 2010 the King Edward winner had had only two to four races. Step forward Carntop, Choreographer, Lustrous Light and Muntahaa.
Not much between Carntop and the exposed Humphrey Bogart on their Lingfield Derby trial one-two. And, on the strength of that, Carntop, having his first run back, would turn the tables here and, if so, could have edged into the Derby picture hsd he got going earlier.
Choreographer might have been involved in the Dante finish but didn’t get a clear run. However, the York form doesn’t seem to amount to much.
Lustrous Light was very green when winning at Navan and may need more time. And the grey Muntahaa is hooded, not a pretty sight at this level.
Obviously Beacon Rock, the Gallinule winner, placed in two Derby trials, including behind the Epsom winner, Harzand, must go close but was easy to back this morning. Carntop win and place at 6.0 looked best.
JERSEY JACKS UP COMMONWEALTH FORM
3.40 Royal Ascot (Commonwealth Cup)
Muhaarar won this on the way to a four-timer of the highest quality, so youre looking for very strong galloper with speed, the Lady Aurelia of the three-year-olds.
After Cheikeljack cut loose in the Prix Djebel (7f heavy), holding on from yesterday’s Jersey Stakes hero Ribchester and a subsequent Group-3 winner, it was always on the cards that he would be dropped back to sprinting. The bonus is that he has his ground.
Quiet Reflection won a Group 3 (Chantilly 6f heavy) in April from a horse that was sevenn lengths behind Donjuan Triumphant in a Criterium in the autumn.
Donjuan was, therefore, expected’ over the Quiet one in the Sandy Lane at Haydock in May but it was not his ground and he was having his first run of the season: better of at the weights and should close down his rival here at least. But Cheikeljack looks huge at 9.6 after Ribchester’s victory.
JET-PROPELLED GUINEAS FORM DECIDER
4.20 Royal Ascot (Coronation Stakes)
This is a Classic replay, with French Guineas runner-up Nathra having only a head and a head to spare over the third and fourth, Qemah and Besharah (Alice Springs disappointing behind).
Alice Springs was third in the Newmarket Guineas, holding Fireglow, Nathra and Jet Setting, suggesting the Deauville form is best.
But it’s hard to ignore the power finishes of Jet Setting’s Leopardstown prep snd then her Irish Guineas, leaving the Newmarket form behind.
The lightly-raced newcomer to the Classic set is Nemoralia, who looked a queen in waiting at York, but he question of the soft ground is why she’s trailing Jet Setting in the morning BETDAQ market.
With Dettori on Nathra and Peslier on Nemoralia, both down the outside, jockeyship will be paramount. No wonder Pricewise has ducked the race. I’ll sick with Jet Setting and hope for that surge of hers.
FABRICATE QUEEN’S BEST BIRTHDAY CHANCE
5.00 Royal Ascot (Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes)
Four-year-olds dominate: seven out of eight since 2007, with four of them down to Sir Michael Stoute. Yet here he relies on the glass horse, five-year-old Kings Fete.
Cymro needs the soft ground he got when beating Queen Mother’s Cup winner, Snoano, at Thirsk. But Tom Dascombe is badly out of form and his Ascot runners have all bar one started enormous odds.
Rare Rhythm (10.0) has had his setbacks but is ready to show for Godolphin, while Fabricate (11.5) could be The Queen’s best chance at her birthday meeting.
ORMITO SHOULD FLOWER IN THE VASE..
5.35 Royal Ascot (Queen’s Vase)
Joseph O’Brien with Birthplace is head to head with Aidan O’Brien and Cole Porter. My heart belongs to daddy, but he also has Lsndofhopeandglory (8.4 offers) more likely to appreciate this trip.
He also has Sword Fighter, probably flattered to carry on his CV a second to the Derby winner, Harzand.
There’s a big word for Ebediyin, yet another Irish chance. But the home money is for Ormito, a Classic trialist who should come into his own for the trip: 6.4 on BETDAQ.
DAQMAN’S ROYAL ASCOT BETS (stake as stated)
BET (to win 30) 4pts win CREATE A DREAM and 3.6pts win GRIZZEL (2.30)
BET (to win 30) 6pts win CARNTOP (3.05)
POT-OF-GOLD BET (to win 50) CHEIKELJACK, odds wanted 5-1, so 10pts win at 9.6 on BETDAQ (3.40)
BET 11.5pts win (nap) JET SETTING (4.20)
BULL’S-EYE BETS (to win 50) 5pts win on each RARE RHYTHM and FABRICATE (5.00)
BET (to win 30) 5.5pts win ORMITO and 4pts win LANDOFHOPEANDGLORY (5.35)
£25 IN FREE BETS
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