PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Saturday. Yesterday’s NAP WON at 6/5 and the highlighted LAY recommendation finished LAST at 7/4.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Newmarket 2-15: When teaming up together at Newmarket, John Gosden and Frankie Dettori have an impressive 32% strike rate, Dabyah is currently 6.2.
Newmarket 2-50: Charles Bishop has a nice 23% strike rate at Newmarket with over double his expected winners, he starts his day on Ingleby Mackenzie 27.0.
Newmarket 4-35: Jack Garritty has had double his expected winners from his rides at Newmarket, he rides Eastern Impact at 38.0 in the July Cup.
Ascot 2-10: David Lanigan and George Baker have a nice 27% strike rate when teaming up together, they start their day at Ascot with Northdown at 17.0.
Ascot 5-35: Roger Charlton has a solid 20% strike rate with his runners at Ascot, his High Shields is currently 6.2 on BETDAQ.
Ascot 6-05: Hughie Morrison is in great form at the moment with over double his expected winners in the last 14 days, he saddles Dutch Law at 4.7.
Chester 3-05: Ralph Beckett and Graham Lee have won on 5 of the 9 times they have teamed up together, they have an outsider here in the shape of Stroll Patrol at 24.0.
Chester 3-35: Andrew Balding has a rock solid 22% strike rate with his runners at Chester, he saddles the favourite here, Secret Hint at 5.5.
York 4-50: Dean Ivory has had well over double his expected winners at York, he saddles Caspian Prince at 14.5.
Hamilton 6-15: Karl Burke and Joey Haynes have won 8 from 15 when teaming up at Hamilton, Baie Damour is 3.3. Haynes has also rode over double his expected winners around Hamilton.
Hamilton 7-45: Mark Johnston has an impressive long-term strike rate of 25% at Hamilton, he saddles the favourite here, Isharah at 2.84.
Salisbury 7-30: Brendan Powell has had well over double his expected winners at Salisbury, he saddles two in the 7-30 – Gannicus at 8.4 and Dark Amber at 23.0.
Tipperary 4-55: Edward Harty has a 42% strike rate with his runners over hurdles at Tipperary, Moon Over Germany is 9.2.
Newmarket 2-15: Oisin Murphy has a terrible record at Newmarket with a strike rate of just 1%, nearly seven times under what the expected was, he starts his day on Carol at 15.5.
Also in this race, Luca Cumani has saddled under his expected winners from his runners around Newmarket, he has the favourite in the first, Dubara at 5.5.
Newmarket 2-50: Brian Meehan and Frankie Dettori have teamed up together for less than half of their expected winners, Bacchus is currently 5.5.
Ascot 2-45: David Barron is 0 from 47 with his runners at Ascot thus far, he saddles Robot Boy at 10.0.
Also in this race, Martin Lane has had less than three times his expected winners from his rides at Ascot, his mount Desert Law is favourite at 9.6.
Ascot 3-15: Sir Michael Stoute and Pat Smullen have teamed up for less than three times their expected winners, they have Convey at 7.4.
Chester 3-35: Alan Bailey has only had exactly half of his expected winners at Chester, he saddles Go Far at 14.5.
Chester 4-45: Liam Jones has rode less than four times his expected winners around Chester, he takes the ride on The Character at 7.8.
York 2-25: Mark Johnston has saddled under his expected winners at York for a strike rate of just 6%, he starts his day there with Vive Ma Fille at 10.0.
York 4-15: Ed Dunlop only has a 2% strike rate with his runners around York, his expected was over four times that – he saddles Oasis Fantasy at 19.0.
Hamilton 6-15: Barry McHugh has a strike rate of less than 5% riding at Hamilton, his expected was nearly double that, he starts his evening on Western Presence at 6.0.
Salisbury 9-00: Brian Meehan has less than a 4% strike rate with his runners around Salisbury, less than half of his expected, Malmoosa is 7.0.
Tipperary 4-20: Willie McCreery and Declan McDonogh have only teamed up for 1 winner from 43 together, they have Most Radiant at 8.6.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: BAIE DAMOUR 6-15 Hamilton, at around 3.3.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: MOST RADIANT 4-20 Tipperary to place, at around 2.3.
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