BIG-ODDS TILT AT HIS FAVOURITE TRACK: Daqman is punting Betdaq offers of 15.5, 14.5, 12.5, 11.5 and 10.5 at Ascot today, as he goes on the trail of value at his winningmost track on the day Frankie Dettori celebrates his seven winners in one day there. Frankie has one ride today.
TWO TOP MEETINGS IN ONE DAY: Tomorrow there are more value bets on Challenge Cup day at Ascot, plus Day 1 of the Arc De Triomphe meeting at Chantilly. Daqman will be challenging the Racing Post value column with the season’s scores Daqman 78, Pricewise 33.
DAQMAN’S RACING NEWS UPDATE..
On the map: Excellent pre-Arc study of Chantilly track and riding results by James Pyman in the Racing Post today. You almost know the place like the back of your hand. Except for the poor editorial presentation.
How can you feature – full page with a stock picture of Postponed – the intricacies of a particular racecourse without showing so much as a basic map? Not Newtonian physics, is it!
On the road: Jim Crowley is well on the road to the jockeys’ title, nine in front of Silvestre De Sousa, 127-118, with a winner apiece at Chelmsford last night.
I’ll say it for the last time: how spurious the 1-5 offers by bookmakers on De Sousa at the time of Ryan Moore’s time off injured.
Bookies thrive on their own knee-jerk reaction; and yours. Don’t give them the satisfaction. Invest in a big-value area and oppose the lemmings. It’s called BETDAQ betting.
On a certainty: Gordon Elliott (pictured) is nailed on to be Irish champion jumps trainer, with the defection to his care of the Gigginstown 60 from Willie Mullins.
Who will win between Michael O’Leary and Willie Mullins? There are no winners among the combatants in war; only damage limitation. The winner is Gordon Elliott.
In arm’s way: Davy Russell and the Clonmel Stewards who have banned him 17 days have had their altercations before now.
Davy should remember the Tommy Cooper joke about the man who went to the doctor and said: I’ve broken my arm in the same place twice; what shall I do? The doctor replied: Don’t go to that place again!
I had a bad day myself yesterday, even picking the wrong Jim Crowley horses to back. I’m not a good loser and my neighbours heard me ‘verbally acting in a manner prejudicial to the conduct of horseracing.’ So I’m with you Davy; don’t let them get you down!
MICK CAN WORK HIS MAGIC AT 14.5
2.00 Ascot Cricklewood Green won this last year off a 4lb lower and gets green for ‘go’ again, with Ryan Moore booked. Lyfka and My Target have obvious chances, and Red Tea is back to form under Lulu Stanford. But I’m flying a couple of kites.
Mick Easterby has seen Holiday Magic (14.5 on BETDAQ) dropped 15lb this year and so has been able to field him in class 4 today for the first time since 2014. Jamie Spencer booked.
Realize (a 15.5 offer) scored three from four on AW before a quiet summer of two runs in six months and is now 20lb lower on turf.
Unfancied in this last year but now 6lb better off with the winner, he’s used to company as high as class 2 and Listed at Lingfield, Wolver and Chelmsford.
2.35 Ascot A pound on Fastnet Tempest is essential as Frankie Dettori celebrates his September 1996 seven-timer here at Ascot with just the one ride.
MAZZINI MIGHT BE ANOTHER TIN MAN
3.10 Ascot The Tin Man came to prominence in this for James Fanshawe on the way to fourth in the Champions Sprint at the big meeting in two weeks’ time.
A lowish draw helps and Fanshawe has adecent chance of a repeat with 3.8 favourite Mazzini, carrying a featherweight out of stall 4. He’ll be a stone better off on Yarmouth form with Highly Sprung, who has flopped since.
Kadrizzi also flopped on the last day; didn’t seem to cope with his penalty for winning here in August.
Vibrant and Ornate appear to be bridesmaids who lack that killer burst, and Symposium is drawn out widest of all.
So I took 10.5 that Mont Kiara returns to form; miles in front of Kadrizzi before scoring at Newmarket in July. Can be forgiven his last two runs (pulled hard/dwelt); let’s hope he’s on his best behavior.
3.45 Ascot My man in the long grass has nothing to say about Platitude (not even a platitudinous ‘working well’) and the close proximity of dark-horse Aydoun in the market makes choosing one of them too risky at the short odds.
If Alyssa could behave, she would be a certainty here; 10 lengths and 23 lengths winner at Epsom; all the way at Salisbury, but upset in the stalls in a Group 2 at Doncaster.
The 11.5 this morning isn’t as huge as it might appear; because we have the worry about the stalls again and the threat of the two at the front.
But, if she jumps the stalls this time, I can see her trying to make all, and that makes her a potential trade.
4.55 Ascot There are always a lot of one-paced animals around in two-milers on the fast Flat tracks, which make such races a betting medium.
Young horses inevitably beat the old-timers in these circumstances (no winners of this one over the age of four for nine years now).
Life Less Ordinary can step up for Jamie Osborne and, as a bridesmaid, Percy Veer’s 12.5 provides place possibilities.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 20 points)
BET 1.5pts win and place on each HOLIDAY MAGIC and REALIZE (2.00 Ascot)
BET 5.5pts win FASTNET TEMPEST (2.35 Ascot)
BET 7pts win (nap) MAZZINI, and 2pts win and place MONT KIARA (3.10 Ascot)
BET 2pts win and place ALYSSA (3.45 Ascot)
BET 3.5pts win LIFE LESS ORDINARY, and 1.75pts win and 3.25pts place PERCY VEER (4.55 Ascot)
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