PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League fixtures with a recommended BETDAQ bet for each game together with extended match stats. The action starts at 12.30pm with MAN CITY v EVERTON at the Etihad.
MANCHESTER CITY V EVERTON
12.30pm This is an interesting clash to get us underway for the Premier League weekend! Looking at the stats City have a very poor record against Everton – they’ve only won twice in the last seven meetings between the teams in all competitions. Everton have also left here with a draw in their last three visits in the Premier League; obviously City are playing some great football this season but Everton could well be their ‘bogey’ team. City look pretty short at 1.24 here and we expect Everton to make those odds look very short – they performed very well away to Liverpool recently and they also held Chelsea to 0-0 away from home too. City may well win easily however from a value point of view we simply have to lay the home team at 1.24 – we expect a closer game than those odds suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester City at 1.24.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMncEve
MATCH STATS
- In all competitions, Manchester City have won just two of their last seven games against Everton (D3 L2), managing only one clean sheet in this run (0-0 in January 2016).
- Everton have drawn each of their last three away games against Manchester City in the Premier League, with just four goals being scored in these meetings (two each).
- Among teams that have faced Manchester City at the Etihad on 10+ occasions in the Premier League, no side has avoided defeat in a higher percentage of their games than Everton (60% – 15 games, six defeats; the same as Liverpool).
- Manchester City haven’t lost a Premier League game against a non “big six” opponent since January 2017 versus Everton. Since then, they have won 139/153 points in these matches (W44 D7 L0).
- Manchester City haven’t lost consecutive Premier League games since December 2016, when they lost against Chelsea and Leicester City.
- Manchester City have won their last nine Premier League home games by an aggregate score of 33-6.
- Manchester City have won just 25% of their Premier League games against Everton under Pep Guardiola (P4 W1 D2 L1) – indeed, only against Liverpool (20%) do they have a lower win percentage in the competition since Guardiola took charge (min. 3 meetings).
- Under Pep Guardiola, Manchester City have conceded seven Premier League goals against Everton – against no other side have they shipped more.
- Since the start of last season, Manchester City’s Raheem Sterling has been directly involved in 26 goals in 21 Premier League home games (17 goals, 9 assists).
- Without Richarlison’s eight league goals this season, Everton would be nine points worse off in the Premier League – no player has seen their goals be worth more points than the Brazilian forward (level with Aubameyang for Arsenal and Murray for Brighton).
CRYSTAL PALACE V LEICESTER
3pm Leicester won’t be looking forward to this fixture as they have a terrible record at Selhurst Park. They have won just three of their last 14 games here and this is bound to be an interesting clash with Palace struggling for form. Palace had a tough run of fixture having to play Chelsea, Spurs and United in a row and after they beat Burnley 2-0 here we felt that could get back on track. They then lost against Brighton and West Ham though and conceded three goals in both games – you couldn’t say the same about Leicester as they have generally been keeping things very tight at the back. We feel that will be the difference here as Leicester get chances in front of goal and Palace struggle at the other end – we’re happy to lay the home side at 2.74 even allowing for the Leicester poor record here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Crystal Palace at 2.74.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCrlLcr
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace are looking to record three consecutive top-flight wins against Leicester for the first time, following home and away victories in 2017-18.
- Leicester City have won just three of their last 14 games at Selhurst Park in all competitions (D5 L6), with the most recent of these coming in the 2015-16 season when the Foxes won the Premier League (1-0).
- Crystal Palace have won and kept a clean sheet in each of their last two Premier League games against Leicester – the last team they won three consecutive games against without conceding was Aston Villa in April 2014.
- Leicester City haven’t lost three consecutive games without scoring against an opponent in the Premier League since April 2002 (six in a row against Manchester United).
- Crystal Palace have lost 10 of their 16 Premier League games this season, only Fulham have lost more (11). Indeed, it’s one more than the Eagles had lost at this stage last season, despite losing their opening seven matches in 2017-18.
- Crystal Palace are looking to win consecutive home league games for the first time since their final three matches at Selhurst Park in 2017-18.
- Selhurst Park has seen fewer goals scored than any other Premier League ground this season (12), with Crystal Palace scoring four and conceding eight.
- Leicester have scored in each of their last nine Premier League away games; only once have they had a longer such run in the competition (12 between January-September 2016).
- Only Southampton (35) have conceded more away Premier League goals in 2018 than Leicester City (32).
- Crystal Palace winger Wilfried Zaha has scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances against Leicester, while he’s never previously netted in three consecutive games against a single opponent in the competition.
HUDDERSFIELD V NEWCASTLE
3pm This is a big game towards the bottom of the table. Huddersfield are currently in the bottom three in 18th position but they’re only three points behind Newcastle in 15th – things are so close a few wins can really shoot teams up the table; just look at Cardiff. Huddersfield put up a good performance against Arsenal last weekend but unfortunately came up just short. Newcastle lost at home to Wolves and prior to that were embarrassing by West Ham losing 3-0 – they did ok in their last away game though when drawing 1-1 with Everton. We expect a very close affair here in a low quality game and the draw makes a lot of appeal at 3.15. Newcastle games have seen the smallest number of goals scored this season and it’s hard to see past another very close game here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.15.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQHddNew
MATCH STATS
- Huddersfield have won just two of their last 13 games against Newcastle in all competitions (D4 L7), however the most recent of those came in this fixture last season (1-0).
- This will be the fifth meeting between Huddersfield and Newcastle under current managers David Wagner and Rafa Benitez, with both sides winning two games apiece to date.
- Huddersfield are looking to record consecutive home wins over Newcastle for the first time in the top-flight since April 1955.
- The last five games between Huddersfield and Newcastle in the top-flight have seen just four goals scored, with three of those ending in draws (one win apiece).
- Though they’ve scored in their last three matches at home, Huddersfield haven’t scored more than once in their last 13 Premier League home games. The last team to have a longer such run in the competition were Derby in 2007-08 (14 games).
- Newcastle United’s Premier League games have seen 35 goals scored this season, fewer than any other side (scored 13, conceded 22).
- Since the start of last season, Huddersfield Town (29) and Newcastle United (27) have lost more games in the Premier League than every other team.
- 54% of Newcastle’s Premier League goals this season have been headed (7 of 13); the highest proportion in the division.
- Huddersfield midfielder Aaron Mooy has scored in both of his previous two games at the John Smith’s Stadium against Newcastle, including the winning goal in this fixture last season (1-0).
- Huddersfield Town’s top Premier League scorers this season are Zanka and Aaron Mooy (two goals) – the lowest-scoring top scorers at any club so far in 2018-19.
TOTTENHAM V BURNLEY
3pm We’ve seen some very short prices on Man City at home this season, however Spurs are shorter than them this week as they trade 1.21 on BETDAQ at the time of writing. Who can blame the markets putting Spurs at that price as Burnley have been terrible this season and they currently sit in 17th position – what a huge drop from last season! Spurs come into this fixture on a high too after managing to stay in the Champions League on Tuesday night with a draw away to Barcelona. Burnley did manage to grind out a 1-0 win at home to Brighton last weekend but they have consistently struggled this season especially with conceding goals and we’d expect similar here against the quality of Spurs. We like Any Other Home Win (Spurs to score four or more and win) at 3.2 which looks appealing against this Burnley side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Any Other Home Win at 3.2.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQTtmBur
MATCH STATS
- Spurs have lost just one of their eight games against Burnley in the Premier League (W5 D2), with that lone defeat coming back in May 2010 (2-4 defeat under Harry Redknapp).
- Burnley are looking for their first away win against Spurs in any competition since January 1983 (4-1 in the League Cup quarter-final).
- Spurs are unbeaten in their six Premier League games against Burnley under Mauricio Pochettino (W4 D2), scoring 10 goals and conceding just three in return.
- Burnley have kept a clean sheet in just 18% of their top-flight games against Spurs (14/76).
- Just 33% of Tottenham Hotspur’s Premier League points this season have been won in home games (12/36) – the lowest ratio in the division.
- Tottenham Hotspur have lost two of their last five Premier League home games, as many defeats as they had in their previous 39 at home in the competition (W31 D6 L2).
- Burnley have picked up just six points from their last 30 available away from home in the Premier League (W1 D3 L6).
- None of Tottenham’s 16 Premier League games this season have ended in a draw – only Bolton Wanderers in 2011-12 (18) and Manchester United in 2012-13 (17) have had a longer run without a draw from the start of a Premier League campaign.
- Spurs striker Harry Kane has scored four goals in five Premier League appearances against Burnley, including a hat-trick in the most recent of those (3-0 in December 2017).
- After a run of 15 Premier League games without a goal from 18 shots, Son Heung-min has scored in three goals from 16 shots in his last four Premier League appearances for Tottenham Hotspur.
WATFORD V CARDIFF
3pm Cardiff managed to bag another massive three points last weekend against Southampton and now they sit in 14th position. Not many seen that coming after their terrible start to the season! With things so tight at the bottom, they will need to keep their good form going over the busy Christmas period however they have performed much better at home compared to away from home and they have a tough fixture here. Watford have been pretty poor lately though and come into this fixture without a win in their last six. They started the season well but have fallen away since and they look very short here at 1.67. We expect a closer game than those odds suggest with Cardiff battling hard and we’re happy to lay Watford from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Watford at 1.67.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWatCar
MATCH STATS
- This will be the first ever top-flight meeting between Watford and Cardiff, and the first in any competition since December 2014 (4-2 win for Watford in the second tier).
- Cardiff City have lost just one of their previous seven games against Watford in all competitions (W3 D3), although that was in the most recent meeting (2-4 in December 2014).
- Watford are winless in their last three games against Cardiff at Vicarage Road (D2 L1), with their last such win coming in December 2010 (4-1).
- Watford have lost their last two Premier League home games – they’ve not lost three in a row at home in the top-flight since April 1988 (a run of five in a row).
- Watford won their opening four games of the Premier League season and accumulated 12 points in these matches, but since then they have won just nine points from 12 games in the competition (W2 D3 L7) and only Huddersfield (8), Southampton (5) and Fulham (5) have won fewer in this period.
- Cardiff City are winless in their last nine Premier League away games (D1 L8), scoring just three goals and conceding 22 goals in that run.
- Following their win against Southampton last week, Cardiff City are looking to secure consecutive top-flight victories for the first time since April 1962.
- This will be Cardiff manager Neil Warnock’s first game against Watford since November 2012, when his Leeds United side were beaten 6-1 by the Hornets in a Championship fixture.
- Cardiff striker Danny Ward has scored four goals in four league appearances against Watford, while the only previous hat-trick of his professional career came at Vicarage Road back in May 2014 (for Huddersfield).
- Troy Deeney is yet to score a goal against Cardiff City for Watford in six appearances, but should he score in this match then Cardiff will be the 45th different team that Deeney has scored against for the Hornets in all competitions.
WOLVERHAMPTON V BURNLEY
3pm Bournemouth were on the wrong end of a 4-0 Liverpool thrashing last weekend; however they aren’t the first team to suffer that this season and they won’t be the last either. They have had a tough run of fixtures having to play Liverpool, City, Arsenal and United in their last six fixtures. A 2-1 loss to Newcastle in between would be a worry however they did beat Huddersfield in between too – the thing is though that Wolves just look a better side than Bournemouth this season and it’s hard to see past the home side here. They beat Chelsea 2-1 in their last home game and then they grinded out a 2-1 win away to Newcastle last weekend – we feel that this is a good time to back Wolves and they look good value at 1.97. Indeed at those odds it looks bet of the day material.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolverhampton to beat Bournemouth at 1.97.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWolBou
MATCH STATS
- This will be the first ever top-flight meeting between Wolves and Bournemouth, and the first in any competition since March 2015 (2-1 win for Bournemouth in the Championship).
- Bournemouth have won each of their last three games against Wolves in all competitions, with each victory coming by the same 2-1 scoreline.
- Wolves are looking for their first victory against Bournemouth since December 1989 (3-1), having failed to win any of the last five meetings (D2 L3).
- Nine of the 11 games between Wolves and Bournemouth in all competitions have seen both sides score, including in each of the last seven fixtures.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers are looking to secure three consecutive top-flight league victories for the first time since March 1980.
- No side has won more Premier League games thanks to 90th minute goals this season than Wolves (two games, level with Manchester United). Before this season, Wolves had never scored a 90th minute winner in the Premier League.
- Bournemouth have lost five of their last six Premier League games, earning just three points in that time (W1 D0 L5). They’d earned 13 points from their previous six matches in the competition (W4 D1 L1).
- Each of Bournemouth’s last six Premier League goals have been scored in the first half of games, last scoring after half-time against Fulham on October 27th.
- Wolves’ have allowed their opponents goalscoring chances with an expected goals total of 15.0 this season – only Liverpool (12.4) and Manchester City (11.6) have managed a better defensive performance in the Premier League in 2018-19 after 16 games.
- Bournemouth boss Eddie Howe has won both of his previous two games against Wolves as a manager, with both coming in the Cherries’ 2014-15 promotion-winning season.
FULHAM V WEST HAM
5.30pm It feels like every weekend we have a London Derby now and Fulham v West Ham is the next one! West Ham are ticking along nicely in 11th position and don’t really have to worry about going down; they can probably try to aim for a Europa League spot possibly however that looks out of reach – they have to aim for something though. Meanwhile Fulham face a massive fight to stay in the Premier League as they sit bottom of the table – they just couldn’t stop conceding goals at the start of the season and that thread has continued, even United could score four against them..! They have played OK at home, indeed they have collected four points in their last two games here against Leicester and Southampton. West Ham are in superb goal scoring form at the moment though and they look great value here at 2.52. They’ve scored three goals in each of their last three fixtures and with Fulham’s problems at the back, we like the away win at 2.52.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
West Ham to beat Fulham at 2.52.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQFulWes
MATCH STATS
- Fulham have won three of their last four Premier League games against West Ham at Craven Cottage (L1), with each of those wins coming under a different manager (Roy Hodgson, Martin Jol and Rene Meulensteen).
- West Ham have won 55% of their Premier League meetings with Fulham (11/20); their best win percentage against any London opponent in the competition.
- After winning just two of their first 17 games against West Ham in the Premier League (D5 L10), Fulham have since won two of the last three (L1).
- The last time Fulham faced West Ham as a newly-promoted Premier League side was in April 2002, with Frederic Kanoute scoring the winner for the Hammers in a 1-0 win at Craven Cottage.
- Fulham are now without a clean sheet in 20 Premier League games, conceding 51 goals since a 1-0 win against Norwich City in April 2014.
- West Ham United are looking to secure four consecutive Premier League victories for the first time since February 2014 under Sam Allardyce.
- West Ham United haven’t won any of their last seven Premier League away games against sides starting the day bottom of the table (D5 L2), drawing the last four. Their last such victory was against QPR in October 2012 (2-1).
- Fulham have had fewer different players score a goal for them this season than any other side in the Premier League this season (5).
- West Ham manager Manuel Pellegrini has won both of his previous two Premier League games against Fulham, with his Manchester City side scoring nine goals against them in the 2013-14 season (5-0 at home and 4-2 away).
- West Ham striker Javier Hernandez has scored three goals in his last three Premier League games. His next goal will be his 50th in the competition, with all 49 so far coming from inside the box.
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