PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s four Premier League games between BURNLEY V TOTTENHAM, BOURNEMOUTH V WOLVERHAMPTON, NEWCASTLE V HUDDERSFIELD and LEICESTER V CRYSTAL PALACE all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended stats.
BURNLEY V TOTTENHAM
12.30pm We only have four games to enjoy in the Premier League today and we kick off with Burnley hosting Spurs. The home side won’t be looking forward to this fixture as they are without a win in the last seven games against Spurs – however they are in great form at the moment, indeed only Manchester United are on a longer unbeaten run. Spurs won’t fear Burnley’s unbeaten run as they continue to fight for the title – it’s been very focused on Liverpool and City; however Spurs are right there if the big two slip up, although unlikely.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Burnley 5.9, Tottenham 1.73 and the draw is 3.9. Spurs were impressive last time they played as they put away Dortmund 3-0 – they then had last weekend off so there won’t be any excuses here. They have however lost their last two away games; losing 2-1 to Chelsea and 2-0 to Palace in both domestic Cups and with Burnley in good form, the 1.73 on Spurs just looks a little short. Burnley managed to go to Old Trafford and stop an in-form United side and we feel that this one will be closer than the odds on Spurs suggest here. From a value point of view, we’re happy to lay 1.73.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 1.73.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBurTtm
MATCH STATS
- Burnley are winless in their last seven Premier League meetings with Tottenham (D2 L5), since winning 4-2 on the final day of the 2009-10 campaign.
- Tottenham have kept a clean sheet on each of their last three visits to Burnley in the top-flight, winning twice and drawing once.
- Only Manchester United (9) are on a longer current unbeaten run in the Premier League than Burnley (7). The Clarets last had a longer unbeaten run in the top-flight between May-September 1966 (9 games).
- Since beating Liverpool in August 2016, Burnley have only taken two points from their last 42 available at home against ‘big six’ opponents in the Premier League (W0 D2 L12). They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those games, conceding 27 goals and netting just six in return.
- Tottenham have won 11 Premier League away games this season, already their most in a single campaign in the competition. They last won more on the road in a single league season in 1984-85 (12).
- Only Liverpool (1) have failed to score in fewer Premier League games than Tottenham this season, with Spurs’ only failings coming in home games against the two Manchester sides (0-1 vs Man City in October, 0-1 vs Man Utd in January).
- Tottenham have scored a league-high 12 Premier League goals from outside the area this season, while Burnley have conceded the most in this fashion so far (12).
- Burnley’s Ashley Barnes has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances, including scoring from the penalty spot in his last two. Only five players have ever scored a penalty in three consecutive Premier League games before, with Sergio Aguero in November 2017 the most recent.
- Son Heung-min has scored eight goals in his last eight Premier League appearances for Tottenham, netting in each of his last three in a row. He last scored in four consecutive top-flight appearances in April 2017.
- Of all Premier League goalkeepers to have played at least five games this season, Burnley’s Tom Heaton has the best saves to shots ratio in the division (80%).
BOURNEMOUTH V WOLVERHAMPTON
3pm Bournemouth will be glad to have a home game again after losing 3-0 to Liverpool and 2-0 to Cardiff – they really have been woeful away from home this season; however at home it’s a different story. Chelsea are having a horrible time at the moment but Bournemouth tonked them 4-0 here and that’s no mean feat. We have a very open market with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Bournemouth 2.98, Wolverhampton 2.68 and the draw is 3.4. It’s very hard to get away from Bournemouth’s home record even though Wolves are having an excellent season. Bournemouth have taken 73% of the points available at home and while Wolves are a solid side – the 2.68 looks too short on the away side here. Only the Top Six have beaten Bournemouth here, and while Wolves are definitely the seventh best side in the Premier League, we like the lay at the odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Wolverhampton at 2.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBouWol
MATCH STATS
- Bournemouth have never lost a home league game against Wolves, winning two and drawing one of their three previous matches.
- Having won the reverse fixture 2-0, Wolves are looking to complete a league double over Bournemouth for the very first time.
- Bournemouth have won their last two home league games by an aggregate score of 6-0. They last won three in a row at the Vitality Stadium in February 2018, while they last did so without conceding back in October 2014.
- Only Fulham (88%) have won a higher percentage of their Premier League points in home games this season than Bournemouth (73% – 24/33).
- Bournemouth’s last six home defeats in the Premier League have come against ‘big six’ opposition, including all three this season. The last time another such side beat them at the Vitality Stadium in the competition was Burnley in November 2017.
- Wolves have won three of their last five Premier League away games (D1 L1), as many as they had in their last 25 on the road in the competition (W3 D9 L13).
- Wolves have won 11 Premier League games this season, their joint most in a single campaign in the competition (level with 2010-11). They last won more in a top-flight campaign in 1980-81 (13).
- Wolves have scored 74% of their Premier League goals in the second half of games this season (25/34), a league-high ratio. Only Cardiff (7) have scored fewer goals in the opening 45 minutes than Wolves (9).
- Wolves have used fewer players than any other Premier League side this season (18). However, only Manchester United (14) have had more different goalscorers than Wolves (13), meaning 72% of their players used have found the net.
- Bournemouth striker Josh King has scored in his last two Premier League home games, netting three goals in total. He could become just the second Bournemouth player to score in three top-flight home games in a row, after Junior Stanislas in October 2018.
NEWCASTLE V HUDDERSFIELD
3pm Things are very bleak for Huddersfield as they are nailed to the bottom of the Premier League and this is a fantastic chance for Newcastle to notch up three points. The home side look massive here at 1.87 given that Huddersfield have lost 12 of their last 13 games in the Premier League, drawing the other game – that’s quite a poor run and their season already looks over. Newcastle really need the points as they fight to stay up at the bottom of the table where there isn’t much between plenty of sides and that 18th position. They’ve won their last two games here, beating Manchester City 2-1 and Cardiff 3-0, and they’ve played well away from home against Spurs and Wolves recently too. We just can’t have this poor Huddersfield side at all and Newcastle should be at least ten ticks shorter than 1.87.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Newcastle to beat Huddersfield at 1.87.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNwcHud
MATCH STATS
- Following their 1-0 win in the reverse fixture, Newcastle are looking to do the league double over Huddersfield for the first time since 1964-65.
- Huddersfield have won just one of their last 11 away league games against Newcastle (D5 L5), beating them 2-1 in August 2016 in the Championship.
- Yorkshire sides have won four of their last seven away Premier League games against Newcastle (D1 L2) – more than they had in their first 20 visits in the competition (W3 D4 L13).
- Newcastle are looking to win three consecutive home league games for the first time since a run of four in April 2018 – the third game in which they beat Huddersfield.
- Huddersfield have lost 12 of their last 13 Premier League games, drawing the other. They’re without a goal in their last six hours and two minutes of football away from home in all competitions, since Zanka netted against Manchester United in December.
- Huddersfield have scored the fewest goals (14) and lost the most league games (19) among all 98 clubs in the top five European leagues this season.
- Huddersfield have played more Saturday 3pm games than any other Premier League side this season (17), but they’re yet to win in that timeslot (D5 L12). Their last such victory came against Watford in April 2018.
- Salomon Rondon has been directly involved in 41% of Newcastle’s 22 Premier League goals this season (6 goals, 3 assists). He netted the Magpies’ winner in the reverse fixture against Huddersfield.
- Huddersfield’s Jan Siewert could become the ninth manager to lose his opening four Premier League matches in charge, and first since Frank de Boer with Crystal Palace at the start of last season.
- Huddersfield’s top scorer this season is defender Zanka with three goals – making him the lowest scoring high scorer in the Premier League.
LEICESTER V CRYSTAL PALACE
5.30pm Crystal Palace will be buzzing after getting into the FA Cup Quarter Finals at the weekend; however they still have a job to do in the Premier League as things are quite tight at the bottom. A quick look at the table would make you feel that Palace are safe in 13th position, however there’s only three points between them and 18th position, so they can’t afford to just focus on their Cup run now. Palace have a good recent record against Leicester, winning their last three league meetings without conceding a goal – they’ve also won their last three away games against Leicester too. Leicester have obviously had a tough run of fixtures having to play Spurs, United, Liverpool and Wolves; however prior to that run they lost against Southampton here and Newport in the FA Cup. We feel that the 2.3 is too short on the home side in what should be a very close game and we’re happy to lay 2.3 from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Leicester at 2.3.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLeiCrl
MATCH STATS
- Leicester lost this exact fixture 0-3 last season, but have never lost back-to-back top-flight home games against Crystal Palace.
- Crystal Palace have won each of their last three Premier League games against Leicester, by an aggregate score of 9-0. They’ve only won more top-flight games in a row against Wimbledon (5), Southampton and Stoke (4 each).
- Crystal Palace have won three Premier League away games against Leicester, only winning more on the road in the competition against Everton (4).
- Leicester are winless in their last five Premier League games, last having a longer winless run in the competition in October 2017 (6).
o - Leicester have lost successive Premier League games for the ninth time since Claude Puel took charge. However, the Foxes haven’t lost three in a row in the competition since February 2017, when they lost five in a row under Claudio Ranieri.
- 67% of Crystal Palace’s Premier League goals have come in away games this season (18/27), the highest such ratio in the division.
- Leicester haven’t lost four consecutive home Premier League games since January 2000.
- Crystal Palace striker Christian Benteke has scored in each of his last three Premier League games against Leicester. The Belgian has never scored in four consecutive appearances against an opponent in the competition.
- Just two of Leicester striker Jamie Vardy’s eight Premier League goals this season have come at home. He’s not scored in any of his last four Premier League games at the King Power Stadium, his longest goalless streak at the ground since a run of five between September-November 2016.
- Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson will be aged 71 years and 198 days on the day of this game, making him the oldest person to take charge of a Premier League game.
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