ANOTHER SUPERNAP AMONG 13 WINNERS IN EIGHT DAYS: Now it’s 13 hits for Daqman in eight days! Two more yesterday, including a supernap on Jahbath, who is added to the Flat horses-to-follow list.
WON 7-5 AWAY FOR SLATES (Wednesday)
WON 8-13 JAHBATH (Wednesday)
WON 3-1 TRUCKERS LODGE (Tuesday)
WON 6-4 CAPTAIN DRAKE (Monday)
WON 7-2 MOVING IN STYLE (Sunday)
WON 6-1 CAROLE’S DESTRIER(Saturday)
WON 6-1 LILLINGTON (Friday
WON 6-5 CHRISTOPHER WOOD (Friday)
WON 3-10 ZMHAR (Friday)
WON 11-8 FOREST OF DEAN (Thursday)
WON 11-4 THE DELLERCHECKOUT (Thursday)
WON 11-4 VIOLA PARK (Wednesday)
WON 2-1 SINGING THE BLUES (Wednesday)
SEE HOW THEY WON: TAKE 21.0 OFFER FOR THE FESTIVAL: Today Daqman looks a week ahead to Day 3 of the Cheltenham festival, with his See How They Won stats and facts, finding an ante-post interest at BETDAQ offers of 13.5 and 21.0.
DOUBLE YOUR MONEY ON BETDAQ
1.30 Cheltenham, Thursday (JLT Novices’ Chase) The Irish have won seven out of eight since the name change – from Golden Miller Chase – and the one they lost was won by Cork native Jonjo O’Neill.
But something’s got Lostintranslation. Though the Irish are clearly Topofthegame, the first four in some bookmaker markets were trained Channon, Hobbs, Nicholls and Tizzard.
Noticeable though that the 2018 Supreme fourth, Paloma Blue, had been well backed this week for both Arkle and JLT. Watch which way he goes! Says (Irish) trainer Henry De Bromhead: ‘He’s classy.’
Now I turned to BETDAQ and the picture changed: Paloma Blue, 10-1 with Betfair, Paddy Power and Boylesport, was DOUBLE those odds at 21.0. I had a bit of that to win me 100.
For the Arkle on Tuesday, Paloma Blue was 7-1 with Betfair and Paddy Power, but 13.5 BETDAQ offers were available. That’s 100-8.
2.10 Cheltenham, Thursday (Pertemps Hurdle Final) Delta Work, winner of this last year, is a short price in all three of NH Chase, RSA and JLT. Watch which way he goes, too: the previous year Presenting Percy won it!
You want a six-year-old around 10st 12lb, say the stats. How about Samburu Shujaa, who ticks both boxes, with Philip Hobbs just finding some form at last (three winners since March 2).
For the last three years, the winner has come from the third (twice) or fourth in a Punchestown qualifier, won on February 20 this time around by Cap York from Mormon, It’s All Guesswork and A Toi Phil, the last pair both trained Gordon Elliott.
2.50 Cheltenham, Thursday (Ryanair Chase) Course form essential: 10 out of 12 successful had previously won at Cheltenham.
Form: 10 out of 12 had won over at least 20/21 furlongs; 10/12 had at least four chase wins, one of them in a Graded race.
3.30 Cheltenham (Stayers Hurdle) Willie Mullins bids for a hat-trick with comparative outsiders (10-1 and 12-1 winners in the last two years). The last 12 winners had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, nine of them winners; 11 out of 12 had won a Graded race.
4.10 Cheltenham, Thursday (Stable Plate) Favourites do win this (sometimes) but monster odds usually prevail, with SPs of 12-1, 14-1, 16-1, 18-1, 25-1, 33-1 (twice) and 50-1 in the decade. Stats clue: Avoid horses carrying 11st and more.
CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL ANTE-POST UPDATE
WIN 100 PALOMA BLUE (8 x 13.5 BETDAQ, Arkle Challenge Cup, Tuesday)
WIN 100 MISTER MALARKEY (4.75 x 22.0 BETDAQ, RSA Chase) Loss 8.25 Tuesday, and Coral Cup loss Getaway Trump 8.25.
WIN 100 FRODON (11.5 x 8.6 BETDAQ, Ryanair Chase, Thursday)
WIN 100 PALOMA BLUE (5 x 21.0 BETDAQ, JLT Chase, Thursday)
WIN 100 ADJALI (5.8 x 18.0 BETDAQ, Triumph Hurdle, Friday)
WIN 259 HOLD THE NOTE (1 x 260.0 BETDAQ, Albert Bartlett, Friday)
AMADE IS VERY FLEET OF FOOT
3.15 and 3.45 Wincanton Rain falling, extremely trappy handicaps and short-priced favourites elsewhere on the card. I will use Miranda (3.15) and Vis A Vis (3.45) for Daq Multiples.
6.25 Chelmsford John Ryan wants this £13,000 stamina test, running two in the final qualifier for the AW Championships.
But there could be a standout here in Amade. The French winner of four AW races went clear when introduced to Kempton.
He beat nothing well, but what caught my eye was his ability to quicken, scything through the pack from the three marker. BETDAQ’S 4.5 may look good afterwards.
6.55 Chelmsford A stable that’s out of form, and with a poor 7% strike rate this year, saddling one that has been absent 187 days, has so far won only in the summer months (June-August), and is carrying a penalty.
David Barron must clearly get a move on with Clon Coulis, if he is to stand any chance in his target race, the Lincoln Handicap.
But his odds on with bookmakers, and even money on BETDAQ this morning, don’t appeal in a prep race.
With 11.5 bar two, Pattie is the bet in what the market considers is a two-horse race. The mare is in form and crying out for a mile.
DAQMAN’S BETS
6.25 Chelmsford (win 30)
BET 8.5pts win (nap) AMADE
6.55 Chelmsford (win 10)
BET 6.25pts win PATTIE
DAQ MULTIPLES
4 x 1pt win trebles, 1pt acca.
MIRANDA (3.15 Wincanton)
VIS A VIS (3.35 Wincanton)
with the two in bets above.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
