PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s Premier League games with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended stats including the highlight of the weekend CHELSEA v LIVERPOOL at 4.30pm.
CRYSTAL PALACE V WOLVES
2pm We have some cracking fixtures in the Premier League today and we kick off with Crystal Palace hosting Wolves. Both these sides come into this fixture off the back of disappointing results; Palace got tonked 4-0 by Spurs last weekend and Wolves would have been gutted to lose at home to Braga in the Europa League on Thursday night. Prior to the weekend fixtures, they sat in 19th position in the table with only three points from five games. They need to turn things around and quickly.
We have a very open market with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Crystal Palace 2.74, Wolves 2.98 and the draw is 3.25. Palace were very poor in front of their own fans in the Premier League last season, however they are now unbeaten in four league games here – you have to go all the way back to December 2017 to find a run longer! With Wolves in poor form coming into this game, we have to lay the away side at 2.98. They just haven’t been good enough this season and until we see improvement we’re happy to bet against them at these odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Wolves at 2.98.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcrywol
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace have won three of their last four league games against Wolves (L1), more than they had in their previous 11 against them (W2 D3 L6).
- Wolves have scored at least once in each of their last 14 away league games against Crystal Palace (W6 D4 L4), last failing to do so in a 0-0 draw in March 1985.
- The away side has won six of the last eight league meetings between Crystal Palace and Wolves, with three wins each for both sides.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have lost on just one of their last 10 Premier League visits to London; winning four and drawing five, with that defeat coming at Fulham in March 2012 (0-5).
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games at Selhurst Park (W2 D2 L0), their longest such run since December 2017 (6 games).
- Crystal Palace haven’t lost consecutive Premier League games since losing 1-2 versus Watford and 3-4 against Liverpool in January 2019. In fact, their last five league defeats (before last weekend against Tottenham) have been followed by a win in the next match.
- This is the sixth occasion that Wolves have failed to win any of their first five games to a top-flight season (W0 D3 L2) – they were relegated in each of those previous five campaigns (2003-04, 1983-84, 1975-76, 1964-65, 1905-06).
- None of Crystal Palace’s last 29 Premier League goals (exc. own goals) have been scored by a substitute; only Newcastle (38) and Norwich (35) are on longer current such streaks.
- Wolves have failed to win their last six Premier League matches (D3 L3) – boss Nuno Espírito Santo has never gone seven league games without a win his managerial career.
- Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson has won three of his last four Premier League encounters with Wolverhampton Wanderers (W3 D0 L1), after failing to win his first five games against them in the competition (D2 L3).
WEST HAM V MANCHESTER UNITED
2pm Thursday night shouldn’t have been a tricky fixture for Manchester United; yet it turned into one. Perhaps similar comments can be applied to most of their games lately! They laboured to a 1-0 win at home to Leicester last weekend, and it’s hard to see them not struggling in this fixture too. West Ham have won two of their last four home Premier League games against United and drawn another – with United struggling to create chance, it could be another poor day at the office for Ole.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; West Ham 3.3, Manchester United 2.3 and the draw is 3.7. The United lay at 2.3 really jumps off the page here. They have been held to draws in their last two away games against Southampton and Wolves – West Ham play at a similar level; if not a little better and we expect United to continue to struggle to create chances. The 2.3 looks the best lay of the day, possibly the whole weekend in the Premier League.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester United at 2.3.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwhumun
MATCH STATS
- West Ham have won two of their last four Premier League home games against Man Utd (D1 L1), as many as they had in their first 19 home games against them in the competition (W2 D9 L8).
- Manchester United have scored more Premier League goals against West Ham United than any other side has in the competition (94).
- Manchester United have only lost twice in their last 21 Premier League meetings with West Ham (W14 D5 L2), failing to score in just two of those matches (0-0 in Dec 2015 & 0-0 in May 2018).
- West Ham United have won only three times in their last 20 Premier League matches against ‘big six’ opposition (W3 D6 L11), with one of those victories coming against Man Utd at the London Stadium in September 2018 (3-1).
- West Ham United have won 48 points from their last 30 Premier League games (W14 D6 L10); the best record of the ‘non-big six’ sides over this period and just one point fewer than Tottenham Hotspur (49).
- Manchester United’s starting XI has had an average age of just 25 years and 51 days; the youngest in the Premier League this season and younger than any previous Premier League season by a Manchester United side, ahead of 1995-96 (25y 345d).
- Since the start of last season, Manchester United have taken (16), scored (11) and missed (5) more penalties in the Premier League than any other team.
- Since the start of 2018-19, eight different clubs have conceded more Premier League goals than West Ham United (62) but no side has allowed their opponents better quality chances than the Hammers have (72.7 xG conceded).
- Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford has been directly involved in four goals in 351 minutes of Premier League action against West Ham (88 mins per goal involvement), while he’s also provided more assists versus West Ham than against any other team (3).
- West Ham boss Manuel Pellegrini has won a Premier League game against three different Manchester United managers (David Moyes, Louis van Gaal and Jose Mourinho). He could become the first ever manager to beat four different Red Devils managers in the competition.
ARSENAL V ASTON VILLA
4.30pm Of all the things that you could say about Arsenal this season; they have been entertaining! They’ve seen over 2.5 goals in all of their last five fixtures and impressively won 3-0 midweek away from home in the Europa League. They came back from 2-0 down against Spurs, but threw away a 2-0 lead against Watford. They should get the job done against this Aston Villa side; who gave Spurs problems away from home before being eventually outclassed.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Arsenal 1.44, Aston Villa 8.4 and the draw is 5.2. We fully expect Arsenal to get the job done here, but instead of the 1.44 we like them to cover the handicap – they’re currently 2.28 -1.5 goals which looks huge. Arsenal have been scoring goals for fun this season and while they have also conceded more than a few; Aston Villa come into this game having failed to score in their last two and Arsenal can blow them away. The 2.28 looks massive.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal -1.5 goals to beat Aston Villa at 2.28.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQarsvil
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal have won their last six competitive meetings with Aston Villa in all competitions, keeping a clean sheet in each of the last five.
- Only Manchester United and Chelsea (4) have won more Premier League away games against Arsenal at the Emirates than Aston Villa (3), with the Villans winning there in 2008, 2011 and 2013.
- Aston Villa have a record of W1 D1 L3 from their opening five matches of this Premier League season, the exact same record they had at this stage in their last top-flight campaign in 2015-16 when they finished bottom of the league.
- Since the start of last season, Arsenal’s players have made more errors leading directly
to goals (14) than any other Premier League team. The Gunners have also conceded
10 goals via the penalty spot in this period, a joint-high alongside Brighton. - Since Unai Emery took charge of his first game at the club in August 2018, Arsenal have conceded 47 high turnovers of possession that have ended in an opposition shot in the Premier League; this is five more than any other team in this period.
- Should Arsenal concede a penalty against Aston Villa they will become the fourth side in Premier League history to face penalties in four consecutive matches, alongside Stoke (4) in January 2014, Wimbledon (5) in August 1999 and Norwich (5) in September 2011.
- Arsenal have allowed their opponents 96 shots this season so far in the Premier League; the most of any side in 2019-20 and since 2003-04 only 13 teams have allowed more in their first five Premier League games of a single season (out of a possible 340).
- Arsenal’s Mesut Özil has been directly involved in six goals in his last four Premier League games against Aston Villa (2 goals, 4 assists), providing an assist in each game.
- Of the 153 players to have attempted 30+ shots in the Premier League since Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s Arsenal debut in February 2018, the Gabon striker has scored the highest proportion (26.2%). Only Mohamed Salah (39) has scored more than Aubameyang since his league debut for the Gunners.
- Unai Emery has won 78 points in his 43 Premier League games as Arsenal manager so far; the exact same amount as Arsene Wenger won in his final 43 Premier League games at the club as boss.
CHELSEA V LIVERPOOL
4.30pm The Premier League has saved the best for last! This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend and it will be fascinating to see what happens. Can Chelsea cope with the class of Liverpool? Are Chelsea really up to Top Four level this season? We’ll find out the answers to those questions today. Liverpool suffered a 2-0 defeat away to Napoli in the Champions League, while on the same night Chelsea got beaten 1-0 here against Valencia. Chelsea need to improve, and quickly if they are going to challenge for the Top Four finish.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Chelsea 3.8, Liverpool 2.06 and the draw is 3.85. Liverpool look massive at 2.06 – based on what we’ve seen from Chelsea this season it’s almost impossible not to see Liverpool making a show of them at the back. They have had tonnes of issues and while they can try to outscore Liverpool; we can’t see that happening. We like Liverpool to run riot and rack up a score – but the 2.06 just to win is cracking value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 2.06.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcheliv
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have won just one of their last nine Premier League meetings with Liverpool (D5 L3), beating them 1-0 in May 2018 thanks to an Olivier Giroud strike.
- Having won just one of their first 16 Premier League away games against Chelsea (D4 L11), Liverpool have won five of their last 11 at Stamford Bridge in the competition (W5 D3 L3).
- In all competitions, Chelsea have only failed to score in one of their last 20 meetings with Liverpool, in a 0-2 defeat at Anfield last season.
- Chelsea have beaten the side starting the day top of the Premier League on 18 occasions – three more than any other side.
- Liverpool have lost just once in their last 44 Premier League matches (W36 D7 L1) and are unbeaten in their last 22 (W18 D4 L0), their longest such run in PL history. In fact, Liverpool last went 23 league games unbeaten in November 1990 (23).
- Chelsea have only suffered one defeat in their last 24 Premier League games at Stamford Bridge (W13 D10 L1) and have avoided losing in their last 11 (W6 D5).
- Chelsea striker Tammy Abraham has scored at least twice in each of his last three Premier League appearances (seven in total) – the only player to achieve this in four games in a row was Luis Suárez in December 2013.
- Sadio Mane has scored 49 goals in 97 Premier League games for Liverpool. Should he net in this fixture, he’d become the 10th player to reach 50 goals for the club in the competition; more than any other Premier League team (Man Utd, 9).
- Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp has won two of his four Premier League away games against Chelsea – no Liverpool manager has won three games in the competition at Stamford Bridge.
- Frank Lampard will be the 16th different Chelsea manager to face Liverpool in the Premier League – none of the last six have won their first league meeting with the Reds, since Carlo Ancelotti did so in October 2009 (D3 L3).
- Chelsea’s last 11 Premier League goals have been scored by English players – excluding own-goals, this is their joint-longest run of English scorers, also scoring 11 consecutively between September 1993 and January 1994.
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