HOW DAQMAN TURNED AN 11-8 WINNER INTO A 13.0 OAKS TRADE: Daqman won THREE times with one horse yesterday. The filly Frankly Darling was his 11-8 Ascot nap, his sole Fortune Cookie on the day and a 13.0 BETDAQ bull’s-eye bet on the Oaks, a win-50 ante-post bet pinched before yesterday’s race which creates a must-win trade. She’s now around 4.5 on BETDAQ. Daqman also scored with Circus Maximus (WON 4-1). State of the special bets:
Daqman 9, Pricewise 2 (+65.00 to -45.00)
Bull’s-eye bets (profit 21.35)
Daily naps 7-16 (profit +14.33)
Lays 3-4 (profit 13.84)
THREE WINNING NAPS OUT OF FOUR FOR FRANKLY HOT TIPSTER: Frankly Darling was Daqman’s third winning nap out of four, with the current sequence now looking like this before the second day at Ascot:
WON 11-8 FRANKLY DARLING (Tuesday nap)
WON 5-6 ANTONIA DE VEGA (Monday nap)
WON 7 4 FRANCONIA (Saturday nap)
TODAY‘S HEADLINES
🔹 PLAY 16.0 BETDAQ BET SIR BUSKER
🔹 FORM BOOST FOR BERLIN IGNORED
🔹 CONVICT CAN GET YOU OUT OF JAIL
🔹 ADDEYBB LOOKS BIG AT BETDAQ 6.0
🔹 BALDING HAS PREMIER CUP STABLE
🔹 WARD GUNNING FOR SHERIFF WIN
PLAY 16.0 BETDAQ BET SIR BUSKER
GOING Good to Good to soft. Weather: showers today; heavy on Thursday. DRAW High numbers on the straight course.
LEADING ASCOT TRAINERS (5 years +update): John Gosden 42, Aidan O’Brien 30, Charlie Appleby 23, Sir Michael Stoute 20, Mark Johnston 20.
JOCKEYS (5 years +update): Ryan Moore 41, Frankie Dettori 34, William Buick 31, James Doyle 22, Adam Kirby 20.
WINNERS THIS WEEK Richard Hannon (Jim Crowley), Aidan O’Brien (Ryan Moore), John Gosden (Frankie Dettori), William Muir (Martin Dwyer), Charles Hills (Jim Crowley), John Gosden (Jim Crowley) Alan King (Thore Hammer Hansen)
👑 1.15 Ascot (Silver Royal Hunt Cup) STATS: With 96 entries, they could have run four legs of the Hunt Cup but just the one consolation is enough.
High stalls (21 to 33) have won six of the last nine Hunt Cups. They are smaller fields this week but yesterday’s Britannia (7f) result by draw was 26, 22, 16, 27.
Four-year-olds are currently 4-5 from a tight weights range of 9st to 9st 5lb (six in a row).
FORM: Ouzo (stall 24) was narrowly beaten at Newmarket 10 days ago. If you sip your Ouzo at a Greek cafe, they give you goats cheese and olives. In this race they might consider you the goat if you back the favourite in a field this size, with his ratings absolutely static: 91, 91, 91 and 91 again today. Not an improver; nor ever a winner above class 4.
I prefer to see that race as the stepping-stone to Hunt Cup success today for Bell Rock, who beat him that day with a strong run, giving 7lb. If Ouzo does do well here, so much the better.
Another in the bunker: Nicklaus (20), five runs out of six off 93. Alternative Fact (21) 90 rating last summer, 90 a year later. Ditto for Smile A Mile, the ultimate bridesmaid with form figures 2222. Ditto Al Mufti (19).
Zhui Feng (22) has won the Hunt Cup but that was three years ago. Since then his sole success has been in beating three others in a slow, slow race on the firm at Windsor. Presidential (14), a 7f winner, not seen over a mile for nearly two years.
As we go through the negatives, I’m beginning to understand why 16.0 BETDAQ offer Sir Busker is topweight! Has improved 19lb since this time a year ago. Still on the up, winning well on the last day; drawn 18 and has Oisin Murphy in the saddle.
FORM BOOST FOR BERLIN IGNORED
👑 1.50 Ascot (Hampton Court Stakes) Sir Michael Stoute has planned a royal meeting despite the closed enclosures, by running The Queen’s First Receiver, whose dam is out of a half-sister to Phantom Gold, winner of the Ribblesdale here for Her Majesty .
The Frankel colt, Juan Elcano, a winner on heavy ground, was fifth in the Newmarket 2,000 Guineas.
Russian Emperor, also a winner on heavy, was runner-up, gaining on the runaway winner, Cormorant, in the Derrinstown Derby Trial.
Berlin Tango beat Pyledriver in the Kempton Classic Trial and Pyledriver absolutely powered home in the ‘Ascot Derby’ (King Edward V11 Stakes) yesterday.
Stable in form; Oisin Murphy rides. So I grabbed some 6.0 Berlin Tango immediately after Pyledriver won yesterday.. but this morning? 7.1 on BETDAQ. I’d forgotten about his 4lb penalty. But will it make such a difference?
CONVICT CAN GET YOU OUT OF JAIL
👑 2.25 Ascot (King George V Handicap) STATS: No outright favourite won in the decade; 8 winners out of 10 won off 9st or lower; 8 out of 9 had a double-figure draw.
FORM: Celestran, who beat Bodyline at Yarmouth earlier this month, and had beaten Kipps at Wolverhampton in November, let the side down when only third of four in the Cocked Hat Stakes at Goodwood on Sunday.
To Nathaniel has run into form this year, stepped up in trip and with cheekpieces applied. It’s been a similar story with Convict, who is up in trip again today on ground he appreciates.
There won’t be much between Convict and King’s Caper on Newmarket form of last backend but Convict holds a stamina key on breeding: BETDAQ 9.0
Bright Melody, third to Pyledriver and Berlin Tango, becomes a good bet at 6.7 if Tango has defied his penalty in the previous race.
ADDEYBB LOOKS BIG AT BETDAQ 6.0
👑 3.00 Ascot (Prince Of Wales’s Stakes) STATS: Ages four and five (9-10). Aidan O’Brien 3 winners. Ratings: 119 to 125 (four out of five).
FORM: Only Addeybb and Japan fit the ratings stats, locked together off 122 but with 2.25 favourite Japan having an age advantage of two years, but Addeybb far too big on BETDAQ at 6.0.
Addeybb shouldn’t win at age six (though So You Think did in 2012) but has shown late improvement of 10lb in the last year, beaten less than a length for the British Champions Middle Distance title here at Ascot and back-to-back Group-1 winner at Randwick in March and April.
Cambridgeshire hero Lord North has stepped up in class since but needs another big leap today; Headman is tipped to make the grade by trainer Roger Charlton, who has just found some form.
Barney Roy’s Group-1 Meydan double is unlikely to translate to the same level in Europe, particularly with this rise in trip.
Derby third and Arc fourth Japan won the King Edward V11 at this meeting last year as first leg of a treble, though had to fight in the York International when dropped back to today’s trip.
BALDING HAS PREMIER CUP STABLE
👑 3.35 Ascot (Royal Hunt Cup) STATS: Stalls 21 to 33 have won six of the last nine Hunt Cups, with four-year-olds currently 4-5 from a tight weights range of 9st to 9st 5lb (six in a row). Stalls bias to high numbers seemed to apply yesterday (see 1.15 race above).
FORM: A good run by Sir Busker in that Silver Consolation would boost Dark Vision, who was giving him 5lb when beaten a head at Newcastle at the opening meeting of the resumption of racing. Dark Vision was eighth in the 2019 Britannia.
Fox Premier (stall 24) is interesting, dropping back in trip for a stable in hot form. Just run out of it last August by subsequent York handicap winner, Forest of Dean, over 1m 2f.
Lord Tennyson (stall 14 today) and Vale Of Kent (12) were separated a neck when placed in a Listed at Newmarket 12 days back. Pogo (23) is high in the handicap now.
Lord Tennyson’s John Gosden stablemate Alrajaa has won four in a row, hiking his rating 27lb. But I’m a Balding man in this.
Bell Rock (stall 10) ran in the Group-1 St James’s Palace Stakes at the meeting last year and kept Listed company until dropped to a mile handicap to win on the last day.
VERDICT: Beware the three foxes. Fox Champion and Fox Power don’t appeal but I took 16.5 on BETDAQ about Fox Premier (Silvestre de Sousa) for Andrew Balding and 6.9 Bell Rock (Oisin Murphy for the same stable).
I told you I was a Balding man today. Oops, that didn’t quite come out right; I’ve still got my hair. But I will lose it if I have to watch much more ITV Racing, or another 2m 4f of sheer frustration with Summer Moon.
The only bit of tellyjoy was having Kevin Blake on my side with Summer Moon, who would have won the Ascot Stakes but for wasting his nervous energy, fighting the jockey most of the way.
Still only a length or so down at the line, my 12.0 BETDAQ win become an 11-2 SP third.
WARD GUNNING FOR SHERIFF WIN
👑 4.10 Ascot (Windsor Castle Stakes) STATS: Four of the last seven winners came out of stalls 22, 24, 25 and 28. Favourites have won two in the decade but outsiders were best at 12-1, 14-1 16-1 (twice) and 20-1 in eight seasons.
So it’s a coconut shy in the dark unless Welsey Ward has something better than at recent Ascots.
His Windsor Castle win in 2009 with Strike The Tiger was the first of his 10 big hits at Ascot and in 2014 he won this race again with with Hootenanny.
FORM Ward has left nothing to chance today by booking Frankie Dettori (Sunshine City, stall 12) and Oisin Murphy (Sheriff Bianco out of 16) for his two.
Ward says of BETDAQ 8.0 offer Sheriff Bianco: ‘He will like the switch to grass; he’s a really fluent mover on turf. The blinkered filly Sunshine City won first time out from out of the pack.’
The Attheraces verdict has Sunshine City down as a colt. Surely not written by K Blake. Even in these liberated days, only male horses can change their sex overnight.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.15 Ascot (win 50, win 10 place)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 3.25pts win and place SIR BUSKER
1.50 Ascot (win 30, win 10)
BET 5pts win BERLIN TANGO
BET 4pts win FIRST RECEIVER
2.25 Ascot (win 20, win 10)
BET 2.5pts win CONVICT
BET 2pts win BRIGHT MELODY
3.00 Ascot (nap)
FORTUNE COOKIE (6.0 BETDAQ)
BET 20pts win ADDEYBB
3.35 Ascot (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 8pts win BELL ROCK
BULL’S-EYE BET: 3.25pts win FOX PREMIER
4.10 Ascot (win 30, win 10 place)
BET 3pts win SHERIFF BIANCO
BET 1pt win and 2pts place VICTORY HEIGHTS
4.40 Ascot (win 50, 10 place)
BET 2.5pts win and place THEMAXWECAN
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