15.0 AMAZING BETDAQ VALUE SPOTTED BY DAQMAN, OF COURSE: Daqman spotted more huge overs on BETDAQ at Ascot yesterday in his value clash with Pricewise of the Racing Post. He had 15.0 BETDAQ about the 8-1 SP winner Mountain Angel in the Wolferton Stakes, following 16.0 BETDAQ for 12-1 SP about Sir Busker in the Silver Royal Hunt Cup. Can he find another one today?
WON 8-1 MOUNTAIN ANGEL (from 15.0 on BETDAQ, Thursday)
WON 12-1 SIR BUSKER (from 16.0 BETDAQ, Wednesday)
*Match report: Daqman 11, Pricewise 3 (profits +215.00 to -25.00)
Today’s headlines
🔹 ARC TEMPTS SUPER STRADIVARIUS
🔹 BUSY BIDS TO SWITCH OFF POWER
🔹 HAIL MURPHY ON 16.0 BET MAHALE
🔹 THIS IS HEAVEN SENT FOR FRANKIE
🔹 THIS IS A SNEAKY ONE FOR FRANKIE
🔹 COLTS KEY TO THE TREASURE HORDE
🔹 BIRTHDAY IS ANOTHER FOR BALDING
ARC TEMPTS SUPER STRADIVARIUS
Fancy 34.0 Stradivarius? That was his price this morning in the BETDAQ Sportsbook for an Arc de Triomphe in October which could feature Enable (6.0) and Ghaiyyath (17.0).
Stradivarius ran away with yesterday’s Gold Cup, 18 lengths clear of the Melbourne Cup winner, Cross Counter, but with Technician failing to perform.
After three Gold Cups, in the manner of Yeats and Sagaro, there’s no dream left, except perhaps a fourth a year from now. So why not aim for the stars who dominate the 1m 4f Classic podium.
Meanwhile, Jim Crowley hit the meeting for six, with a double yesterday, and leads James Doyle and Ryan Moore, with three each, only just reaching his total combined.
⚠️ HEADS UP: FRIDAY GOING: Soft, good to soft in places. Showers. DRAW: Middle to high on the straight course.
LEADING ASCOT TRAINERS (5 years + this week’s update): John Gosden 44, Aidan O’Brien 32, Charlie Appleby 23, Mark Johnston 21, Sir Michael Stoute 20.
JOCKEYS (5 years +update): Ryan Moore 43, Frankie Dettori 345, William Buick 32, James Doyle 25, Adam Kirby 20.
WINNERS THIS WEEK: TRAINERS: John Gosden 4, Roger Varian 4; Aidan O’Brien 3; Charles Hills 2; one each Alan King, Andrew Balding, Paul and Oliver Cole, Owen Burrows, Charlie Fellowes, Richard Hannon, William Knight, William Muir.
JOCKEYS: Jim Crowley 6; James Doyle 3, Ryan Moore 3; Frankie Dettori 2; one each Andrea Atzeni, William Buick, Martin Dwyer, Thore Hammer Hansen, Oisin Murphy, Rossa Ryan, Hayley Turner.
BUSY BIDS TO SWITCH OFF POWER
👑 1.15 Ascot (Palace Of Holyrood House Handicap) FORM: You can be no more than hopeful of inexperienced three-year-olds, which doesn’t translate to taking a short price.
But Art Power is well drawn, loves the ground and is hyped as an embryonic big-league sprinter, so far too green to know quite what he’s doing but with the instinct and engine taking him clear of subsequent winners at both York and Newcastle.
Has the handicapper made a rick leaving him on 97? He couldn’t really do much more, with the third home at Newcastle on only 67.
Keep Busy, fifth in a big auction race at Newmarket, before scoring on heavy at Chantilly, should be sharp after two runs back. He also has a high draw and rates 96, with Cieren Fallon claiming 3lb.
Band Practice, out of stall 2, has a mark of 104, and has to give weight all round. She also won on the soft at Chantilly, a late season Listed which completed her hat-trick. She had beaten 5-2 on Mighty Spirit at Musselburgh before that one won on heavy.
Mighty Spirit will be 12lb better off here, including Megan Nicholls’ allowance and is well drawn in 22, with Band Practice seemingly with work to do from stall 2.
BETDAQ VALUE VERDICT: The 10.0 in the BETDAQ orange about Keep Busy is big enough to allow a saver at 3.2 Art Power.
HAIL MURPHY ON 16.0 BET MAHALE
👑 1.50 Ascot (Albany Stakes) STATS: Every winner in the decade came from a double-figure stall. Roger Varian reserves his best filly for this: two wins in six seasons, including Daahyeh last year.
FORM: What seems to be the Varian number one, Setarhe (Andrea Atzeni), is in stall 6, while stablemate Undertake (David Egan) has bagged gate 12.
Willabel (in the one stall), Golden Melody (2), Flying Aletha (3), Mahale (4), and Mother Earth (5 ) are all low numbers on the far side of the pack, all shortish in price.
Aidan O’Brien (Mother Earth) has won the Albany, but only unexpectedly with an outsider. So I make Golden Melody (BETDAQ 6.1), who won well with cut in the ground at Haydock, the pick of the far side.
Paul and Oliver Cole, who won with Highland Chief yesterday, have Valpolicella well drawn in 13, but she won on fast ground first time and that’s the ground preference down the dam’s side.
Dandalla in 14 was supported this morning after some words of confidence from trainer Karl Burke.
BETDAQ VALUE VERDICT: But my outsider is Oisin Murphy’s mount, Mahale (16.0 BETDAQ Exchange). The Newmarket 5f maiden in which she was fourth, running on well, could be a useful guide.
The winner, Sacred, and the runner-up Sardinia Sunset both go for the Queen Mary tomorrow and the third has two top auction races in her sights.
THIS IS HEAVEN SENT FOR FRANKIE
👑 2.25 Ascot (Norfolk Stakes) STATS: Not one winning favourite in the decade; not a one! Yet five winners were between 4-1 and 6-1. Wesley Ward (Golden Pal) has won this twice in seven years and Aidan O’Brien twice in five.
FORM: Ward’s duo in the Windsor Castle both weakened out of it and the rain is not good news for the US party.
The O’Brien squad showed its firepower with Battleground yesterday – first foal of Found – and Lipizzaner, who handled heavy ground on the debut, seems sure to be in the shake-up from stall 14.
Eye Of Heaven (in 5) got a big boost when the placed horses he beat easily at Newmarket were winner and fourth in the Windsor Castle.
Frankie Dettori will have to take him down the middle from stall 5, but the field has diminished and the strapping grandson of Shamardal will be suited by a tough race on a straight course
THIS IS A SNEAKY ONE FOR FRANKIE
👑 3.00 Ascot (Hardwicke Stakes) STATS: A good race for favourites (6-10) with a strong bias to four-year-olds (9-10).
FORM: The question is whether the unpredictable Derby winner, Anthony Van Dyck, a good second to Ghaiyyath in the Coronation Cup, can hold his form for this one, and score for the first time since Epsom.
He’s not even favourite as I write – Elarqam shades him at 3.6 to 4.0 – after rumours this morning that he may not even run, depending on how he looks and how the weather looks. His Derby win was on firm.
Elarqam was short-headed by Lord North in the Brigadier Gerard before that one won the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes but all that form is 1m 2f.
Morando likes it soft but has only ever won at Group-3 level and was kicked aside, fourth, to Defoe in this race last year.
Defoe had won the Coronation Cup but in the same race this year fell away, as if needing the race.
BETDAQ VALUE VERDICT: Fanny Logan (Frankie Dettori) probably wouldn’t be in this race, if there was one like it for the fillies, but she has a touch of class and, now that she is relaxed in her races (the hood discarded), she could spring a surprise after her quiet run back at Haydock to take the freshness out of her.
The reduced field makes a win and place at the 11.5 BETDAQ more appealing than guessing between Anthony Van Duck and Elarqam at their short odds.
COLTS KEY TO THE TREASURE HORDE
👑 3.35 Ascot (Commonwealth Cup) FORM: Is the form of the one-two in the Cheveley Park, Millisle and Raffle Prize, really up to much? They were seventh and last respectively, out of their depth, in the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas.
Final Song, third to Raffle Prize in the Queen Mary, was fourth to Love in that Guineas but a moderate seventh at Ascot yesterday.
Now today we are asked to support Kimari, the Queen Mary runner-up, though Wesley Ward’s first runners at Ascot this year were, side by side, eighth and ninth in the Windsor Castle.
So it is that I prefer the colts today. Lope Y Fernandez (Ryan Moore) drops back in trip after Siskin sauntered past him in the Curragh 2,000. It’s only a week ago, and he’s in the one stall.
Close by in five is Royal Lytham who led until two out at the Curragh as if today would be his game, but presumably Moore had the pick.
We’re still in the low draw, and the bigger the field the bigger the worry.
The money has been for stall 10: Golden Horde, placed in three more two-year-old tests after fifth in the Coventry – nearly two lengths in front of Royal Lytham – is seen as the leader of the colts’ pack: BETDAQ 6.7.
Royal Crusade is in 16, near the stands rail. His second to Threat in the Champagne Stakes puts him not far behind Golden Horde who beat Threat at Goodwood.
Trainer Roger Varian landed a treble yesterday and Mill Reef winner Pierre Lapin (5.5 BETDAQ) puts his unbeaten record on the line.
👑 4.10 Ascot (Queen’s Vase): see Monday’s Fortune Cookies.
BIRTHDAY IS ANOTHER FOR BALDING
👑 4.40 Ascot (Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes) STATS: Though this is a handicap, five favourites or joint favourites have won in the last eight years. Every single winner was from a double-figure stall.
FORM: Cockalorum, who ran second to Medal Winner on the last day, flopped behind Mountain Angel in the Wolferton yesterday.
Good Birthday, who acts on any ground, is well drawn in 14 and from a stable in form, was a strong-finishing third in the Cambridgeshire to Lord North, who leapt into Group-1 class and won the St James’s Palace Stakes on Wednesday .
El Misk’s consistency carried him 18lb up the handicap last backend. Not yet tried turf ground with cut.
Dubai Future ran second on turf in Meydan in February to Secret Advisor, who went down only a length in a Listed at Newmarket recently.
BETDAQ VALUE VERDICT: Good Birthday is big at 9.7, after several defectors. If I ignore Le Don De Vie (14.5), who won a packet for Daqman followers last season, he’ll surely win at another big price.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.15 Ascot (win 30, win 10)
BET 3pts win KEEP BUSY
BET 5pts win ART POWER
1.50 Ascot (win 30, win 10 place
BET 6pts win GOLDEN MELODY
BET 2pts win, 3pts place MAHALE
2.25 Ascot (win 20, nap)
BET 10pts win EYE OF HEAVEN
3.00 Ascot (win 30, place 10)
BET 2.75pts win and 5pts place FANNY LOGAN
3.35 Ascot (win 30)
BET 6.5pts win PIERRE LAPIN
BET 6pts win GOLDEN HORDE
4.10 Ascot (Fortune Cookie)
BET 20pts win BORN WITH PRIDE
4.40 Ascot (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 5.75pts win GOOD BIRTHDAY
BULL’S-EYE BET: 3.75pts win LE DON DE VIE
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