TWO STAR STRIKES OUT OF THREE FOR DAQMAN: A winner a day for five days, a profit three days out of four, and back-to-back winning naps. All that from two more star strikes in three races for Daqman yesterday, and stellar prices, too.
✔️ WON 4-1 STAR CALIBER
✔️ WON 3-1 DREAM TODAY (nap)
NOW IT’S FIVE BEST BETS FROM THE LAST EIGHT: That gives Daqman five winning naps out of eight, all odds against, as follows:
✔️ WON 3-1 DREAM TODAY Tuesday nap
✔️ WON 6-4 TIS MARVELLOUS Monday nap
✔️ WON 9-4 ZEEBAND Friday nap
✔️ WON 6-5 LIGHTS ON Thursday nap
✔️ WON 11-10 AYR POET Tuesday nap
RETURNING LEGER RACEGOERS GET TOUGH CARD: The crowds are back.. but for how long? With new restrictions in England being announced today, the four-day Doncaster St Leger meeting which starts this afternoon could be an oasis in a new desert of sports lockdown. ITV will start by looking at Town Moor’s visitors. Daqman looks for outsiders, reporting that qualifiers for the Group and Listed races are barely on the minimum, and winners will be hard to find.
GUMDROP IN SIRE’S HOOFPRINTS
⭕ 1.40 Doncaster Mayaas has a big enough weight pull on Ataser to turn round the form of their one-two at York and cheekpieces first time should help.
But I never like to get involved in private wars; they are usually about short prices and can go either way, so I look around for something else in races where you can expect improvers.
Gumdrop, 5.4 on BETDAQ this morning, went clear off a strong pace at Chester, and connections will be hoping he can step up in class and trip, as did his sire, Toronado.
Toronado won the Champagne Stakes over this very course and distance at Doncaster at the same stage in his career at this very meeting. This year’s Champagne will be run on Saturday.
BIG BOOST SO OMNIVEGA NAPPED
⭕ 1.55 Kempton I’m breaking off Doncaster because I promised myself I’d nap Omnivega in selected race (he had four entries) this week, based on the following.
Despite being hampered, he gave 11lb and overhauled Cepheus at Kempton in July, before that one won at Goodwood and only just failed to concede 7lb to Shandoz at Ascot in a grade higher handicap on Saturday.
That Omnivega returns to Kempton is an extra bonus, a wise choice by David Simcock. I hope the penalty stops Win O’Clock and he provides a price for me. Seven wins me 10 on BETDAQ this morning.
FRANKIE COULD BEAT MOSS GILL..
⭕ 2.10 Doncaster Low numbers have won for the last six seasons (stalls 2 to 5), though some have been small fields. No older horses like Dakota Gold (aged six) and Tarboosh (seven) have been successful in the decade.
And two-year-olds have tried and failed, out of the frame in 2015 and 2016, though Acklam Express looks hot, as a Listed winner on the soft at York. Country Carnival tried a similar event there and was third.
Moss Gill’s third to Battaash in the Nunthorpe is the best piece of form on show. He’s come a long way (31lb rise in the ratings, in fact) since winning here at Doncaster last summer.
Urban Beat has been ‘beat’ five times by Make A Challenge in decent Irish sprints up to this level. It was very close the last day; less than a length between them in the Abergwaun in late August.
Johnny Murtagh thinks that, without Urban Beat’s nemesis, and with Frankie Dettori in the saddle, he can poach this English prize.
With Make A Challenge rated 112, and Moss Gill giving him 3lb off 109, I’ll bet Johnny’s right at 8.0 on BETDAQ.
Frankie will have to quarantine again after Longchamp this weekend, so he’ll be keen to make every pound count!
AND THERE’S MORE MAGICA: 19.0
⭕ 2.40 Doncaster Despite recent fields of 14 and 16, low numbers down the near side (1 to 8) have won 80% of the time in this Classified. Of the two other winners in the decade, just one came down the middle.
The race looks made for Frankie Dettori’s mount, Roca Magica, whose form at a mile this year below class 4 is 130113411.
But 19.0? When something’s that big when the favourite, Late Arrival, is a maiden, who doesn’t want this drying ground, you have to wonder what’s going on!
My alternative is Vive La Difference. Two of The Lads – Messrs Tabor and Smith – have teamed up with Mrs Magnier in this ‘Rydedale Partners’ venture, and I can’t for the life of me see why they should hang on to this beast unless there is some optimism for the future.
Today, having missed a boatload of Tim Easterby winners at big odds (see my blog this week), I see that there is, indeed, a Difference, in that the gelding is down to the weight which has won him three races in the past: 22.0 on BETDAQ.
BEING JUBILANT ABOUT JUBILOSO
⭕ 3.15 Doncaster (Sceptre Stakes) This has been won mostly down the middle of the track but stalls 3, 4 and 6 are five out of seven.
With Sir Michael Stoute having a fine run, Jubiloso (out of 4) can bounce back in a race which wouldn’t take much winning for a filly who has placed in a Group 1 (Coronation Stakes last summer).
Onassis failed to step up to Group level on the last day, and Lyzbeth, who broke her maiden here, dropped back to 6f to win a Listed at Goodwood in June.
It’s hard to see where Mubtasimah has picked up such a high rating and the solid Group-3 form of Althica is much preferred, particularly with 5.9 offered on BETDAQ. Jubiloso 8.3.
PIVOINE BACK IN POLE POSITION
⭕ 3.45 Doncaster I’m sticking to the low draw (stalls 1, 2, 4 and 5 have won five out of six); the far side seems to win at this 1m 2f when they come home down the middle.
Pivoine won me the John Smith’s at York at 14-1 SP from the one stall in similar circumstances and is a winner at Doncaster.
He went Group racing afterwards and has had to shed some weight to get competitive gain back in handicaps. The 37.0 suggests he has no chance. That’s how it was in the John Smith’s!
The alternative is Hypothetical (BETDAQ 10.0) who ‘could be anything’, not yet able to show his true colours. Frankie again, and I make no apologies for that.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.40 Doncaster (win 20)
BET 4.5pts win GUMDROP
1.55 Kempton (win 10 nap)
BET 7pts win OMNIVEGA
2.10 Doncaster (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 7pts win URBAN BEAT
2.40 Doncaster (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 2.75pts win ROCA MAGICA
BULL’S-EYE BET 2.25pts win VIVE LA DIFFERENCE
3.15 Doncaster (win 20)
BET 4pts win ALTHICA
BET 3pts win JUBILOSO
3.45 Doncaster (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 5.5pts win HYPOTHETICAL
BULL’S-EYE BET 1.4pts win PIVOINE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro.. Or just 10p to win!
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
