THE STRIKER: previews Friday’s Premier League between LEEDS v WEST HAM with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
LEEDS V WEST HAM
8pm We have an intriguing fixture for Friday Night Football in the Premier League. Both sides have impressed me this season and they have been playing some nice football. We kick off a very busy spell in the Premier League tonight as we have a full fixture list midweek as well as this weekend! We were marginally in profit last weekend after an ROI of 26% in November and 23% in October. Hopefully we can continue the superb run on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this weekend and into next week.
Both sides lost 3-1 at the weekend with Leeds losing to Chelsea and West Ham losing to Man United. No real shame there, although the Hammers would have been disappointed to lose to United given their up-and-down form. West Ham look well ahead of Leeds in the table, but there’s only three points between them. Leeds have played some impressive football this season, and are very unlucky not to be above West Ham in the table.
Both sides have been excellent going forward this season, creating a host of chances. Especially Leeds as their xG figures have been very impressive. Their fault has come at the back – they play an open style of game and for the Premier League they have been just giving away too many chances. That being said, they’ve been unlucky not to collect more points. For example, they drew 0-0 with Arsenal but won the game 2.01 to 0.79 on xG and they were very unlucky to lose against Wolves too.
Hopefully both sides gel together and we get an excellent game of football. Looking at the markets, even though Leeds have impressed me this season I feel they are a little short at 2.28. West Ham have been very good this season and they have been creating a host of chances. Even in the 3-1 loss to United last weekend they finished the game winning on xG 2.67 to 1.56. They were desperately unlucky at Arsenal too when losing 2-1 but finishing the game 2.32 to 1.33 on xG.
Leeds should give them chances together and with the Hammers in good form I can see them scoring. I can also see Leeds scoring too, so naturally I am drawn towards the goal markets. Both Teams To Score is 1.58 while over 2.5 goals is 1.66. On balance, although a couple of ticks shorter I much prefer Both Teams To Score at 1.58 in what should be an open game between two in-form sides creating plenty of chances.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.58 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQleewhu
MATCH STATS
- This will be the first league meeting between Leeds and West Ham since the 2011-12 Championship campaign, when both games ended in draws with the away side equalising in the 90th minute both times.
- West Ham are winless in their last nine meetings with Leeds in all competitions (D4 L5) since a 1-0 win at Elland Road in November 2000 courtesy of a Nigel Winterburn goal.
- This is the first Premier League meeting between Leeds and West Ham since a 1-0 home win for the Whites in February 2003.
- Leeds have never lost a top-flight home game played on a Friday (W3 D6), drawing both such games in the Premier League (1-1 v Newcastle in April 1994, 0-0 with Aston Villa in December 2003).
- Away from home, West Ham have lost their last three Friday Premier League games without scoring a single goal, with their last such victory coming at Portsmouth in December 2008 (4-1).
- West Ham have opened the scoring in each of their last six Premier League games – only once have they scored the first goal in more consecutive Premier League matches (7 between February-April 2002).
- After winning their first home league game of the season 4-3 against Fulham, Leeds are winless in their last four at Elland Road (D2 L2), netting just two goals in this run.
- Leeds United’s Patrick Bamford has scored eight goals in his 11 Premier League games this season; he’s averaging a goal every 118 minutes this term, compared to one every 216 in the Championship last term, while his shot conversion rate is 18.6% this season compared to 11.2% in 2019-20.
- West Ham’s Jarrod Bowen has scored two goals in his three league games against Leeds at Elland Road, netting a brace in Hull’s 2-0 win at the ground in December 2018.
- West Ham’s Aaron Cresswell has created more chances than any other defender in the Premier League this season (20), while he’s also created more chances from set plays than any other player in the competition so far this term (12).
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