BIG BASH: Our cricket tipster The Edge previews Wednesday’s Big Bash game between Brisbane Heat v Adelaide Strikers with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MATCH OVERVIEW:
After the early season Big Bash games took place in Hobart and Canberra, it’s fair to say that this is the first “proper” home game as Brisbane Heat take on Adelaide Strikers at The Gabba. I know Hobart Hurricanes would have enjoyed home advantage at the Bellerive Oval but looking at the fixture list there is very few “home” games as we know traditionally have them! Of course we all know the world changed in 2020!
So far the cricket has been excellent in this Big Bash, but it seems obvious to me that the Heat are the worst team in the competition. They were bowled out for 125 in their opening game, and then threw away a very strong position with some terrible bowling against Sydney Thunder. Their issue has been poor bowling for a long time, and they lost some promising bowlers in the off-season too. I think it will be a very long tournament for them – it’s just hard to see who stops the runs when they have the ball in hand. I know Chris Lynn will come off with a wonderful innings from time to time but I just have no confidence in their bowling at all.
The Adelaide Striker have played two games with one win and one loss, oddly they came against the same opposition this early in the tournament! They got their revenge against Hobart Hurricanes last week in a pretty smart bowling performance at Aurora Stadium. With their bowling in form they should win this clash – it’s probably another game where the Heat bowling will cost them.
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
This is the first game of the season at The Gabba so the obvious thing to do is to watch the opening three overs and see what conditions are like. The average score here in the last Big Bash was 140. Ironically Adelaide Strikers had the lowest score, getting bowled out for 110. The Gabba used to be a batman’s paradise but the scores have come down a lot lately. The average score here in 2018/2019 was 152 while before that it was 182 and 176. Perhaps it’s a sign that the quality of the Heat batting has got worse, but we definitely don’t see 180+ here as much as we used too. I would definitely bowl first, as the chasing team has done better over the last two years.
RECOMMENDED BET:
I’m really not a fan of this Brisbane Heat side, and while I fully take on board that they will win a few times this season, I feel we’ll still make money batting against them. They will have to do something seriously impressive, or offer a huge amount of value against an out-of-form side for me to change my mind. The Striker batting isn’t bombproof so that is certainly a worry, but the Brisbane Heat bowling is poor and they will give plenty of “hittable” balls. The Striker bowling looked good against Hobart too, so they definitely have the advantage there.
The Edge Says:
Three points win Adelaide Strikers to beat Brisbane Heat at 1.71 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange.
View the market here -> http://bit.ly/BDQHeaStr
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
Remember, just because I don’t like the Brisbane Heat bowling doesn’t mean we won’t see some massive swings in-running on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. Brisbane Heat traded close to 1.1 in their last game before going on to lose! I would definitely be keen to get against the Heat when they are bowling for obvious reasons, and while I feel that the Striker bowling can go well here I wouldn’t be as bullish. I think the main value play in this game is going against the Heat bowling.
I don’t know what the market will expect runs wise, but I would be keen to get on the chasing team early given the recent scores here. That would be excellent if it was the Strikers, as you would have better bowling and the advantage (on paper) of bowling first. Once they get Chris Lynn it should be one way traffic. I wouldn’t rule out the chasing side struggling with 150 on board either, so beware of that looking at the scores. A lot of people might think this ground is a road, but it isn’t always the case!
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
