DAQMAN’S THE MAN! HE LANDS SUPERNAP AND TOPPLES FAVOURITE: Daqman’s win-a-day week continued with maximum stakes at Wincanton yesterday when Mack The Man (WON 10-11) landed a rare supernap. Daqman opposed another hot big-race favourite when 13-8 Cyclop managed only third in the Somerset National.
✔️ WON 7-2 TIMELESS BEAUTY (Monday)
✔️ WON 2-1 DON HERBAGER (Tuesday)
✔️ WON 7-1 DOSTAL PHIL (Wednesday, from 9.6 BETDAQ)
✔️ WON 10-11 MACK THE MAN (Thursday, supernap)
9.8 BETDAQ BET FROM ANALYSIS TODAY: BIG-RACE FORM TOMORROW: Musselburgh gets the go-ahead after an inspection but first Daqman checks out the likely field for the Clarence House at Ascot tomorrow. Trying to continue his winner a day, he stakes so that just the one hit pays for the day today. The nap is at Chelmsford tonight. Headlines:
🔹 WAITING PATIENTLY FOR ASCOT
🔹 STAGE SET FOR OSCAR HAT-TRICK
🔹 REMINDER: TAKE THE BETDAQ 9.8
🔹 TONE SOUNDS REALLY VERSATILE
WAITING PATIENTLY FOR ASCOT..
⭕ 3.35 Ascot, tomorrow (Clarence House Chase) Eight out of 10 favourites have won this in the decade, all under 10 years old, with the exception of the sequence horse Un De Sceaux, who landed a hat-trick from age eight to age 10 between 2016 and 2018. Saturday’s probables in official-ratings order:
169 POLITOLOGUE (Paul Nicholls) One-time ‘nearly horse’ placed behind Altior (three times), Defi Du Seuil (twice) and Cyrname, until unbeaten in 2020, winning the Champion Chase and the Tingle Creek.
168 DEFI DU SEUIL (Philip Hobbs) Superb year in 2019, winning the JLT at Cheltenham, and beating Politologue in the Shloer Chase and Un De Sceaux in both the Tingle Creek and in this Clarence House last January.
But beaten favourite twice since, at 5-2 on in the Champion Chase and in the Schloer in November (pulled up) after a long break.
167 WAITING PATIENTLY (Ruth Jefferson) Seven wins in a row 2016 to 2018, including defeat of Politologue at Haydock and of Cue Card in the Ascot Chase.
But placed without winning in 2019 (Ascot Chase, JLT and Tingle Creek behind Defi Du Seuil). One run after a year off, stepped up in trip, finishing well, second to Frodon in the King George.
159 DUC DES GENIEVRES (Paul Nicholls) Four times placed without winning and dropped 3lb since taking the 2019 Arkle. Second in the Shloer Chase and third in the King George last backend.
156 FIRST FLOW (Kim Bailey) Unbeaten last five starts and raised 16lb in 2020, still running as a novice-chaser in the Spring.
Two out of two in open handicaps (Ascot and Wetherby) in the autumn. ‘A super two-miler but must have it heavy,’ says the in-form trainer.
154 BUN DORAN (Tom George) Grand Annual runner-up in 2019 and 13-lengths third to Politologue in the 2020 Champion Chase.,
154 FANION D’ESTRUVAL (Venetia Williams) Winner of a hurdle and two chases in France in 2019 for Guillaume Macaire, completing the four-timer at Newbury when switched to Venetia Williams.
Going well when fell three out in the Peterborough Chase at Cheltenham in December.
146 LE PATRIOTE (Dr Richard Newland) A 150 hurdler, winner of the Swinton, but well behind in the Champion Hurdle in March at 100-1. Won 2-3 small-field novice chases, switched to fences in the autumn.
STAGE SET FOR OSCAR HAT-TRICK
⭕ 2.25 Musselburgh today This is a class-3 hurdle, a qualifier for the two-mile hurdle final at Haydock in April, so it’s good news and bad news for punters.
The runners are better quality so more reliable than in lower class but don’t have to be placed to qualify.
The best recent winner was Project Blue Book (2017), who went on to be fourth in the Fred Winter and to win the juvenile hurdle at the Punchestown Festival.
The real Project Blue Book was a way of collecting ‘evidence’ of UFOs and then debunking them to allay public fears.
The evidence of the form goes in my blue book and I’m always out to debunk the favourite, like Cyclop yesterday.
Tommy’s Oscar could head the market, looking for his hat-trick today after scoring as a novice at Sedgefield and Musselburgh, and been given a mark of 124.
One of them was on better ground so he has speed and, as a winner of a 3m Point for Colin Bowe in Ireland before joining Ann Hamilton, is unlikely to fail for lack of stamina.
Goobinator, from an in-form yard, has already won at class-2 level, the Scottish Champion Hurdle Trial on heavy at Ayr in October, and is returning to that trip after failing to see out 2m 3f at Haydock the last day.
He’s needed a decent break, with the Ayr race a driving finish, hard on one who was four at the time.
Another trainer in form – three wins in two days – with potentially the classiest runner of all is Dan Skelton who saddles Vision Du Puy, third at Wetherby to subsequent Listed and Grade-2 mare Lady Buttons.
Vision has not been on a racecourse for 405 days and gives 9lb to Tommys Oscar but goes well fresh, so you need to watch the market.
Meanwhile, the strong-travelling Tommy will do for the Oscar. I took 3.4 on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
REMINDER: TAKE THE BETDAQ 9.8
⭕ 3.00 Musselburgh You would think an 11lb rise, taking him up a grade, would stop Artic Mann but the opposition is not all that threatening.
Loughermore reverted to novice company to score at Wetherby on Boxing Day, and Sidi Ismael (0-8) has yet to break his duck over hurdles. Ditto for stablemate Big Jim Dwyer.
For Three seems to have been kept to good ground. Brian Hughes rejected Taking Flight last night and still doesn’t want it today, even though his pick, Serious Ego, is a non-runner!
Red Reminder, who won two out of three at the start of 2020, has slipped in the weights to a mark 2lb below his rating for the second success of those two. Looks poised for this and 9.8 on BETDAQ is real value.
TONE SOUNDS REALLY VERSATILE
⭕ 6.15 Chelmsford Ascot (form 011) or Chelmsford (where he’s 111). It all seemed to come the same last year to Tone The Barone, who climbed the ratings from 68 in class 5 here to score off 83 and 88 in class 2 and 3 on turf.
Just to complete the survey, his form figures are 111 when fresh, so his 139 days off seems no bother at all.
Lord Riddiford has won seven times when not favourite, and his form when market leader is 440020, so it seems that connections don’t always (never?) know, or are they cannily getting a price every time he wins!
Tom Marquand takes over on Nigel Nott, who has won at Chelmsford three times. In fact, all bar Roveniemi are CD winners. Another hard race to call but Tone’s versatility shades it for me at 3.8 on BETDAQ.
Trying to continue my winner a day, I’ve staked so that just the one hit pays for the day.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.25 Musselburgh (win 10)
BET 4pts win TOMMYS OSCAR
3.00 Musselburgh (win 20, win 10)
BET 2.25pts win RED REMINDER
BET 3.25pts win ARTIC MANN
6.15 Chelmsford (win 10, nap)
BET 3.5pts win TONE THE BARONE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
