THE STRIKER: previews Friday’s Premier League game between FULHAM v LEEDS with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
FULHAM V LEEDS
8pm Friday Night Football comes from Craven Cottage this week as Fulham host Leeds! At this stage of the season, every game is massive for Fulham given the situation at the bottom of the table so we should have an excellent night ahead. As it’s Gold Cup day at the Cheltenham Festival, all bets are 0% Commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange today so we can benefit from that tonight too. Fulham lost ground last weekend as Newcastle managed a draw while they lost against Manchester City. They wouldn’t have expected much from the City game, and they can finally get out of the bottom three with a win here!
With that in mind, a win for Fulham would be massive from a morale point of view! Even if they go back into the bottom three after Newcastle play. I have noted this before but Fulham still have a massive challenge to stay up. They’ve put in a huge effort to get back in touch, and now they have the challenge to go past. As we saw with Watford last season – this bit is the hardest. A win tonight would be a big step towards staying up.
Leeds will have something to say about Fulham getting out of the bottom three however! They managed to hold Chelsea to a 0-0 draw last weekend, and they only gave up an xG of 1.09. That was pretty impressive given Chelsea have been in good form. They have been creating some decent chances, and as always we generally have a very good game when Leeds are involved. Prior to Chelsea their xG figures read; 1.53, 0.88, 1.51 and 2.73. With Fulham creating chances too, I think we’ll see goals here. Fulham were excellent when winning against Liverpool, creating an xG of 1.63 in a 1-0 win.
It’s no surprise to see an open market, but I would disagree with the odds. I wouldn’t have Fulham 2.66 and Leeds 2.86. I would have the teams closer together and I wouldn’t put anyone off a lay of Fulham despite their current good run. Leeds are a very good side and are likely to create more chances. That being said, my best bet is over 2.5 goals at 2.08. I’d have overs odds on looking at the xG figures from both sides, and I can see them gelling together well. Leeds generally always play an open game and Fulham have been playing their best football of the season at the moment. 2.08 looks far too big, especially when you’re getting 0% commission too and I can’t look past the overs.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQfullee
MATCH STATS
- Fulham have lost just one of their last eight home league games against Leeds (W4 D3), going down 0-3 in the Championship in March 2015. The Cottagers are unbeaten in all three home games against them in the Premier League (W2 D1).
- Following their 4-3 victory at Elland Road earlier this season, Leeds are looking to complete their first league double over Fulham since the 1984-85 campaign in the second tier.
- Leeds are winless in their last 16 away games against London sides in all competitions since a 3-1 win at QPR in December 2017 (D2 L14). The Whites have lost all five of their games in the capital this season, conceding 16 goals along the way.
- This is Leeds’ fourth Premier League game on a Friday this season (W1 L2), more than any other side so far this term. Only Arsenal in 2003-04 and Norwich last season have played as many as four Friday games in a single Premier League campaign.
- Only Sheffield United (11) have lost more home Premier League games than Fulham this season (9), while Fulham are the lowest scorers in home games this term (8). Five of their eight home goals came in their first five games this season, with the Cottagers netting just three in their last 10 at Craven Cottage.
- Leeds United have failed to score in four of their last five Premier League matches, as many as in their first 23 league games this term. The Whites haven’t scored in any of their last three league matches, last going four without a goal in April 2010.
- Victory for Fulham in this match would see them finish outside of the relegation zone for the first time since December 20th. However, Leeds have won all three of their league games against sides in the bottom three this season by an aggregate score of 10-3.
- Patrick Bamford has scored in all three of his league appearances for Leeds against Fulham. Only against Wigan Athletic between 2014 and 2019 has he scored in four consecutive league appearances against an opponent.
- Leeds striker Patrick Bamford has scored 12 goals in 15 league appearances in games played on Fridays, including a hat-trick already this season against Aston Villa. Bamford averages a league goal every 93 minutes on Fridays, his best ratio on a specific day of the week.
- Leeds keeper Illan Meslier has kept nine clean sheets in the Premier League this season – if he keeps another one here, he’d be the youngest keeper to reach 10 shutouts in a single season in the competition (21 years and 17 days on the day of this game).
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
