PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Tuesday’s Premier League games – all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. Newcastle v Everton, West Ham v Watford and Burnley v Man U.
NEWCASTLE V EVERTON
7.45pm The winter break is well and truly over for the Premier League as we return with a full midweek fixture list! It’s going to be an exciting week on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with plenty of big talking points. We start Tuesday evening with Newcastle hosting Everton as both clubs ring in the changes after the transfer window. Tonight is a massive night at the bottom of the Premier League as Newcastle, Watford and Burnley are all in action. Newcastle fans would have had an eye on the Burnley v Watford game on Saturday, but they won’t be too worried about the result of that game. They will be focused on getting ahead of Norwich again, and with their new signings they should pick up plenty of points between now and the end of the season. With the players that they have brought in during the transfer window, they have definitely moved to favourites to stay up from the bottom four. There’s a lot of work still to do however!
While we aren’t really including Everton in the relegation battle, they aren’t far away! Frank Lampard had the added bonus of an FA Cup game at the weekend to settle in before he takes charge of his first Premier League game here. They hammered Brentford 4-1 and Lampard couldn’t have asked for a better start. However, Everton start the midweek round of fixtures four points ahead of Newcastle in 18th, and you have to say that a loss here would definitely drag Everton into the relegation battle. A win and nobody will be talking about Everton going down – what a big game for Lampard for his first in charge! Everton have been terrible this season, and he has a massive job on his hands. It’s no surprise that we have a very open market here and it’s hard to see past a very close game. I’m not a big fan of Newcastle, but I can respect their signings and think they will improve for the rest of the season. Backing the draw has proven successful in these relegation battles and although Everton fans won’t enjoy me calling this game a relegation battle, the table says otherwise. The draw looks the best value option here at 3.45.
The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.45 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQNeweve
MATCH STATS
● Newcastle won their home Premier League match against Everton last season, winning 2-1 under Steve Bruce. The Magpies haven’t won consecutive home league games against the Toffees since a run of three between March 2002 and April 2004.
● Everton have scored in their last 10 away league games against Newcastle, a run stretching back to the 2010-11 season. It is their longest active run of scoring at an away side in the Premier League, last scoring in more consecutive away top-flight games against an opponent between 1955 and 1995 at Bolton Wanderers (12 in a row).
● Following their 1-0 win at Leeds last time out, Newcastle are looking to secure back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since May. The Magpies have won just once in 11 home league games this season, however (D6 L4).
● Everton have a higher win rate (43%) and a higher points-per-game average (1.6) in Premier League games played on Tuesdays than they do on any other day of the week in the competition (P44 W19 D14 L11).
● Newcastle haven’t scored more than once in any of their last nine Premier League games, since a 3-3 draw against Brentford in November. They last had a longer run without scoring more than one goal between August and October 2019 (10).
● No side earned more points from their first four Premier League games this season than Everton (10). However, since then the Toffees have picked up just nine points from 16 Premier League games, fewer than any other side in the division in that time.
● Newcastle have dropped a league-high 21 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, while only West Ham (12) have won more points from behind so far than Everton (11).
● This will be new Everton manager Frank Lampard’s first game in charge in the Premier League since January 2021, and a 2-0 defeat to Leicester while at Chelsea. None of the last 12 permanent managers have lost their first league game in charge of the Toffees (W8 D4), with Gordon Lee the last to do so in February 1977.
● Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in his last three away Premier League appearances against Newcastle United for Everton. The last opposition player to score in four in a row at St James’ Park was Daniel Sturridge (2011-2013) while the last Toffees player to do so was Kevin Campbell between 1999 and 2002.
● Newcastle striker Chris Wood has scored three Premier League goals against Everton (including his first ever strike in the competition), with each of these goals coming at a different ground (King Power Stadium, Turf Moor, Goodison Park).
WEST HAM V WATFORD
7.45pm We saw some “magic of the Cup” in West Ham’s fixture at the weekend as Kidderminster Harriers took them to extra time! It was actually a remarkable game, with West Ham scoring in the 91st minute to take the game to extra time and then the 121st minute to win. Even though the opposition are many leagues lower, you can’t help but be buzzing after a win like that! Watford were also in action on Saturday, although they had all the focus as the only Premier League game it turned out to be a very boring 0-0 against Burnley. Watford moved ahead of Newcastle on goal difference and they are only one point behind Norwich, but the draw with Burnley didn’t help either side to be honest. I felt before the game it was Burnley’s game to win with home advantage, but Watford finished the game with a higher xG – there wasn’t much in it and a draw was a fair result though. I also felt the winner (if there was one) would have given themselves a sighting chance of staying up, but as I said a draw helped neither of them.
Watford are in a very bad position too because they still have to play Chelsea, Manchester City, Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester United – that’s not even mentioning how tough this fixture will be against a top class West Ham side. The Hammers suffered two big losses before the winter break to drop out of the top four, but they are still on a different level to Watford. West Ham were poor away to Manchester United, especially when you consider United haven’t been good recently, but they were unlucky to lose to Leeds here as they finished the game with an xG of 2.70. Although Watford have been picking up draws against teams around them, they have been conceding goals for fun against other sides. They lost 4-1 to West Ham when they had home advantage after Christmas, and I feel The Hammers can cover the handicap here. The 2.12 -1.5 goals looks excellent value, I’d have it odds on.
The Striker Says:
Three points win West Ham -1.5 goals to beat Watford at 2.12 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQWeswat
MATCH STATS
● West Ham United have won their last four Premier League matches against Watford, scoring at least three goals in each victory, including a 4-1 win earlier this campaign at Vicarage Road.
● Three of Watford’s five Premier League wins over West Ham have come away from home, winning in 2006-07, 2016-17 and 2018-19. Their seven away Premier League games against the Hammers have alternated between a defeat and a win each time, losing 3-1 in July 2020 on their last visit.
● Among the 55 teams West Ham have faced more than 20 times in their league history since 1919, their best win ratio is against Watford, winning 27 of 43 matches against the Hornets (63%).
● Watford have lost 73% of their Premier League away games in London (29/40), the highest loss rate in the capital of any side to have competed in more than two seasons in the competition.
● West Ham have lost just one of their last 11 midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League games (W6 D4), going down 2-0 at Arsenal in December.
● Watford have won 12 of their 63 Premier League games played on Monday to Friday (D12 L39), with seven of these victories coming in their 21 games played on a Tuesday.
● West Ham have lost their last two league games, last losing three in a row in June 2020. They’ve lost three Premier League games this season courtesy of 90th minute goals, with only Watford ever losing more games in such fashion within a single campaign (4 in 2017-18).
● West Ham’s Mark Noble has scored six Premier League goals against Watford, his most against a single opponent. Five of those have been penalties – including one in this season’s 4-1 win – with only Alan Shearer ever scoring more penalties against a single opponent in the Premier League (7 vs Everton).
● In Michail Antonio’s last seven Premier League starts against Watford for West Ham he’s scored a brace (Sept 2016), been sent off (Feb 2017), assisted a goal (Feb 2018), been yellow carded (Dec 2018), assisted (May 2019), scored (July 2020) and assisted (Dec 2021).
● West Ham pair Michail Antonio (5 goals, 4 assists) and Jarrod Bowen (5 goals, 4 assists) have each been directly involved in nine Premier League goals at the London Stadium this season – no other player has been involved in more home goals in the competition so far this term.
BURNLEY V MANCHESTER UNITED
8pm What an interesting fixture to finish the evening with! As I said above in the West Ham v Watford game, the 0-0 with Burnley at the weekend helped nobody. It just left the two sides still in trouble. Pre-game I felt the game was there for Burnley, but they didn’t play well at all. They only created an xG of 0.69 in a very boring game. They grinded out a 0-0 draw with Arsenal before the winter break, and you have to say this is a very good time to play Manchester United who haven’t been themselves recently. We have had more stories in the press this past week about the owners and the manager not being on the same page as regards to Jesse Lingard taking time off, and even whether or not he could go during the transfer window. United fans in general don’t seem happy with the squad at the moment, and this just adds to that general feeling that the owners aren’t on the same page as everyone else. To be honest, so much seems wrong at the club at the moment it’s hard to know where to even start when fixing it! The players seem unhappy with Rangnick given all the stories about them not being happy about training.
Despite Burnley having a poor season, they have to view this game as a good chance to pick up points. I know they are sitting bottom of the table, but they had more games postponed due to Covid19 rather other teams so they have a couple of games in hand. They would have been in a decent position if they beat Watford but anything here would be a good result given the two games in hand. United were poor again at the weekend when crashing out of the FA Cup to Middlesbrough on penalties – and they still haven’t created a lot of chances under Rangnick. Even in the 3-1 win away to Brentford, they were very poor at the back. They might get the job done here because Burnley are a very limited side, but I like Burnley on the handicap. United just aren’t creating enough chances to blow sides away at the moment so Burnley on the 1.5 goal handicap looks the call at 1.54.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Burnley +1.5 goals to beat Manchester United at 1.54 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQBurmun
MATCH STATS
● Burnley have lost their last five home Premier League matches against Manchester United without scoring a single goal. The only side to win six consecutive away league games against the Clarets in their entire league history is Wolves between 1983 and 2002.
● Since losing their first Premier League match against Burnley in August 2009, Man Utd have lost just one of their last 14 games against the Clarets (W9 D4), a 2-0 home reverse in January 2020.
● Only one of Burnley’s 10 Premier League goals against Manchester United has been scored at home (10%), a Robbie Blake winner in August 2009. It is the lowest percentage of goals scored against an opponent on home soil in Premier League history (min. 10 goals scored).
● This will be Burnley’s 5,000th league game in English football since the foundation of the Football League in 1888. The Clarets are just the second side to reach the milestone, after Preston North End.
● Manchester United have won 34 of their 56 Premier League games played on Tuesdays (61%), giving them both the most outright victories and highest win rate on this day in the competition’s history.
● Burnley have lost three of their last four Premier League games played on a Tuesday (W1), with this their first such game since a 1-0 home loss to Manchester United in January 2021.
● After losing five of their last seven Premier League games under Ole Gunnar Solskjær (W1 D1), Manchester United have lost just one of their 10 under Michael Carrick/Ralf Rangnick (W6 D3). The Red Devils are also unbeaten in five away league games (W2 D3) since Solskjær’s final match in charge (1-4 vs Watford).
● Manchester United have scored in all 11 of their Premier League away games this season. They’ve netted 18 goals in total across these games, though just four of these have been in the first half.
● Cristiano Ronaldo turned 37 three days ago, and he could become the third player aged 37 or above to score a Premier League goal for Manchester United after Ryan Giggs and Paul Scholes. In the competition’s history, only Blackburn Rovers (Kevin Moran, Mark Hughes, Tugay) and Bolton Wanderers (Gudni Bergsson, Les Ferdinand, Gary Speed) have had as many as three players aged 37+ score for them.
● Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford has scored more goals as a substitute than any other player in the Premier League this season, with all four of his strikes coming from the bench. He’s scored in his last two Premier League games, with only Javier Hernandez in October/November 2012 scoring in three consecutive substitute appearances for the Red Devils in the competition.
