DAQMAN GOES FOR A KORKER AT HAYDOCK: Haydock takes centre stage today with Daqman 28-12 up for value on Pricewise of the Racing Post, punching out big-odds bets today at 8.7, 9.5, 9.7 and 15.5, starting with a bull’s-eye bet on Korker.
ROYAL ASCOT COUNTDOWN ALL NEXT WEEK: See How They Won. Follow the recent trends. Who’s being backed. Daqman’s winning ways. Stats and facts race by race a week ahead.
DRAW BIAS FOR EQUILATERAL
⭕ 1.15 Haydock Equilateral (2nd) and Raasel (10th) ran in a better race here two weeks ago, the Group-2 Temple Stakes, when the result by stall was 10, 13, 14, 11.
Equilateral again comes out best if the bias persists: he is drawn 10 of 10. Raasel has to contend with the one stall.
On the same day at York, when low numbers won (5 beat 2 and 4), Mondammej was narrowly beaten into second, with Fine Wine – 7lb better off today – in third, and the favourite Korker knocked sideways in an incident at the start.
Following the draw bias again means I must back Equilateral at BETDAQ 4.6 and, expecting instant karma for Korker, he is a value alternative at 8.7.
SILVER LOOKS A HIGH ROLLER
⭕ 1.50 Haydock If the Temple Stakes bias is franked in the opening race on the card, we must take high numbers to win this, too.
This particular sprint (6f handicap) has gone to 13, 10, 16, 6 and 8; the bigger the field the stronger the bias.
Ben Curtis should know where he stands. He won this last year on Silver Samurai out of gate 8 but picked his line when his mount missed the break.
Silver Samurai comes out of 14 today, with first-time cheekpieces.
He will have to win this if Marco Botti is to run him in the Wokingham; if he doesn’t, then, well, he’ll have to win this, if you follow my inverted negative!
Betdaq Betting Exchange 9.5 Silver Samurai
DREAM BETDAQ OFFERS OF 9.7
⭕ 2.25 Haydock Saeed Bin Suroor was on three winners out of five when White Wolf failed to last out for him (and me!) by an inch at Chelmsford on Thursday night.
He again has two ‘hidden horses’ in one race here with Live Your Dream and Global Heat, both winners on a sound surface.
Global Heat has an awkward head-carriage and cheekpieces are back on to help his concentration.
Cumulonimbus was allowed to dictate a slow pace at Newmarket last month; hung left at the finish and held on only a neck.
Dark Pine was back to form the last day but with cut in the ground, and Forza Orta is best at Hamilton (2-3 there).
Onesmoothoperator has never won on turf but Get Shirty landed a hat-trick at this time last year.
Back in handicap company after three tries at Group level but has to bounce back from last place at Meydan and at York; this is less demanding, to see whether treatment (he bled) has worked.
BETDAQ value 9.7 Live Your Dream
GERMAN RAIDER BIG AT 15.5
⭕ 3.00 Haydock (Lester Piggott Stakes) Group 3 (1m 4f) for fillies, won twice in the last four years by William Haggas but the stable is currently under a cloud.
Its last five very-short-priced horses (four of them favourite) have ended 42224, missing strike badly.
Sea Silk Road’s success has all come over shorter, one on good, one on soft. Her Ribblesdale second proved a false lead; only the winner was successful after; the rest of the field were flops.
To back Modaara, you have to believe that she can translate AW form to turf, and step up from a class-5 novice.
Time Lock had Mimikyu well behind her last term until that one raised her game to win the Park Hill (Group 2 good to soft), returning on firm ground two weeks’ back over 1m 6f, not relishing the surface but courageous in defeat.
The drop back in trip should help today, though Frankie Dettori will be worried about front-runner Nachtrose.
Peter Schiergen’s German raider won the Italian Oaks last year and was Group-2 runner-up over 2m at the Hoppegarten the last day in Berlin.
This looks very much a game of tactics which the trainer, as former German champion jockey, is well equipped to win, not to mention today’s pilot, Rene Piechulek, who stole the 2021 Arc de Triomphe on Torquator Tasso.
Schiergen won the John Of Gaunt, next race on today’s card, in 2013 on good to firm with Amarillo (10-1).
BETDAQ value 15.5 Nachtrose
EL CABALLO LIKES HAYDOCK
⭕ 3.35 Haydock (John Of Gaunt Stakes) Seven winners of this in the decade have come from stalls 2 and 3.
And the question is whether Aussie globetrotter The Astrologist, Group-1 runner-up in the Al Quoz at Meydan in March, will be fully extended here, with the Jubilee at Royal Ascot his close target. Two have tried doing that double in the decade and failed.
El Caballo (BETDAQ 3.95) won the Sandy Lane here at Haydock, completing a six-timer on way to Ascot.. and was a poor 18th in the Commonwealth Cup.
However, he’s a very tough contender who has had a quiet season and has two years in hand of The Astrologist, who has only ever won a Group 3.
Jumby won the Hungerford at Newbury last August on good to firm; that was his only stakes-race win (1-9) but a useful one; he avoids the Group-2 penalty.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.15 Haydock (win 50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 6.75pts win KORKER BET 5.5pts to win 20 EQUILATERAL
1.50 Haydock (win 40)
BET 4.75pts win SILVER SAMURAI
2.15 Haydock (win 40)
BET 4.75pts win LIVE YOUR DREAM
3.00 Haydock (win 50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 3.5pts win NACHTROSE
3.35 Haydock (win 20 nap)
BET 6.75pts win EL CABALLO
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