SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews VERONA v JUVENTUS, CELTA VIGO v BARCELONA and NANTES v PSG all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
VERONA V JUVENTUS
5pm It’s another fascinating Saturday from around Europe on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE! We have top clubs in action in Serie A, La Liga and Ligue 1. I’m sure the Juventus, Barcelona and PSG treble will be quite popular, but all three are away from home! We kick off the action in Serie A as Verona host Juventus. There’s been a major shift in the Serie A title race in recent weeks, and unfortunately for Juventus they have been on the wrong end of things. As I have been saying over the last while, there has been a huge performance level difference between Inter Milan and Juventus this season; xG fans were just waiting for Inter to take over really. That’s happened with Inter grinding out a 1-0 win against Juventus, but then Juventus followed that up with a 1-0 loss at home to Udinese. That leaves them seven points behind Inter in the title race heading into this weekend, plus Inter have a game in hand too. Inter Milan play on Friday night, so Juventus fans will be hoping they get a chance to close the gap here rather than trying to keep up. Seven points is a huge bridge to close at this stage of the season; it could easily be ten too with the game in hand.
Juventus just have to keep winning and see what happens. This is a game that they should have no trouble winning on paper as Verona sit in the relegation zone. Juventus come into the game as the odds on favourites – they are trading 1.73 at the time of writing with Verona 6.2 and the draw is 3.7. At first glance, the 1.73 on Juventus feels too big here. However, there are concerns and explanations as to why Juventus are that big in the market – away from home their average xG created is only 1.36 which is quite low. They are only marginally creating more than they are conceding. Verona are a very average side though, and even though I do have worries about Juve on the road I still feel that the 1.73 is too big. Verona haven’t been great at home; they have really struggled going forward this season. Their best chance of a result seems to be a draw here, and in fairness Juventus have struggled to create a lot this season but they can grind out a win here. We won’t go crazy with the stakes, but 1.73 is worth backing.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Juventus to beat Verona at 1.73 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/VerJuv
CELTA VIGO V BARCELONA
5.30pm We move over to La Liga next as Celta Vigo host Barcelona. Celta Vigo are in the relegation battle again this season; they start the weekend sitting just outside the bottom three. They have a three point cushion on Cadiz. They have really struggled to score goals this season – their average xG created would put them in mid-table but they’ve just failed to take their chances and put the ball in the back of the net. They might see this as a good chance to cause an upset though. Barcelona dropped points in La Liga again last weekend with a 3-3 draw at home to Granada. That result leaves them a whopping ten points behind Real Madrid at the top of the table; any faint hope they had of getting back in the title mix is probably gone now which means their full focus will turn to the Champions League. That’s what might actually give Celta Vigo a chance here because Barcelona have a massive tie midweek away to Napoli in the Last 16. It will be interesting to see do we see any changes to the starting XI, but you wouldn’t be surprised to see a few early subs either way.
Barcelona come into the game as the marginal odds on favourites. They are trading 1.94 with Celta Vigo 4.2 and the draw is 3.95 at the time of writing. Looking at their under-lining numbers this season, it’s actually hard to fault Barcelona. Their average xG created is the same as Real Madrid’s at 1.97 but where the big difference has been is at the back. Barcelona are conceding a higher average xG than Real, plus they are actually conceding more goals than they should. They’ve conceded more than double the goals that Real Madrid have, and there’s the ten point difference. You could call Barcelona sloppy at the back, and last weekend’s 3-3 was a classic example I suppose. That will give Celta Vigo hope here, especially as they have found it hard to convert their chances. At home they’ve actually played well – they shouldn’t be close to the relegation battle and they can score at some stage here. Both Teams To Score looks a nice price at 1.68.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.68 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CelBrc
NANTES V PSG
8pm We finish Saturday in Ligue 1 with PSG in action as they travel to take on Nantes. Who else but Kylian Mbappe took the headlines midweek in the Champions League as he lead PSG to a 2-0 win over Real Sociedad. They would have been expected to come through that tie and they have one foot in the Quarter-Finals now. They are running away with Ligue 1 and start this weekend with an eleven point advantage over Nice in second place. As I said last week though, PSG are always going to be judged on their performance in the Champions League rather than winning Ligue 1. It’s almost a given that they win the title domestically given the gulf in class between themselves and the rest. I suppose they are going to go through an interesting summer with Mbappe due to leave for Real Madrid; how they re-build is going to be interesting. With Messi and Neymar leaving this summer, I do hope they go down the route of building a solid team rather than just signing big named stars. As we saw last season, they had the best front three in the world but had nothing behind them and got exposed against the top sides.
The other interesting thing about PSG is that they used to be the club players would go for the money – that has become Saudi Arabia now. Anyway, this is a game that they should win against Nantes who sit in the low end of mid-table. They start the weekend sitting in 12th, but they are only three points away from the bottom three. They are in the bottom five when it comes to chances conceded, and it’s hard to see them coping with the best attack in the league here. As you would expect, PSG are the odds on favourites. They are trading 1.52 with Nantes 6.8 and the draw is 4.9 at the time of writing. PSG have won nine of the last ten meetings so they have a good record against Nantes – that average xG conceded for Nantes is very worrying here and it actually increases at home. Their average xG conceded at home is 1.59 which is very high. I can’t see past a comfortable win for PSG here, and I’d have the away win trading sub 1.5. I feel we’re getting enough value for a Max Bet here.
The Ultra Says:
Five points win PSG to beat Nantes at 1.52 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NanPsg
