PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews three Premier League games on Saturday starting with TOTTENHAM v WEST HAM – all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
TOTTENHAM V WEST HAM
12.30pm The Premier League is back on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! We have a cracking return to action on Saturday with Spurs, Manchester United and Arsenal all in action – I’m sure there will be some big opinions on their prices this weekend! The treble will be a popular choice on Betdaq Multiples, yet I’m sure there are plenty of layers too – especially for Spurs and Manchester United even though both are at home. We start the day with a London Derby as Spurs host West Ham – Spurs went into the International Break with the meme of Ange Postecoglou contemplating his life choices as he watched his side give up a 2-0 lead against Brighton. That left Spurs sitting in ninth place and although they were the butt of many jokes, I still feel the signs for Spurs are quite promising. They have an average xG created of 1.90 which is the second best attacking figure in the Premier League coming into this weekend – only Manchester City are creating more chances. They also have the second best defensive figure with an average xG conceded of just 1.02 and although they fell apart against Brighton when put under pressure – that’s generally just something we see from Spurs really.
The reality with Spurs is that something ‘Spursy’ is never far away, that’s why that video of Ange staring into the distance went viral after all. Spurs will be Spurs, but I feel there are so many positive signs that they have to trust this process now. They can and will improve their results a lot if they can keep playing like this. Their bitter rivals Arsenal didn’t have a backbone, until they had a backbone. Years of hammerings and dodgy away defeats have been replaced by one of the most defensively solid teams now – Spurs should focus on that as an example, even if it is Arsenal. It’s not a surprise that Spurs come into the game as the odds on favourites with home advantage; they are trading 1.54 with West Ham 6.2 and the draw is 5.1 at the time of writing. West Ham games have been some of the most entertaining of the season as they are playing a very open game – I know sometimes we can get boring games in the 12-30pm kick off, but the market is expecting fireworks here with Over 2.5 goals as short as 1.44. Both Teams To Score is trading 1.57 and that is a very tempting bet, however the Spurs win is just three ticks shorter and given their stats this season, I feel that is the best value bet to start the day.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Tottenham to beat West Ham at 1.54 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/TtmWhu
MANCHESTER UNITED V BRENTFORD
3pm We have a very busy afternoon with five games kicking off at 3pm, and undoubtedly the pick of them is Manchester United hosting Brentford. We’ve had plenty more drama at Old Trafford during the International Break; Sir Alex Ferguson has been pushed out with Sir Jim Ratcliffle removing him in his ambassador role. The fallout of that decision is unknown at the moment, but it’s a remarkable one given anything he did for the club. They also had a board meeting which the media painted as another “Erik ten Hag decision meeting” but nothing came of that. It really doesn’t help the manager all this stuff to be honest, he must have little-to-no power in the dressing room at this stage! United went into the International Break off the back of a 0-0 draw at Aston Villa – once again they failed to create much, against a team that were seemingly there for the taking given the Villa performance – it was another United performance that raised more questions though. One wonders how much pressure and bad results ten Hag can actually take; they are sitting in 14th at the moment which is their worst ever start in recent times. We’re not far off saying their season is already done in terms of competing for a European spot.
A win is badly needed, that goes without saying, and United come into the game as the odds on favourites. Manchester United are trading 1.71 with Brentford 5.0 and the draw is 4.5 at the time of writing. I have to say backing United at odds on these days has to come with a wealth warning; especially given the performances we’ve watched from the players. They have already downed tools plenty of times this season and it’s still early. Where United can improve is in front of goal – their average xG created is 1.47 but they are only converting about half of those chances at the moment. Brentford are within 0.04 on xG of United, but they are actually over-performing in front of goal so far this season. Brentford’s main issue is at the back though; their average xG conceded is very high at 1.84 – that’s the second worst defensive figure in the Premier League. These two sides are usually never far away from a mistake at the back, and I feel we’ll see a very entertaining game here. Over 2.5 goals is 1.55 and that looks cracking value in my opinion. I’d be surprised if we didn’t see goals here!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MnuBre
BOURNEMOUTH V ARSENAL
5.30pm We end Saturday with another very interesting market as Bournemouth host Arsenal. We’ve only had seven matchdays before this weekend and it’s already been an entertaining title race with Liverpool, Manchester City and Arsenal all dropping points. Obviously we have the Manchester City ruling over the 115 charges hanging over us too; Arsenal and Liverpool fans wouldn’t mind that going their way! Arsenal have obviously had a very good start to the season and have grinded out plenty of results, but there are some red flags in their stats. They are conceding a lot more chances compared to last season so far – their average xG conceded is 1.41 which is a mid-table figure. So far they’ve been getting away with it; teams haven’t been converting those chances and their actual goals conceded average is just 0.86. They finished last season with an average xG conceded of 0.92 which was the best defensive figure in the Premier League, so it’s quite a jump this season. It’s definitely something to be worried about – most pundits started to take their title challenge seriously when we started to see how solid they were at the back. Once again, away from home it will be interesting to see how they perform here.
Arsenal haven’t had any issues going forward – their xG figures are basically in-line with last season (only 0.02 in the difference). It’s no surprise that Arsenal are the odds on favourites here, but I do feel there will be some strong opinions either side of the book here – they might end up being a popular lay this weekend. Arsenal are trading 1.72 with Bournemouth 5.2 and the draw is 4.3 at the time of writing. Bournemouth have had a reasonably decent start to the season – as you would expect really sitting in 13th coming into this weekend. Bournemouth games are always entertaining, and this season has been no different with an average xG created of 1.64 and an average conceded of 1.51. That attacking figure is quite impressive actually – that’s the fifth best in the Premier League at the moment. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bournemouth get a result here, but given they are creating so much it’s hard to get away from Both Teams To Score at 1.79 here. As I said above, Arsenal have been leaking chances this season and Bournemouth can find the net at some stage along with Arsenal of course! The 1.79 is a confident bet in my opinion.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.79 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BthArs
