SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews BAYERN MUNICH v STUTTGART, JUVENTUS v LAZIO and CELTA VIGO v REAL MADRID all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BAYERN MUNICH V STUTTGART
5.30pm It’s great to have domestic football back on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE, and we have a fantastic Saturday from Europe! We have action from the Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga today with Bayern Munich, Juventus and Real Madrid sure to be a popular treble on Betdaq Multiples! They have all dropped points at times already this season though, and an interesting day lies ahead. We kick it off in the Bundesliga as Bayern Munich host Stuttgart – Bayern Munich went into the International break sitting top of the Bundesliga, even if they were held to a disappointing draw against Eintracht Frankfurt. What has worked in Bayern’s favour is that Bayer Leverkusen have already dropped points three times, and they are already three points behind Bayern. It’s still early days in the Bundesliga however; as I said in my Friday preview we’ve only had six matchdays and had two International breaks! Stuttgart were the most improved side in Europe last season – they went from finishing in the relegation playoff spot in 2022/23 to second behind Bayer Leverkusen – even ahead of Bayern Munich! The Bundesliga is a league where sides tend to move up and down the table quickly, but that will take some beating!
Although Stuttgart finished ahead of Bayern Munich last season, you wouldn’t think that looking at the market. Bayern Munich are the hot favourites at 1.38 with Stuttgart 8.6 and the draw is 6.0 at the time of writing. Although it’s hard to see past a Bayern win here, especially with home advantage, the 1.38 does feel a little short. Obviously Stuttgart took a huge jump last season, but it wasn’t just a case of them having a lucky season. They finished the season with an average xG created of 1.72 which was the third best attacking figure in the Bundesliga behind Leverkusen and Bayern – so far this season they have a figure of 1.75 which is only behind Leverkusen and Bayern again. Why they aren’t a little higher in the table is they have been conceding goals, and they do need to sort out those issues at the back. I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here, and I feel this game absolutely screams goals. The market agrees with Over 2.5 goals trading as short as 1.34 but Both Teams To Score is a very appealing 1.58 in what should be an open and end-to-end game. That’s worth a confident bet in my opinion.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.58 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BynStu
JUVENTUS V LAZIO
7.45pm Next we move over to Serie A for a cracker as Juventus host Lazio. These two sides start the weekend sitting right beside each other in the table on 13 points – Juventus are the only unbeaten side left in Serie A this season, but they have dropped points in more games than they’ve won with four draws from seven fixtures! It will be very interesting to see how this plays out; looking at the under-lining figures it seems that Lazio have taken a step forward this season. Lazio have struggled to create good quality chances in recent times – they finished last season with an average xG created of only 1.25 which was closer to the bottom of the table than top. Obviously much of their success has been built on being rock solid at the back, but their average xG created this season has jumped to 1.62 which coming into this weekend is the fourth best attacking figure in Serie A. They have remained solid at the back too with an average xG conceded of just 1.11 which is the third best defensive figure – it’s not a surprise they are sitting in the top four at the moment.
Obviously Juventus will come into the game as the favourites with home advantage, but Lazio have been better than Juventus going forward by a distance this season – Juventus only have an average xG created of 1.18 which is a bottom half of the table figure. They struggled to create chances and score goals last season too, which is why they dropped so many points in the second half of the season. Juventus have the best defensive figure at the moment however; their average xG conceded is just 0.67 which is exceptionally impressive. Juventus are trading 2.1 with Lazio 4.2 and the draw is 3.4 at the time of writing. Given how good Lazio have been playing, that 2.1 does feel too short on Juventus and I couldn’t put anyone off a lay from a value point of view. We do have two of the best sides at the back here however, and Under 2.5 goals jumps off the page at 1.71 – that looks a very nice position in my opinion in what should be a classic Italian cagey game.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.71 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/JveLaz
CELTA VIGO V REAL MADRID
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Saturday night as Celta Vigo host Real Madrid. This is a game that Real Madrid will be expected to win, but they have already dropped points three times away from home this season. You can obviously forgive them the 1-1 draw away to Atletico Madrid, but the draws away to Mallorca and Las Palmas were very disappointed – they would have started those games as the hot favourites too. Real Madrid aren’t as short here, but they are still odds on as you would expect. They are trading 1.64 with Celta Vigo 5.6 and the draw is 4.4 at the time of writing. Although Real Madrid have had a few setbacks results wise, it’s been hard to fault them – they have the highest attacking figure this season and their average xG conceded is very impressive at 1.06 which is the third best defensive figure. They start the weekend three points behind Barcelona, but you wouldn’t be overly worried yet about their title challenge – obviously it’s going to be more exciting this year compared to last season with Barcelona, but isn’t that why we love La Liga!
Celta Vigo have had a positive start to the season as they sit in mid-table, and that has been very in line with their performance levels. They sit in ninth and their attacking figure is the eighth best in La Liga. They have been reasonably solid at the back too, but they have been conceding more goals than they should. Celta Vigo games have been quite entertaining this season, BTTS has landed in seven of their nine games. Real Madrid have kept more clean sheets, and Both Teams To Score looks well priced at 1.74 in my opinion – I don’t see much value there. Over 2.5 goals is trading a couple of ticks shorter at 1.68, and I would rather that position given how much attacking talent Real have in their side. Real have been ticking their boxes nicely this season and while Celta Vigo are a decent side, they are levels below Real and I’d much rather a position on the Real win at 1.64 compared to the goal bet options. This isn’t a game for big stakes in my view, but I’m happy to take the 1.64 on Real.
The Ultra Says:
One point win Real Madrid to beat Celta Vigo at 1.64 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CltRel
