NOW FOR TWO BIG SATURDAY HITS: Winner-a-day Daqman got the ‘One’ home again yesterday for three days in a row. Today he names his order in with form and BETDAQ offers for two big Saturday races, the Flat bowing out with the November Handicap and the Jumps featuring the Grand National fences again.
Friday
WON 11-4 JPR ONE
Thursday
WON 15-8 AMERICAN SNIPER
Wednesday
WON 10-11 UMBRIA (nap)
FAREWELL TO THE FLAT: There’s no better bet than a Ralph Beckett filly, royally owned at that, to close the trainer’s superb season in the year of his Arc winner, Bluestocking. She’s Daqman’s 3.10 nap on a grey day!
DAQMAN’S BIG-RACE ORDER-IN
⭕ 2.40 Aintree (Grand Sefton Handicap) Farewell to the Flat. And bring on the Grand National fences; most of them will jump round over this 2m 5f.
Betdaq Betting Exchange offers this morning at left (104% total percentages)
10 OUTLAW PETER Paul Nicholls is firing this week but no chase wins since mid-October, including defeat for Bryony Frost in the big race at Exeter (3rd of five) on Thursday before her flying visit from France paid off on Asian Spice for her dad Jimmy Frost (did you spot that?)
But Outlaw Peter has hardly ever been out of the frame: 123112, still standing, over fences.
8.5 GABORIOT for last year’s winning yard has won only hunter-chases and it may be costly to count him out because of his unseat here in the Foxhunters, because the ground was heavy. He found no problem to score at Cheltenham (soft) over 4m in May.
10 SURE TOUCH goes well fresh and has shown that sure touch over fences but these are Grand National obstacles, so today is a big day for the future of Olly Murphy’s eight-year-old after four in a row over fences, stepping up from class 4 to a Grade 3, a rise of 21lb.
7.3 KING TURGEON The Pipe yard has always loved Aintree and the handicapper seemingly knocked his plans for this on the head with a 11lb rise for King Turgeon, after scoring first time back at Chepstow over a much longer trip.
But it was only his third ever win and on his first time back, and he is 2lb below his future mark.
8.3 IDALKO BIHOUSE looks poised for an informative season; only a six-year-old for a stable in form.
9.3 FRERO BANBOU was third in this race last year but before and after, in 20 runs since January 2022, has failed to score.
14.5 PERCUSSION is also on a long losing run: 14 since back-to-back wins at Southwell in the Spring of 2022.
24 AUTHORISED ART hasn’t won since his novice career in the autumn of that year and has moved to Gary and Josh Moore, despite being placed in the Galway Plate and the Punchestown Chase for Willie Mullins.
A RIGHT ROYAL TREASURE..
⭕ 3.10 Doncaster I did start counting all the hot fillies in Ralph Beckett’s yard but suffice it to nap another Treasure (Betdaq Betting Exchange 4.7).
Treasure is a royal grey, back in the firing line at Newmarket, narrowly beaten early last month, giving weight away.
Diamond Rain has won a Listed so now late rush for black type but this is Godolphin and they have rested her since she hit the buffers in the Ribblesdale. It’s clearly decision day about next season.
Danielle should like the ground after her second in the St Simon to Max Vega; trainer? Ralph Beckett.
MOFASA COULD BE ANYTHING
⭕ 3.30 Wincanton (Badger Beer Chase) Talking of Bryony Frost, she won this race three times, including on Frodon (2022), the only horse of double-figure age to win it.
Her trio were among four recent Paul Nicholls winners. He has won this £47k chase of the year at ‘Winkers’ eleven times in all.
So, with Mofasa in this, within 50 minutes of Outlaw Peter’s bid for the £38k Grand Sefton, is this the day Nicholls – currently only sixth in the table – starts to make inroads into Dan Skelton’s early lead in the trainers’ table, if not numerically at this stage but in prizemoney.
Skelton has had a lean time in the last few days, with just a couple of crackers at odds-on in his last 17 starters since Bonfire Night.
But Mofasa is an unexposed lightweight who ‘could be anything’. As for Skelton, you have to decide: Is Riskintheground exposed at shorter distances and trying a longer trip to open more avenues, or is this all along what Dan the Man has been planning?
In the same ownership as Mofasa is Lord Accord, second in Frodon’s win two years ago; 8lb lower now and makes backing the stable a must.
Daqman backed both on BETDAQ at 4.3 Lord Accord, 10.5 Mofasa this morning.
15.5 ON BETDAQ IS INSANITY!
⭕ 3.45 Doncaster (November Handicap) Farewell to the Flat. For a final flutter, a double-figure draw seems essential on the soft ground. BETDAQ offers on the left.
9.9 WAXING GIBBOUS (stall 15) was runner-up in the Doncaster Handicap here in April, and put in a tremendous run, 11lb higher, when second to Epic Poet, the pair five lengths clear of the field in the 1m 6f Old Newton Cup at Haydock in September. She was leading two out at today’s trip of 1m 4f.
15.5 INSANITY (11) One for the Jumps notebook but Alan King (who won this in 2020) has always fancied him for this finale, during the Nathanial gelding’s progressive form (up 11lb) this year, second twice at Ascot when in need of some juice in the ground.
9.7 VALVANO (12) Unexposed after four starts; has stamina in the pedigree for this, and was a good third over shorter at York in his first handicap. The winner finished his season taking a Listed at Newmarket.
7.7 MASTER BUILDER (17) Stablemate of Waxing Gibbous. Third in the Melrose, and same position on same course 10lb higher a month ago but won at Haydock (1m 6f) in between.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.40 Aintree (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 6.5pts win GABORIOT
BET 5pts win and place at 3.4 OUTLAW PETER
3.10 Doncaster (win 30,nap)
BET 8pts win TREASURE
3.30 Wincanton (win 30)
BET 9.5pts win LORD ACCORD
BET 3pts win MOFASA
3.45 Doncaster (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 5.75pts win WAXING GIBBOUS
BET 3.5pts win and place at 3.8 INSANITY
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
