PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: The Striker previews the Premier League on Saturday focusing on Brentford v Manchester United, Chelsea v Brighton and Spurs v Wolves. All include recommended BETDAQ bet’s.
BRENTFORD V MANCHESTER UNITED
12.30pm It’s another cracking weekend from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! It’s been a hectic midweek fixture list (again) with the Carabao Cup and the start of the Europa League – Saturday is another bumper day with seven fixtures to enjoy. We have some fascinating markets; possibly none more so than Brentford hosting Manchester United to start the day. We had some very strong rumours that Ruben Amorim only had three games to save his job; if you believed that then the win against Chelsea last weekend was absolutely massive. Obviously they were aided by the early red card for Chelsea, but once again United were superb. Opta rated United’s start to the season as the toughest on paper, but they have the best attacking figure in the Premier League with an average xG created of 1.74. They also have an impressive average xG conceded of 1.11, but they really need to cut out the sloppy mistakes at the back – once again they are conceding more goals than they should be and not fully converting their chances. There’s only so much a manager can do, but on paper it would be a shocking decision to sack Ruben Amorim at the moment.
Ironically, the names rumoured to be in the running to replace Amorim have been really struggling. Aston Villa are struggling to score goals under Unai Emery for example! It will be fascinating to see how United perform here because we all know the squad has raised their game against the bigger sides in recent seasons and thrown in some terrible performances when they faced weaker sides. This is a game that they will be expected to win, and Brentford have been playing poorly this season too. Manchester United come into the game as the favourites at 2.1 with Brentford 3.6 and the draw is 3.9 at the time of writing. Four points from their five games leaves Brentford starting the weekend just outside the bottom three – they have the second worst attacking figure and the second worst defensive figure behind Burnley. Obviously backing United has to come with a wealth warning these days, but Brentford are there for the taking and I’d have United shorter than 2.1.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Manchester United to beat Brentford at 2.1 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLBrMu
CHELSEA V BRENTFORD
3pm We have four games kicking off at 3pm, and while we do have some cracking games, Chelsea hosting Brighton is my pick. We do have another very interesting game between Crystal Palace and Liverpool, but this should be a high quality game. You get the feeling coming into this game that both sides need a win – Chelsea are already miles off the pace in the title race and given they were a lot of people’s choice outside of Liverpool and Arsenal, this has to now become a disappointing start to the season. Brighton have had a very lacklustre start to the season – five points from five games leaves them massively on the backfoot. They missed out on Europe last season and I know it’s still early days, but you wouldn’t be confident on them getting into Europe this season either looking at how they have played their opening five games. Brighton have built their recent success on being an open and attacking team; their average xG created is only 1.22 this season which is the bottom end of mid-table performance level wise. Something isn’t working at the moment. Obviously you can forgive Chelsea the loss at Old Trafford with the early red card, but they need a bounce back win here.
Chelsea come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.84 with Brighton 4.5 and the draw is 4.0 at the time of writing. Not only have Brighton been struggling to create good quality chances, they’ve also been sloppy at the back. They should have put the game to bed when 2-0 up against Spurs but let them back in for a draw. Ironically, Brighton’s only win this season has come against Manchester City! Although I would lean towards backing Chelsea if I had to have a bet in the match odds market, this game screams goals in my opinion so I’m happy to focus there. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.64 and Both Teams To Score is the same price. Both Teams To Score has collected in four out of five Brighton games this season and three out of the five Chelsea games. I couldn’t put anyone off either bet to be honest, but the Both Teams To Score option is marginally better value at the same price in my opinion. This should be an end-to-end and entertaining game.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.64 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLChBr
TOTTENHAM V WOLVES
8pm We finish Saturday in the Premier League with Spurs hosting Wolves. Spurs have made a reasonably solid start to the season, but as is always seemingly the case with Spurs, disaster never feels far away. They did well to come back from 2-0 down against Brighton last weekend. We’ve already had examples of classic Spurs though; beat Manchester City away and then lose to Bournemouth at home! Given Wolves have looked so poor at the start of the season, this is a game that Spurs will be fully expected to win. The home win is trading 1.51 with Wolves 7.0 and the draw is 5.1 at the time of writing. Wolves sit rock bottom of the Premier League table with five losses from five games, and they desperately need something good to happen. At the start of the season, the three promoted sides were the first three in the betting for relegation – we know that’s been a theme in the Premier League recently – but make no mistake Wolves are in massive trouble. The only side shorter for relegation now is Burnley. Wolves have been hanging around the relegation battle for years without looking bad enough to go down – it feels like they are under their most intense pressure this season.
Obviously with Spurs, it’s always a rollercoaster ride but the 1.51 looks too big to ignore here just because of the gulf in class between the sides. I am keen to keep stakes small here however because there are definitely some points to note – Spurs are marginally conceding more than they are creating this season. An average xG created of 1.34 is hardly setting the world alight either. However, Wolves do look there for the taking. They are in the bottom four on defensive figures and they’ve really struggled in create chances and score goals. Their average xG created of 1.2 isn’t in the bottom three attacking figures, but they’ve really struggled to convert even those limited chances. I know they’ve had to play Manchester City, but they haven’t had an especially difficult fixture list either. With Spurs, you always feel an error at the back isn’t far away but they are likely to get away with a lot here given Wolves have been so limited in attack. This feels like a fixture that Spurs will boss and could win impressively under no real pressure – as I said the 1.51 is too big to ignore, but I’m not going crazy with the stakes.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Tottenham to beat Wolves at 1.51 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLToWo
