BULL’S-EYE BET FOR DAQMAN: Daqman goes in search of big value on BETDAQ, taking chances – including a bull’s-eye bet -but backed up where he can find strong facts in his favour.
TOMORROW and SATURDAY: Two-day Ascot meeting features the Long Walk Hurdle and the Silver Cup.
17.0 COULD BE A COOL KILLING
⭕ 2.00 Exeter (Christmas Cup) LAYS LOGIC Vision de Maine may win today but I won’t be on him. He landed a double at this time last year but is 234P as favourite or joint favourite since then and is 12lb higher than for his last success.
Trainer David Pipe (2-23) is misfiring with form figures in his last five days racing of 3330230020220. That includes two beaten favourites.
Isaac des Obeaux (Paul Nicholls) has also been a failure since the autumn of November-December 2023; a string of places since, the last two with cheekpieces (3P30P333). Five attempts to get off the mark over fences.
Gyenyame has won just 1-14 since breaking his maiden in March, 2023, and that was a three-horse chase on good ground (likely soft today), with form figures since of 32232 but raised a couple of pounds for being beaten.
Operation Manna makes his chasing debut at age nine! And Sheldon has never won a race beyond 2m 4f.
With Rosscahill absent, Coolvalla is a stand-out on form, with five chase wins out of seven. But you have to assume that Chris and Freddie Gordon are capable of bringing him back to form after 964 days off.
They are certainly in good form, with a class-2 winner at Cheltenham and another at Wincanton in their three last days racing.
A cool 17.0 on Betdaq Betting Exchange this morning. He’s won before after a long absence of 252 days.
CHARLIE DARLING OF THE STATS
⭕ 7.30 Chelmsford (Sprint Series Final) It’s easy to jump to conclusions when records of a race seem to be a huge pointer, so I tend to read through the form first as a discipline.
Then, when you see something like the outstanding stat for this race today, you can take it on board if the odds are good.
Even if you are not using a computer to assess your own odds for a race, you should add plus and minus stats to your thinking, as in my Lays Logic for Exeter above.
Seven CD winners make this sprint hard to assess but the history of the race has winners in double-figure fields all coming from gate 8.
Emperor Spirit (13) is the front runner out wide and Dark Side Thunder (12) is likely to go the pace with him.
And the big-field lover in stall 8 is the 25 times placed Charlie Mason, who has run well in grades 2 and 3 this autumn, while most of this field are class 4 and 5 animals. BETDAQ offers of 9.1 with 2.88 for three places.
When a stable has two runners, you have to be on the alternative: Justcallmepete (BETDAQ 6.4) is raised for winning here and at Kempton but deserves this step up in grade, still lower than when a CD scorer in the past.
STAR BET LOOKS ALL LINED UP
⭕ NAP OF THE DAY (5.30 Chelmsford) Striking at near-30%, Ed Walker has had five winners in 10 days of racing, three of them ridden by Kieran Shoemark.
They have Mollstar lined up for her nursery debut, after the requisite three runs. BETDAQ 9.2 taken.
DAQMAN’S BETS
on Betdaq Betting Exchange
2.00 Exeter (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 3pts win COOLVILLA
★ 5.30 Chelmsford (win 20, nap)
BET 2.5pts win MOLLSTAR
7.30 Chelmsford (win 20)
BET 2.5pts win and place CHARLIE MASON
BET 2pts to win 11 JUSTCALLMEPETE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
