PREMIER LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: The Striker previews MANCHESTER CITY v FULHAM and SUNDERLAND v LIVERPOOL both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MANCHESTER CITY V FULHAM
7.30pm The midweek Premier League action continues on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We kick off Wednesday night with Manchester City hosting Fulham at the Etihad. What a weekend it was for Pep Guardiola and City – they produced an absolutely stunning moment filled with drama to beat Liverpool with a late Haaland penalty. That win keeps the Premier League title race alive; Arsenal are still six points clear but City are still hanging in there – they basically just have to put as much pressure as possible on Arsenal and see what happens. Fulham have been having a very solid season, they are playing some decent football and come into the midweek round of fixtures sitting just inside the top half. Everyone will still be expecting a comfortable City win here though, and it’s no surprise that they come into the game as the red-hot favourites. City are trading 1.38 with Fulham 9.4 and the draw is 5.6 at the time of writing. It’s hard to see past a City win here to be honest, but obviously there’s no prizes for tipping 1.38 shots. That’s a price for a midweek Acca, but we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value here.
Fulham are marginally conceding more than they are creating this season; they have an average xG created of 1.36 and an average xG conceded of 1.40. Those are mid-table figures, which is exactly where they are. City haven’t been creating as much as previous seasons – they have an average xG created of 1.68 which is the fourth best attacking figure in the Premier League. They have been very solid at the back though – their average xG conceded is 1.14 and only Arsenal have been more solid at the back. In my opinion, there’s no doubt that Fulham will sit in, stay compact, and try to frustrate City. We all know City have been sloppy at times this season too – they threw away a 2-0 lead against Spurs recently. That being said, Fulham haven’t been overly impressive in attack and I feel they will come here for a draw. I feel City can keep a clean sheet here, and Both Teams Not To Score makes appeal at 2.06. I do feel this is a game for small stakes, but I would personally have that price a little shorter in a game that City should be able to control.
The Striker Says:
One point win Both Teams Not To Score at 2.06 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLMcFu
SUNDERLAND V LIVERPOOL
8.15pm We finish Wednesday night with Sunderland hosting Liverpool. It was a disappointing weekend for these two sides, obviously losing to City on Sunday was a bitter pill for Liverpool. Anyone who looks at xG figures knows Sunderland have been massively over-performing this season, and their results are starting to fall in line with their performance levels a little more now. Sunderland have an average xG created of only 1.15 which is the third worst attacking figure in the Premier League. Their average xG conceded is 1.63 which is also very poor, and also the third worst defensive figure. They are getting away with murder at the back though – their actual goals conceded average is 1.16 so obviously there’s a lot of points gained there. You’d have to think the wheels will come off at some point – they’ve won their last two home games though. They’ve done brilliantly to grind out results, but the underlying numbers are relegation standard. It will be fascinating to see how much business they do in the summer; surely they are looking at the performance levels in the backroom and worrying about next season already. It’ll be interesting to see can they grind out a result here.
It’s no surprise to see Liverpool come into the game as the odds on favourites, and given how much they’ve struggled this season we could have some big opinions either side of the book on the Liverpool price here to be honest. Liverpool are trading 1.77 with Sunderland 5.0 and the draw is 4.1 at the time of writing. Liverpool have an xG created of 1.74 which is the joint-second best attacking figure in the Premier League. They’ve been excellent going forward all season – the problem has been at the back. They’ve been sloppy at times and made plenty of mistakes. It’s quite easy to pick holes in this Liverpool side this season, however the big question here is can Sunderland actually take advantage of them? I know they have been getting results, but their attacking figures are really poor – I feel the 1.77 on Liverpool is too big to ignore. Obviously this is a game for small stakes – you have the side playing good football struggling for results and they side playing poorly getting plenty. All things considered, I’m happy to be on Liverpool, but for reasonably small stakes.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Liverpool to beat Sunderland at 1.77 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLSuLi
