PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews MANCHESTER UNITED v ASTON VILLA and LIVERPOOL v TOTTENHAM with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MANCHESTER UNITED V ASTON VILLA
2pm It’s a wonderful Super Sunday from the Premier League on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We have two cracking fixtures to go through, and we start with Manchester United hosting Aston Villa at Old Trafford. This is a huge game for both sides in the Top Four race – although it’s going to be five Champions League spots for the Premier League this season. Both sides come into the game sitting on 51 points, and Aston Villa seem to be under immense pressure at the moment heading in the wrong direction. Much has been made about Villa over-performing this season, and maybe they are reverting to their performance levels. United suffered their first defeat under Carrick at Newcastle last time out, which ended their impressive eleven match unbeaten run. United have an average xG created of 1.78 which is the best attacking figure in the entire Premier League – ahead of Liverpool, Arsenal, and City. That is a remarkable statistic considering all the drama around Ruben Amorim this season. At the back, their average xG conceded of 1.29 is the joint-fourth best defensive figure in the league – still a little sloppy at times, as we have seen, but progress is clear. It’s no surprise that United come into the game as the odds on favourites.
United are trading 1.79 with Aston Villa 4.7 and the draw is 4.3 at the time of writing. Villa come into this one in wretched domestic form. They have won just twice in their last nine Premier League games, losing 4-1 at home to Chelsea in their most recent outing, and they fell to a shock defeat away to Wolves in the game before that. They looked set for third spot, but now there’s a big chance they might actually fall out of the top five. Unsurprisingly, Villa’s xG numbers back up the struggles. Their average xG created of 1.47 is a mid-table attacking figure – it was down around 1.2 earlier in the season and has improved, but it is still a long way from United’s 1.78. Their average xG conceded of 1.45 is also very average and is bang in mid-table defensively. There is nothing in those numbers to suggest this is a top four side at the moment; credit to them for grinding out so many results, but it’s not a surprise to see them dropping points. The thing about United though is they have become very hard to trust – the 1.79 is a tempting bet, but Over 2.5 goals is 1.74 and I feel that offers the better value bet with only five ticks in the difference.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.74 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLMuAs
LIVERPOOL V TOTTENHAM
4.30pm We finish Super Sunday with Liverpool hosting Spurs. This is one of the most fascinating fixtures of the weekend; probably for all the wrong reasons for Spurs! It has been a dramatic week for both clubs in the Champions League, and they are both in poor positions. Liverpool lost 1-0 to Galatasaray; disappointing given they went into that game odds on to win, but with the second leg here they are still in the tie. You can’t say the same about Spurs though – their Champions League trip to Atletico Madrid on Tuesday night was one of the most extraordinary passages of football ever seen at that level. Igor Tudor made the decision to start 22-year-old goalkeeper Antonin Kinsky. It backfired in spectacular, almost comical fashion. Kinsky slipped on a routine goal kick to gift Marcos Llorente the opener in the sixth minute. Micky van de Ven then lost his footing for Antoine Griezmann to make it 2-0. Then in the 15th minute, Kinsky kicked the ball against his own leg, presenting Julian Alvarez with an open goal for 3-0. Tudor hauled the shell-shocked 22-year-old off in the 17th minute. There was no arm around the shoulder as Kinsky trudged to the tunnel. Classic Spurs; they went on to lose 5-2. The question everyone has been asking: was Tudor right to substitute the keeper? The likes of David De Gea and Peter Schmeichel have weighed in; Spurs are just all over the place.
Whatever about European disaster – they were in the relegation battle in the Premier League. Confidence must be at an all time low – the media are even talking about them sacking Igor Tudor already! It’s no surprise that Liverpool come into the game as the red-hot favourites. Arne Slot’s men are trading 1.36 with Spurs 9.0 and the draw is 6.2 at the time of writing. It’s hard to see anything other than a Liverpool win here, but obviously we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value. There really aren’t many positives for Spurs – their average xG created of 1.29 is in the bottom six attacking figure and their average xG conceded of 1.46 is bang average. They are not, on paper, a relegation-standard side – but the confidence has completely collapsed, the manager has zero wins and seemingly zero credibility, and they come to Anfield on the back of one of the most humiliating European nights in the club’s history. Maybe they can surprise everyone here, but I don’t see it – Liverpool have an average xG created of 1.76 which is the second best attacking figure in the Premier League and they can cover the handicap on the way to winning here. They are trading 1.95 -1.5 goals and that looks cracking value.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Tottenham at 1.95 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/PLLiTo
