CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: The Ultra previews ARSENAL v SPORTING LISBON and BAYERN MUNICH v REAL MADRID both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
ARSENAL V SPORTING LISBON
8pm Another massive night of Champions League action on Wednesday as we continue the Quarter-Final second legs on Betdaq Betting Exchange! We kick off the evening at the Emirates as Arsenal host Sporting Lisbon. Most of the talk heading into this fixture will be around Arsenal losing to Bournemouth at the weekend and opening the door for Manchester City in the Premier League title race. Arsenal have now lost three of their last four games in all competitions, and Mikel Arteta admitted it was “a big punch to the face.” Kai Havertz’s stoppage time winner in Lisbon last Tuesday was a much-needed tonic after back-to-back cup defeats – the Carabao Cup final loss to Manchester City and the extraordinary FA Cup exit at the hands of Southampton. The first leg between these two was exceptionally boring, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see everyone tune into Bayern Munich v Real Madrid here! It was classic Arsenal though; very boring but got the job done. I would have said that they might be a bit more adventurous with home advantage, but they have a lead to protect now and as we have seen countless times before – Arteta is quite negative.
This is the start of a huge week for Arsenal – obviously a chance at the Champions League Semi-Finals here, and then they are away to Manchester City at the weekend and we all know how massive that is now. Given the gulf in class between the domestic leagues and Arsenal with home advantage, it’s no surprise to see Arteta’s men come into this game as the odds on favourites. Also you would have thought that Sporting would have needed to take a lead into this game. Arsenal are trading 1.51 with Sporting Lisbon 7.6 and the draw is 4.7 at the time of writing. The pressure on Arsenal is immense. One wonders what the feeling inside the stadium will be like here; especially if Sporting can score early. Their average xG conceded of just 0.92 is comfortably the best defensive figure in the Premier League, but they were so poor in attack at the weekend. Their xG in open play against Bournemouth was a dreadful 0.19. I wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.51 on Arsenal here, especially what they’re going through at the moment – indeed, if anything it looks a bit short. A cagey, tight first half seems likely as Arsenal look to protect their lead, but once Sporting are forced to push, it could open up. It’s hard to have a strong opinion on the goals market too with that in mind – I feel the best option here is a small Arsenal lay.
The Ultra Says:
One point lay (liability) Arsenal to beat Sporting Lisbon at 1.51 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CLArSp
BAYERN MUNICH V REAL MADRID
8pm We move over to Germany to finish Wednesday night as Bayern Munich host Real Madrid. This is the glamour tie of the round, and obviously it has plenty of drama too given the situation at Real! They dropped more points at the weekend in La Liga – they are now nine points behind Barcelona in the title race. Bayern Munich will be looking to finish the job after their superb 2-1 first leg win at the Bernabeu. Bayern were simply majestic in Madrid, but Real were all over the place at the back at times. Harry Kane, returning from injury, scored a stunning goal as well. Mbappe pulled one back late to give Real a lifeline, and that is the hope that they will be bringing into this game. Obviously they are up against things away now, but we all know Real are superb when their backs are against the wall. Nevertheless, Bayern come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.62 with Real Madrid 4.7 and the draw is 5.6 at the time of writing. Real have to produce something crazy here; their domestic results have been a shambles. The 2-1 loss at relegation threatened Mallorca, and then the 1-1 draw at the Bernabeu by mid-table Girona either side of this first leg tie.
Bayern have been bossing the Bundesliga this season, but that’s no surprise given Bayer Leverkusen sold all their big stars and Xabi Alonso moved on – he’s already been moved on for Real with player power winning there! Bayern have an average xG created of 2.31 is by some distance the best attacking figure in the entire Bundesliga. Real have an average xG created of 2.10 which is the second best attacking figure in La Liga behind Barcelona. Bayern’s average xG conceded of 1.05 is also the best defensive figure in the Bundesliga, and Real have a figure of 1.12 which is the second best in La Liga, again behind Barcelona. Obviously we have two top class sides here, but Real are clearly struggling at the moment – they are coming to one of the most difficult places in Europe too. Bayern have been absolutely firing, and if anything I would have the home win shorter than 1.62. The atmosphere inside the Bernabeu has been toxic in recent weeks. Fans have been booing their own players, with Vinicius Junior and Jude Bellingham particularly singled out. Chants of ‘Florentino Perez resign’ have been heard. Maybe it might be better that Real are away here, but I still feel the 1.62 on Bayern looks nice value and it’s a confident bet for me.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Bayern Munich to beat Real Madrid at 1.62 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CLBaRe
