LA LIGA FRIDAY: The Ultra previews REAL BETIS v REAL MADRID with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
REAL BETIS V REAL MADRID
8pm Friday Night Football from Europe on Betdaq Betting Exchange this week comes from La Liga as Real Betis host Real Madrid! It’s been a busy week in La Liga – they had last weekend off because of the Copa del Rey Final which was won by Real Sociedad, but they’ve caught up this week. Thankfully for Real Madrid, they got back to winning ways because they had been on a nightmare run. A loss against Mallorca and a draw to Girona opened up the gap for Barcelona at the top of the table, and in alongside all that they got knocked out of the Champions League by Bayern Munich. They are now staring down the barrel of a second successive season without a trophy, and it feels like there’s big fractures running through the dressing room.
At Real Madrid, there’s always some drama going on. But this season it’s been quite public. Xabi Alonso didn’t last long, and it’s very clear that player power won out there. He was replaced by Alvaro Arbeloa in January – an eyebrow-raising appointment that has done little to steady the ship. It feels like the Real crowd have turned against the players recently – granted they generally always get a tough time – but Vinicius Jr has certainly been the target for the collective frustration this season. Reports from inside the dressing room suggest teammates are also growing frustrated with his attitude and his behaviour. He scored a cracker against Alaves on Tuesday and he didn’t celebrate, instead offering what looked like an apologetic gesture to the stands. One wonders will he sign a contract extension.
Never a dull moment with Real Madrid anyway, and this is a very interesting market too. Real Madrid come into the game as the odds on favourites at 1.92 with Real Betis 3.8 and the draw is 4.3 at the time of writing. From a Real point of view, they just have to win every game now and see what happens – obviously the trip to the Camp Nou on 10th May looms for the next El Clasico, but it feels like the title race is over already given the gap. Real Madrid’s underlying numbers are genuinely very good – their average xG created of 2.12 is the second best attacking figure in La Liga, behind only Barcelona’s 2.20. Their average xG conceded of 1.14 is also the second best defensive figure. On paper, they should be winning this game, but you wouldn’t be rushing to take the 1.92 with the way things are at the moment.
Real Betis have been impressive this season, obviously take away the performance levels of the top two given the gulf in class, and Betis under-lining numbers look quite good. Their average xG created of 1.55 is the fifth best attacking figure in La Liga, while their average xG conceded of 1.41 is mid-table defensively – that’s definitely been their weak point, and they’ve actually got away with things at the back this season. It’s hard to see them closing the gap on the top four, but a Europa League spot is a nice finish for them. They also drew 0-0 with Madrid in last season’s reverse fixture, so it’s not as if Madrid will comfortably be brushing them aside here. I’m happy to stay out of the match odds market here, and with Real conceding so many sloppy goals, Over 2.5 goals looks nice value at 1.56. Betis can hold their own here at home.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.56 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/LLBeRe
